{"items":[{"id":10112,"event_id":4400,"slug":"4400-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 79 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). 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This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T08:27:08.351196Z","time":"3:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 3:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T07:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T08:27:03.729660Z","time":"3:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 3:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwODoyNzowOC4zNTExOTYrMDA6MDB8OTkyMg","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.5,"target":"BOS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T07:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":10021,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":10021,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:58:30.847978Z","time":"4:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC"}}},{"id":9921,"event_id":4209,"slug":"4209-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 13 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 13 of the 107 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 10 → 13 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T08:27:08.265737Z","time":"3:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 3:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T07:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T08:27:03.729660Z","time":"3:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 3:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwODoyNzowOC4yNjU3MzcrMDA6MDB8OTkyMQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":13.4,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":5.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":107,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T07:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":10020,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":10020,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 14 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:58:30.841135Z","time":"4:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC"}}},{"id":9839,"event_id":4260,"slug":"4260-bos-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Boston departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Saturday to 27%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 107 departures scheduled from Boston 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 27% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"41% → 27%; calm-weather level 13%","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T06:57:41.448663Z","time":"1:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 1:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 06:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T06:00:00Z","time":"1:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 1:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 06:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T06:57:38.573134Z","time":"1:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 1:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 06:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwNjo1Nzo0MS40NDg2NjMrMDA6MDB8OTgzOQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"27%","expected_cancellations":10.4,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":7.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":107,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T06:00:00Z","time":"1:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 1:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 06:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":9839,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9723,"event_id":4209,"slug":"4209-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Updated model now expects about 10 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 108 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 10 expected cancellations since the 9:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T04:57:42.583059Z","time":"11:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 04:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T04:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T04:57:41.705246Z","time":"11:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 04:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwNDo1Nzo0Mi41ODMwNTkrMDA6MDB8OTcyMw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":9.6,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":108,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T04:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 04:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":10020,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":10020,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 14 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:58:30.841135Z","time":"4:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC"}}},{"id":9662,"event_id":4260,"slug":"4260-bos-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 109 departures scheduled from Boston 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 41% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:58:17.187968Z","time":"10:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 10:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:58:15.993642Z","time":"10:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 10:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMzo1ODoxNy4xODc5NjgrMDA6MDB8OTY2Mg","forecast":{"p_pct":"41%","expected_cancellations":8.3,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":10.0,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":109,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 10:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":9839,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9839,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Model lowers Boston departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Saturday to 27%, near normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T06:57:41.448663Z","time":"1:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 1:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 06:57 UTC"}}},{"id":9614,"event_id":4016,"slug":"4016-bos-restriction","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"traffic_restriction","type_label":"Traffic restriction","headline":"FAA no longer lists a ground delay program at Boston","body":"The ground delay program for flights to Boston (BOS) no longer appears in the FAA’s airport status as of 9:59 PM EST, in 4 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 3:52 PM EST.","what_changed":"ground delay program no longer listed","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:03:09.219469Z","time":"10:03 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 10:03 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:03 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:59:35.804000Z","time":"9:59 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:59 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:59 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:03:09.172047Z","time":"10:03 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 10:03 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:03 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMzowMzowOS4yMTk0NjkrMDA6MDB8OTYxNA","lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":9614,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9593,"event_id":4209,"slug":"4209-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 6 cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 109 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:03.625070Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:00:00Z","time":"9:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:00.520977Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMjo1NzowMy42MjUwNzArMDA6MDB8OTU5Mw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":5.5,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":11.0,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":109,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:00:00Z","time":"9:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":10020,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":10020,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 14 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:58:30.841135Z","time":"4:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC"}}},{"id":9592,"event_id":4176,"slug":"4176-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Updated model now expects about 12 among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 101 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 8 → 12 expected cancellations since the 7:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:03.618440Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:00:00Z","time":"9:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:00.520977Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMjo1NzowMy42MTg0NDArMDA6MDB8OTU5Mg","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":12.2,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":101,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:00:00Z","time":"9:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":9592,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9591,"event_id":4208,"slug":"4208-bos-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 101 departures scheduled from Boston 6–9 AM Saturday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 10%. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:03.611697Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:00:00Z","time":"9:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:00.520977Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMjo1NzowMy42MTE2OTcrMDA6MDB8OTU5MQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"45%","expected_cancellations":12.2,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":8.