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The latest, at 12:53 PM CST, reports rain; mist, ceiling 3000 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 8 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T18:59:31.806166Z","time":"12:59 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"35 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 12:59 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 18:59 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T18:53:00Z","time":"12:53 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"41 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 12:53 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 18:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T18:59:30.738817Z","time":"12:59 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"35 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 12:59 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 18:59 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxODo1OTozMS44MDYxNjYrMDA6MDB8MTI5NjM","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","12:53 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","METAR KAUS 151853Z 03008KT 5SM R36R/3500VP6000FT RA BR SCT007 BKN030 OVC070 12/11 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP196 VIS SW 2 P0019 T01170106 $"],["Station","KAUS at Sun Nov 15, 12:53 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":12963,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KAUS&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":12937,"event_id":5257,"slug":"5257-aus-ground-stop","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"ground_stop","type_label":"Ground stop","headline":"FAA extends Austin ground stop to 1:15 PM CST","body":"The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for Austin (AUS), citing “low ceilings”. Flights to AUS are held at their departure airports until 1:15 PM CST. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.","what_changed":"end 12:30 PM CST → 1:15 PM CST","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T18:32:56.827362Z","time":"12:32 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 12:32 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 18:32 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T18:17:00Z","time":"12:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 12:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 18:17 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T18:32:56.772842Z","time":"12:32 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 12:32 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 18:32 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxODozMjo1Ni44MjczNjIrMDA6MDB8MTI5Mzc","lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":12971,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":12971,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"FAA no longer lists a ground stop at Austin","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:11:48.267966Z","time":"1:11 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"22 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:11 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:11 UTC"}}},{"id":12902,"event_id":4936,"slug":"4936-aus-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. 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The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.","what_changed":null,"airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T17:49:50.352105Z","time":"11:49 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 11:49 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 17:49 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T17:33:00Z","time":"11:33 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 17:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T17:49:50.305909Z","time":"11:49 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 11:49 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 17:49 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNzo0OTo1MC4zNTIxMDUrMDA6MDB8MTI4NjA","lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":12971,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":12971,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"FAA no longer lists a ground stop at Austin","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:11:48.267966Z","time":"1:11 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"22 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:11 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:11 UTC"}}},{"id":12808,"event_id":4989,"slug":"4989-aus-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. 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It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 63 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:56:47.507420Z","time":"10:56 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:56 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:00:00Z","time":"10:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:56:45.098764Z","time":"10:56 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:56 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo1Njo0Ny41MDc0MjArMDA6MDB8MTI4MDc","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":5.5,"target":"AUS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":1.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:00:00Z","time":"10:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":12902,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":12902,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T17:56:00.516241Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 11:56 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 17:56 UTC"}}},{"id":12762,"event_id":5235,"slug":"5235-aus-aircraft-turns","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Austin: 9 of 17 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn","body":"Of the 22 departures scheduled from Austin (AUS) between 10:46 AM and 12:16 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into AUS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.","what_changed":null,"airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:46:34.896930Z","time":"10:46 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:46:00Z","time":"10:46 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:46:33.523871Z","time":"10:46 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo0NjozNC44OTY5MzArMDA6MDB8MTI3NjI","measure":{"chips":[["Next","10:46 AM–12:16 PM CST"],["Tight turns","9 of 17"],["Share","53%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","10:46 AM–12:16 PM CST · 22 departures, aircraft known for 17"],["Tight turns","9 (53%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 7 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","DL 2976 to ATL at 11:00 AM: aircraft N614DN, inbound DL 2976 from ATL (airborne), -14 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 353 to LAS at 10:56 AM: aircraft N8907L, inbound WN 2726 from MCO (airborne), -14 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 5032 to MSY at 12:02 PM: aircraft N8832H, inbound WN 5091 from MSY (airborne), 1 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 204 to AMA at 11:37 AM: aircraft N8940Q, inbound WN 954 from BWI (airborne), 17 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 3246 to MIA at 11:59 AM: aircraft N8965Q, inbound WN 4218 from TPA (airborne), 18 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":12762,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":12760,"event_id":5234,"slug":"5234-aus-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Austin arrivals running late: 46% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 13 arrivals that landed between 9:46 AM and 10:46 AM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Austin arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:46:34.201316Z","time":"10:46 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:46:00Z","time":"10:46 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T16:46:33.523871Z","time":"10:46 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo0NjozNC4yMDEzMTYrMDA6MDB8MTI3NjA","measurement":{"window":"9:46 AM–10:46 AM CST","n":13,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"46%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":6.3},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":12760,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":12703,"event_id":5103,"slug":"5103-aus-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Updated model now expects about 5 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 9 → 5 expected cancellations since the 7:00 AM CST forecast","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:57:37.756081Z","time":"9:57 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:57:36.692305Z","time":"9:57 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo1NzozNy43NTYwODErMDA6MDB8MTI3MDM","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":5.5,"target":"AUS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":53,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":13044,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":13044,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:26:08.667395Z","time":"1:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"8 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC"}}},{"id":12702,"event_id":4989,"slug":"4989-aus-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 7 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 67 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 12 → 7 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM CST forecast","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:57:37.754079Z","time":"9:57 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:57:36.692305Z","time":"9:57 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo1NzozNy43NTQwNzkrMDA6MDB8MTI3MDI","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.2,"target":"AUS departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":5.