Will your flight be late?
Tell us the flight. Pick the day you’re flying and we’ll give you the odds; they get sharper as the weather forecast, the FAA and your plane’s earlier flights come into focus.
0ground stops in effect right now
0FAA delay programs right now
22%average chance of a late departure on Monday
1%average chance of a cancellation on Monday
Schedule: FAA flight plans for 27,182 flights; the other 4,474 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.
Airports right now
Forecasts for Mon, Oct 26, worst first. Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET.
- Chance a departure that hour leaves 15+ min late on a normal day
- Extra today
- Already departed
SFO
San Francisco
#1
36%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 754
+7 pts above normal
▲ 13 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 77%
26 kt gusts, 2100 ft ceiling
DEN
Denver
#2
Rough weather, no program posted yet
33%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~10 of 1184
+1 pt above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 67%
12 kt gusts, 300 ft ceiling, 0.37 in rain
FLL
Fort Lauderdale
#3
Rough weather, no program posted yet
29%
leave 15+ min late
3%
cancelled, ~11 of 359
a normal day
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
39 kt gusts, 2700 ft ceiling, 0.12 in rain
MIA
Miami
#4
28%
leave 15+ min late
4%
cancelled, ~20 of 494
+1 pt above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 43%
32 kt gusts, 2200 ft ceiling, 0.56 in rain
LAS
Las Vegas
#5
27%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 660
+6 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 70%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
PHX
Phoenix
#6
25%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 704
+2 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 8 PM · 53%
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
DFW
Dallas–Fort Worth
#7
24%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~12 of 1114
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 48%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
LAX
Los Angeles
#8
24%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 848
+2 pts above normal
▲ 3 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 9 PM · 42%
13 kt gusts, high ceiling
SEA
Seattle–Tacoma
#9
23%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 623
+3 pts above normal
▲ 5 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 9 PM · 42%
6 kt gusts, 500 ft ceiling, 0.08 in rain
MSP
Minneapolis–St Paul
#10
23%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 494
+1 pt above normal
▲ 4 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 46%
22 kt gusts, 1600 ft ceiling, 0.5 in rain
ORD
Chicago O'Hare
#11
Rough weather, no program posted yet
23%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~17 of 1653
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 40%
15 kt gusts, 400 ft ceiling
EWR
Newark
#12
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 687
a normal day
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 38%
11 kt gusts, high ceiling
MCO
Orlando
#13
20%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 583
+1 pt above normal
▼ 4 pts in 24 h
40%
now
29 kt gusts, 3600 ft ceiling
BWI
Baltimore/Washington
#14
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 299
a normal day
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
SLC
Salt Lake City
#15
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~2 of 372
+2 pts above normal
▲ 2 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 33%
30 kt gusts, high ceiling, 0.01 in rain
IAH
Houston Bush
#16
19%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~8 of 827
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 10 PM · 45%
12 kt gusts, high ceiling
PHL
Philadelphia
#17
19%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 480
a normal day
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
16 kt gusts, high ceiling
CLT
Charlotte
#18
19%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~8 of 787
a normal day
▼ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 25%
6 kt gusts, high ceiling
DCA
Washington National
#19
18%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 457
a normal day
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
40%
now
8 kt gusts, high ceiling
BOS
Boston Logan
#20
18%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~5 of 621
a normal day
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 34%
18 kt gusts, high ceiling
JFK
New York JFK
#21
17%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~7 of 593
a normal day
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 22%
12 kt gusts, high ceiling
LGA
New York LaGuardia
#22
17%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~6 of 555
a normal day
40%
now
16 kt gusts, high ceiling
DTW
Detroit
#23
16%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~4 of 477
a normal day
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 14%
9 kt gusts, high ceiling
IAD
Washington Dulles
#24
15%
leave 15+ min late
1%
cancelled, ~5 of 490
a normal day
▼ 2 pts in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 28%
7 kt gusts, high ceiling
ATL
Atlanta
#25
15%
leave 15+ min late
<1%
cancelled, ~9 of 1165
+1 pt above normal
▲ 1 pt in 24 h
40%
now
Worst hour ahead 11 PM · 42%
18 kt gusts, high ceiling
Table view
| # | Airport | FAA status | Late departure | Vs. normal | Cancelled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SFO San Francisco | Normal operations | 36% | +7 pts | 1% |
| 2 | DEN Denver | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 33% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 3 | FLL Fort Lauderdale | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 29% | +0 pts | 3% |
| 4 | MIA Miami | Normal operations | 28% | +1 pt | 4% |
| 5 | LAS Las Vegas | Normal operations | 27% | +6 pts | <1% |
| 6 | PHX Phoenix | Normal operations | 25% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 7 | DFW Dallas–Fort Worth | Normal operations | 24% | +1 pt | 1% |
| 8 | LAX Los Angeles | Normal operations | 24% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 9 | SEA Seattle–Tacoma | Normal operations | 23% | +3 pts | <1% |
| 10 | MSP Minneapolis–St Paul | Normal operations | 23% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 11 | ORD Chicago O'Hare | Rough weather, no program posted yet | 23% | +1 pt | 1% |
| 12 | EWR Newark | Normal operations | 20% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 13 | MCO Orlando | Normal operations | 20% | +1 pt | 1% |
| 14 | BWI Baltimore/Washington | Normal operations | 19% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 15 | SLC Salt Lake City | Normal operations | 19% | +2 pts | <1% |
| 16 | IAH Houston Bush | Normal operations | 19% | +1 pt | <1% |
| 17 | PHL Philadelphia | Normal operations | 19% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 18 | CLT Charlotte | Normal operations | 19% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 19 | DCA Washington National | Normal operations | 18% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 20 | BOS Boston Logan | Normal operations | 18% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 21 | JFK New York JFK | Normal operations | 17% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 22 | LGA New York LaGuardia | Normal operations | 17% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 23 | DTW Detroit | Normal operations | 16% | +0 pts | <1% |
| 24 | IAD Washington Dulles | Normal operations | 15% | +0 pts | 1% |
| 25 | ATL Atlanta | Normal operations | 15% | +1 pt | <1% |
“Above normal” (the red part of each bar) is how much worse the late-departure chance is than our estimate for the same flights on a normal day — today that’s the weather forecast; live FAA and airport conditions will join it. Every chart uses the same scale. Airports with too little flight data aren’t shown. Schedule: FAA flight plans for 27,182 flights; the other 4,474 (marked “typical”) are the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, until airlines file their plans, usually about a day ahead.