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":101,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:00:00Z","time":"9:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9591,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9555,"event_id":4186,"slug":"4186-ground-stop","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"ground_stop","type_label":"Ground stop","headline":"FAA advisory: “CNX NATIONWIDE GROUND STOP”","body":"The FAA issued this advisory: “EVENT TIME: 14/0116 - 14/0130 DESTINATION AIRPORT:ALL FACILITIES INCLUDED: ALL EXPECT UPDATE:0400Z REASON: REMARKS: THE FAA COMMAND CENTER NATIONWIDE GROUND STOP HAS BEEN CANCELLED.” This is an advisory bulletin; its text defines the affected flights and time period.","what_changed":null,"airports":[],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:51:54.235141Z","time":"8:51 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:51 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:51 UTC"},"source_event":null,"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:50:18.128000Z","time":"8:50 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:50 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_advisories faa-advisories-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMTo1MTo1NC4yMzUxNDErMDA6MDB8OTU1NQ","lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9555,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA ATCSCC advisory","url":"https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11142026&advn=5","role":"primary","source":"faa_advisory"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9541,"event_id":4176,"slug":"4176-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 8 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 104 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:28.440610Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 00:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:27.527988Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMToyNzoyOC40NDA2MTArMDA6MDB8OTU0MQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.6,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":104,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 00:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":9592,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9592,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Updated model now expects about 12 among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T02:57:03.618440Z","time":"9:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC"}}},{"id":9540,"event_id":4090,"slug":"4090-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 22 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (51%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 11 → 11 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:28.432326Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 00:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:27.527988Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMToyNzoyOC40MzIzMjYrMDA6MDB8OTU0MA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":11.1,"target":"BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":22,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T00:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 00:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":9540,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9507,"event_id":4163,"slug":"4163-ground-stop","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"ground_stop","type_label":"Ground stop","headline":"FAA advisory: “NATIONWIDE GROUND STOP”","body":"The FAA issued this advisory: “EVENT TIME: 13/2245 - 14/0400 DESTINATION AIRPORT:ALL FACILITIES INCLUDED: ALL EXPECT UPDATE:0400Z REASON: COMMUNICATIONS FAILURE REMARKS: THE FAA COMMAND CENTER GROUND STOP REMAINS IN EFFECT. AS ENROUTE FACILITIES RECOVER, FLIGHTS WILL BE ALLOWED TO DEPART THROUGH COORDINATION WITH THE AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM COMMAND CENTER.” This is an advisory bulletin; its text defines the affected flights and time period.","what_changed":null,"airports":[],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T00:01:30.036043Z","time":"7:01 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:01 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 00:01 UTC"},"source_event":null,"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T00:00:21.228000Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 00:00 UTC"},"historical":true,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_advisories faa-advisories-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMDowMTozMC4wMzYwNDMrMDA6MDB8OTUwNw","lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9507,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA ATCSCC advisory","url":"https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11132026&advn=120","role":"primary","source":"faa_advisory"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9485,"event_id":4090,"slug":"4090-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 23 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (46%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 10 → 11 expected cancellations since the 5:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T23:57:19.519589Z","time":"6:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 6:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 23:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T23:00:00Z","time":"6:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 23:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T23:57:18.729595Z","time":"6:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"11 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 6:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 23:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMzo1NzoxOS41MTk1ODkrMDA6MDB8OTQ4NQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":10.6,"target":"BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":23,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T23:00:00Z","time":"6:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 23:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":9540,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9540,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:28.432326Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"}}},{"id":9426,"event_id":4090,"slug":"4090-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (41%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 9 → 10 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T22:57:31.915078Z","time":"5:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 5:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 22:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 22:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T22:57:30.715189Z","time":"5:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 5:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 22:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMjo1NzozMS45MTUwNzgrMDA6MDB8OTQyNg","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":9.8,"target":"BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":3.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":24,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 22:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":9540,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9540,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:28.432326Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"}}},{"id":9295,"event_id":4090,"slug":"4090-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 9 cancellations among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (38%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T21:56:50.127563Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 4:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 21:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T21:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 4:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 21:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T21:56:47.706401Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 4:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 21:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMTo1Njo1MC4xMjc1NjMrMDA6MDB8OTI5NQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":9.1,"target":"BOS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":4.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":24,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T21:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 4:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 21:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":9540,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9540,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T01:27:28.432326Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC"}}}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMTo1Njo1MC4xMjc1NjMrMDA6MDB8OTI5NQ","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxMDo1NjowNS4wNzU4MjcrMDA6MDB8MTAxMTI","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10112\" data-event=\"4400\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxMDo1NjowNS4wNzU4MjcrMDA6MDB8MTAxMTI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10112\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T10:56:05.075827Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 10:56 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 5:56 AM EST\">5:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T10:56:05.075827Z\">58 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10112\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4400-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10112\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 12 among Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 12 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 79 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~12 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4400-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10112\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4400\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4400-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"10022\" data-event=\"4400\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC44NTE5OTYrMDA6MDB8MTAwMjI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10022\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.851996Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST\">4:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.851996Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10022\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4400-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10022\">Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 79 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~7 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>10.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4400-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10022\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4400\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4400-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10021\" data-event=\"4369\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC44NDc5NzgrMDA6MDB8MTAwMjE\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10021\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.847978Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST\">4:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.847978Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10021\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10021\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 3 → 8 expected cancellations since the 3:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 64 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~8 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>7.