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":67,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":13043,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":13043,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Sunday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:26:08.664857Z","time":"1:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"8 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC"}}},{"id":12701,"event_id":4936,"slug":"4936-aus-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Updated model now expects about 7 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 63 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 11 → 7 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM CST forecast","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:57:37.751550Z","time":"9:57 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:57:36.692305Z","time":"9:57 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo1NzozNy43NTE1NTArMDA6MDB8MTI3MDE","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":6.8,"target":"AUS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":12902,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":12902,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T17:56:00.516241Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 11:56 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 17:56 UTC"}}},{"id":12630,"event_id":5165,"slug":"5165-aus-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Austin departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 departures that took off between 8:41 AM and 9:41 AM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 12% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 56% → 72%","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:41:18.079727Z","time":"9:41 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:41 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:41 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:41:00Z","time":"9:41 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:41 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:41 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T15:41:17.605838Z","time":"9:41 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 9:41 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 15:41 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo0MToxOC4wNzk3MjcrMDA6MDB8MTI2MzA","measurement":{"window":"8:41 AM–9:41 AM CST","n":18,"late_n":13,"share_pct":"72%","baseline_pct":"12%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":23.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":12630,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":12607,"event_id":5165,"slug":"5165-aus-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Austin departures running late: 56% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 16 departures that took off between 8:00 AM and 9:00 AM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 12% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). 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It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Austin departures 9 AM–noon Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 42 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM CST forecast","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:56:28.106022Z","time":"8:56 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:56 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:56:27.165075Z","time":"8:56 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:56 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDo1NjoyOC4xMDYwMjIrMDA6MDB8MTI1OTc","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":4.6,"target":"AUS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":42,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":12597,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":12526,"event_id":5103,"slug":"5103-aus-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 9 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM CST forecast","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:50.148117Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:48.718443Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xNDgxMTcrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjY","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":9.4,"target":"AUS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.6,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":53,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":13044,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":13044,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:26:08.667395Z","time":"1:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"8 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC"}}},{"id":12525,"event_id":4796,"slug":"4796-aus-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model raises Austin departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 73%","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 53 departures scheduled from Austin 6–9 PM Sunday an average 73% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"61% → 73% since the 6:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:50.140542Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:48.718443Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xNDA1NDIrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjU","forecast":{"p_pct":"73%","expected_cancellations":9.4,"target":"AUS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":9.6,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":53,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":12525,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":12524,"event_id":4760,"slug":"4760-aus-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Updated model puts Austin departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday at 75%","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 67 departures scheduled from Austin 3–6 PM Sunday an average 75% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"62% → 75% since the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model changed)","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:50.134652Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:48.718443Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xMzQ2NTIrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"75%","expected_cancellations":12.6,"target":"AUS departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-15 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":6.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":67,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":13042,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":13042,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises Austin departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday to 85%","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:26:08.662172Z","time":"1:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"8 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC"}}},{"id":12523,"event_id":4812,"slug":"4812-aus-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Updated model puts Austin departure delay risk noon–3 PM Sunday at 74%","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 64 departures scheduled from Austin noon–3 PM Sunday an average 74% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. 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It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 7 cancellations among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:26:38.389757Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:26 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:26:37.113811Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:26 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxMzoyNjozOC4zODk3NTcrMDA6MDB8MTI0MDc","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.0,"target":"AUS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)","horizon_h":10.6,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":53,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":13044,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":13044,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T19:26:08.667395Z","time":"1:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"8 min ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC"}}},{"id":12406,"event_id":4796,"slug":"4796-aus-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Updated model puts Austin departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday at 61%","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 53 departures scheduled from Austin 6–9 PM Sunday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"50% → 61% since the 6:00 PM CST forecast (model changed)","airports":["AUS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:26:38.386587Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:26 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-15T13:26:37.113811Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 7:26 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 13:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxMzoyNjozOC4zODY1ODcrMDA6MDB8MTI0MDY","forecast":{"p_pct":"61%","expected_cancellations":7.0,"target":"AUS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-15 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":10.6,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":53,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-15T12:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 6:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":12525,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":12525,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises Austin departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 73%","published":{"utc":"2026-11-15T14:25:50.140542Z","time":"8:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 15","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC"}}}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxMzoyNjozOC4zODY1ODcrMDA6MDB8MTI0MDY","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxOToyNjowOC42NjczOTUrMDA6MDB8MTMwNDQ","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"13044\" data-event=\"5103\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxOToyNjowOC42NjczOTUrMDA6MDB8MTMwNDQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-13044\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T19:26:08.667395Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST\">1:26 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T19:26:08.667395Z\">8 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-13044\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-13044\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 8 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~8 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>4.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-13044\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5103\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"13043\" data-event=\"4989\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxOToyNjowOC42NjQ4NTcrMDA6MDB8MTMwNDM\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-13043\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T19:26:08.664857Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST\">1:26 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T19:26:08.664857Z\">8 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-13043\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk#u-13043\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 9 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 67 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~9 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>1.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk#u-13043\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (6)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4989\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"13042\" data-event=\"4760\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxOToyNjowOC42NjIxNzIrMDA6MDB8MTMwNDI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-13042\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T19:26:08.662172Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 19:26 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 1:26 PM CST\">1:26 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T19:26:08.662172Z\">8 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 85%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-13042\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4760-aus-delays#u-13042\">Model raises Austin departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday to 85%</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 75% → 85% since the 7:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 67 departures scheduled from Austin 3–6 PM Sunday an average 85% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 47%. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>85%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>1.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4760-aus-delays#u-13042\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4760\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4760-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"12971\" data-event=\"5257\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxOToxMTo0OC4yNjc5NjYrMDA6MDB8MTI5NzE\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12971\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T19:11:48.267966Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 19:11 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 1:11 PM CST\">1:11 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T19:11:48.267966Z\">22 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Ground stop</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12971\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop#u-12971\">FAA no longer lists a ground stop at Austin</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> ground stop no longer listed</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The ground stop for flights to Austin (AUS) no longer appears in the FAA’s airport status as of 1:06 PM CST, in 4 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 11:48 AM CST.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop#u-12971\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5257\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12969\" data-event=\"5287\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxOTowNzo0Mi45MTk1MTQrMDA6MDB8MTI5Njk\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12969\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T19:07:42.919514Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 19:07 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 1:07 PM CST\">1:07 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T19:07:42.919514Z\">27 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">New</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Traffic restriction</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12969\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5287-aus-restriction#u-12969\">FAA reports ground delay program for Austin arrivals, average delay 65 min</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The FAA’s airport status lists a ground delay program for flights to Austin (AUS), citing “runway construction”; it gives an average delay of 65 min and a maximum of 183 min. Departures to AUS are given later takeoff times at their origin airports.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5287-aus-restriction#u-12969\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5287\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5287-aus-restriction\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"12963\" data-event=\"5049\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxODo1OTozMS44MDYxNjYrMDA6MDB8MTI5NjM\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12963\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T18:59:31.806166Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 18:59 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 12:59 PM CST\">12:59 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T18:59:31.806166Z\">35 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Weather</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals and departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12963\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5049-aus-weather#u-12963\">Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Austin</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> low cloud or visibility → no longer reported</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">No official weather observation (METAR) for Austin (AUS) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 11:53 AM CST. The latest, at 12:53 PM CST, reports rain; mist, ceiling 3000 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 8 kt.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Observed <b>12:53 PM CST</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KAUS&amp;format=raw&amp;hours=3\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5049-aus-weather#u-12963\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5049\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5049-aus-weather\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12937\" data-event=\"5257\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxODozMjo1Ni44MjczNjIrMDA6MDB8MTI5Mzc\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12937\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T18:32:56.827362Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 18:32 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 12:32 PM CST\">12:32 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T18:32:56.827362Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Ground stop</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12937\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop#u-12937\">FAA extends Austin ground stop to 1:15 PM CST</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> end 12:30 PM CST → 1:15 PM CST</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for Austin (AUS), citing “low ceilings”. Flights to AUS are held at their departure airports until 1:15 PM CST. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop#u-12937\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5257\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12902\" data-event=\"4936\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNzo1NjowMC41MTYyNDErMDA6MDB8MTI5MDI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12902\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T17:56:00.516241Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 17:56 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 11:56 AM CST\">11:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T17:56:00.516241Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12902\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12902\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 9 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 64 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 11:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~9 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12902\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4936\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12860\" data-event=\"5257\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNzo0OTo1MC4zNTIxMDUrMDA6MDB8MTI4NjA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12860\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T17:49:50.352105Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 17:49 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 11:49 AM CST\">11:49 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T17:49:50.352105Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Ground stop</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12860\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop#u-12860\">FAA reports ground stop for flights to Austin until 12:30 PM CST</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for Austin (AUS), citing “low ceilings”. Flights to AUS are held at their departure airports until 12:30 PM CST. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop#u-12860\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5257\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5257-aus-ground-stop\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12808\" data-event=\"4989\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo1Njo0Ny41MTY5ODIrMDA6MDB8MTI4MDg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12808\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T16:56:47.516982Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 16:56 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 10:56 AM CST\">10:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T16:56:47.516982Z\">2 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12808\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12808\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 6 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 67 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~6 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>4.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12808\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (6)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4989\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12807\" data-event=\"4936\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo1Njo0Ny41MDc0MjArMDA6MDB8MTI4MDc\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12807\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T16:56:47.507420Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 16:56 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 10:56 AM CST\">10:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T16:56:47.507420Z\">2 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12807\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12807\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 63 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~6 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>1.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12807\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4936\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12762\" data-event=\"5235\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo0NjozNC44OTY5MzArMDA6MDB8MTI3NjI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12762\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T16:46:34.896930Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST\">10:46 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T16:46:34.896930Z\">2 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">New</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Inbound aircraft</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12762\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5235-aus-aircraft-turns#u-12762\">Austin: 9 of 17 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of the 22 departures scheduled from Austin (AUS) between 10:46 AM and 12:16 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into AUS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Next <b>10:46 AM–12:16 PM CST</b></span><span>Tight turns <b>9 of 17</b></span><span>Share <b>53%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5235-aus-aircraft-turns#u-12762\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5235\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5235-aus-aircraft-turns\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12760\" data-event=\"5234\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNjo0NjozNC4yMDEzMTYrMDA6MDB8MTI3NjA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12760\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T16:46:34.201316Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 16:46 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 10:46 AM CST\">10:46 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T16:46:34.201316Z\">2 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">New</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12760\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5234-aus-delays#u-12760\">Austin arrivals running late: 46% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 13 arrivals that landed between 9:46 AM and 10:46 AM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Austin arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>9:46 AM–10:46 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>13 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>46%</b></span><span>Typical <b>22%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5234-aus-delays#u-12760\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5234\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5234-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12703\" data-event=\"5103\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo1NzozNy43NTYwODErMDA6MDB8MTI3MDM\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12703\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T15:57:37.756081Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST\">9:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T15:57:37.756081Z\">3 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12703\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12703\">Updated model now expects about 5 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 9 → 5 expected cancellations since the 7:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~6 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12703\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5103\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12702\" data-event=\"4989\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo1NzozNy43NTQwNzkrMDA6MDB8MTI3MDI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12702\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T15:57:37.754079Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST\">9:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T15:57:37.754079Z\">3 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12702\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12702\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 7 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 12 → 7 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 67 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~7 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>5.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12702\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (6)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4989\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4989-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12701\" data-event=\"4936\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo1NzozNy43NTE1NTArMDA6MDB8MTI3MDE\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12701\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T15:57:37.751550Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 15:57 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 9:57 AM CST\">9:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T15:57:37.751550Z\">3 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12701\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12701\">Updated model now expects about 7 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 11 → 7 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 63 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~7 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12701\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4936\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4936-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12630\" data-event=\"5165\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTo0MToxOC4wNzk3MjcrMDA6MDB8MTI2MzA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12630\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T15:41:18.079727Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 15:41 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 9:41 AM CST\">9:41 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T15:41:18.079727Z\">3 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12630\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5165-aus-delays#u-12630\">Austin departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 56% → 72%</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 18 departures that took off between 8:41 AM and 9:41 AM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 12% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>8:41 AM–9:41 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>18 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>72%</b></span><span>Typical <b>12%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5165-aus-delays#u-12630\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5165\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5165-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12607\" data-event=\"5165\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNTowMDozMi43Njk5OTQrMDA6MDB8MTI2MDc\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12607\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T15:00:32.769994Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 15:00 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 9:00 AM CST\">9:00 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T15:00:32.769994Z\">4 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12607\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5165-aus-delays#u-12607\">Austin departures running late: 56% left 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 16 departures that took off between 8:00 AM and 9:00 AM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 12% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>8:00 AM–9:00 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>16 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>56%</b></span><span>Typical <b>12%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5165-aus-delays#u-12607\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5165\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5165-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12597\" data-event=\"4898\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDo1NjoyOC4xMDYwMjIrMDA6MDB8MTI1OTc\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12597\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T14:56:28.106022Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 14:56 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 8:56 AM CST\">8:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T14:56:28.106022Z\">4 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12597\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4898-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12597\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Austin departures 9 AM–noon Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 42 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~5 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4898-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12597\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4898\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4898-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12526\" data-event=\"5103\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xNDgxMTcrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjY\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12526\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.148117Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST\">8:25 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.148117Z\">5 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12526\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12526\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 9 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM CST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~9 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12526\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5103\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12525\" data-event=\"4796\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xNDA1NDIrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjU\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12525\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.140542Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST\">8:25 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.140542Z\">5 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 73%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12525\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4796-aus-delays#u-12525\">Model raises Austin departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 73%</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 61% → 73% since the 6:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 53 departures scheduled from Austin 6–9 PM Sunday an average 73% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>73%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4796-aus-delays#u-12525\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4796\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4796-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12524\" data-event=\"4760\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xMzQ2NTIrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12524\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.134652Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST\">8:25 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.134652Z\">5 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 75%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12524\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4760-aus-delays#u-12524\">Updated model puts Austin departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday at 75%</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 62% → 75% since the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model changed)</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 67 departures scheduled from Austin 3–6 PM Sunday an average 75% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>75%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>6.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4760-aus-delays#u-12524\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4760\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4760-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12523\" data-event=\"4812\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxNDoyNTo1MC4xMjY5OTgrMDA6MDB8MTI1MjM\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12523\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.126998Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 14:25 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 8:25 AM CST\">8:25 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T14:25:50.126998Z\">5 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 74%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12523\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4812-aus-delays#u-12523\">Updated model puts Austin departure delay risk noon–3 PM Sunday at 74%</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 63% → 74% since the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model changed)</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 64 departures scheduled from Austin noon–3 PM Sunday an average 74% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>74%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>3.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4812-aus-delays#u-12523\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4812\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4812-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"12407\" data-event=\"5103\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxMzoyNjozOC4zODk3NTcrMDA6MDB8MTI0MDc\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12407\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T13:26:38.389757Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 13:26 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 7:26 AM CST\">7:26 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T13:26:38.389757Z\">6 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12407\"><a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12407\">Model expects about 7 cancellations among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~7 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>10.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk#u-12407\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"5103\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/5103-aus-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"12406\" data-event=\"4796\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNVQxMzoyNjozOC4zODY1ODcrMDA6MDB8MTI0MDY\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-12406\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-15T13:26:38.386587Z\" title=\"2026-11-15 13:26 UTC · Sun Nov 15, 7:26 AM CST\">7:26 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 15</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-15T13:26:38.386587Z\">6 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 61%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/AUS\">AUS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-12406\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4796-aus-delays#u-12406\">Updated model puts Austin departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday at 61%</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 50% → 61% since the 6:00 PM CST forecast (model changed)</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 53 departures scheduled from Austin 6–9 PM Sunday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>61%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>10.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4796-aus-delays#u-12406\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/AUS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View AUS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4796\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4796-aus-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n"],"filters":"airport=AUS&mode=all"}