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10021\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4369\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10020\" data-event=\"4209\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC44NDExMzUrMDA6MDB8MTAwMjA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10020\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.841135Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST\">4:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.841135Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10020\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10020\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 14 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 14 expected cancellations since the 3:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 14 of the 106 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~14 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>4.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-10020\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4209\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"10019\" data-event=\"4399\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC44MzY2ODcrMDA6MDB8MTAwMTk\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10019\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.836687Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST\">4:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.836687Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 41%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">New</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10019\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4399-bos-delays#u-10019\">Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Boston departures 3–6 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 79 departures scheduled from Boston 3–6 PM Saturday an average 41% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>41%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>10.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4399-bos-delays#u-10019\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4399\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4399-bos-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"10018\" data-event=\"4398\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC44MzE2NzkrMDA6MDB8MTAwMTg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10018\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.831679Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST\">4:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.831679Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 44%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">New</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10018\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4398-bos-delays#u-10018\">Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 64 departures scheduled from Boston noon–3 PM Saturday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 17%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>44%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>7.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4398-bos-delays#u-10018\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4398\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4398-bos-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"10017\" data-event=\"4397\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC44MjQ2MTUrMDA6MDB8MTAwMTc\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10017\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.824615Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 4:58 AM EST\">4:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.824615Z\">1 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 42%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">New</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10017\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4397-bos-delays#u-10017\">Model forecasts 42% delay risk for Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 106 departures scheduled from Boston 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 42% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>42%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>4.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4397-bos-delays#u-10017\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4397\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4397-bos-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9962\" data-event=\"4369\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwODo1Nzo1MC43NDgyODUrMDA6MDB8OTk2Mg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9962\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T08:57:50.748285Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 08:57 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 3:57 AM EST\">3:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T08:57:50.748285Z\">2 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9962\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9962\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 3 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 64 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~3 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9962\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4369\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"9961\" data-event=\"4209\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwODo1Nzo1MC43NDUxMjcrMDA6MDB8OTk2MQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9961\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T08:57:50.745127Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 08:57 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 3:57 AM EST\">3:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T08:57:50.745127Z\">2 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9961\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9961\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 13 → 6 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 107 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~6 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>5.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9961\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4209\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9922\" data-event=\"4369\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwODoyNzowOC4zNTExOTYrMDA6MDB8OTkyMg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9922\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T08:27:08.351196Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 08:27 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 3:27 AM EST\">3:27 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T08:27:08.351196Z\">3 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9922\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9922\">Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 63 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~8 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9922\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4369\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4369-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9921\" data-event=\"4209\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwODoyNzowOC4yNjU3MzcrMDA6MDB8OTkyMQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9921\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T08:27:08.265737Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 08:27 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 3:27 AM EST\">3:27 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T08:27:08.265737Z\">3 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9921\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9921\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 13 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 10 → 13 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 13 of the 107 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~13 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>5.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9921\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4209\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"9839\" data-event=\"4260\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwNjo1Nzo0MS40NDg2NjMrMDA6MDB8OTgzOQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9839\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T06:57:41.448663Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 06:57 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 1:57 AM EST\">1:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T06:57:41.448663Z\">4 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 27%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9839\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4260-bos-delays#u-9839\">Model lowers Boston departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Saturday to 27%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 41% → 27%; calm-weather level 13%</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 107 departures scheduled from Boston 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 27% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>27%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>7.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4260-bos-delays#u-9839\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4260\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4260-bos-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"9723\" data-event=\"4209\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwNDo1Nzo0Mi41ODMwNTkrMDA6MDB8OTcyMw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9723\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T04:57:42.583059Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 04:57 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 11:57 PM EST\">11:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T04:57:42.583059Z\">6 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9723\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9723\">Updated model now expects about 10 among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 10 expected cancellations since the 9:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 108 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~10 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9723\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4209\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"9662\" data-event=\"4260\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMzo1ODoxNy4xODc5NjgrMDA6MDB8OTY2Mg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9662\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T03:58:17.187968Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 03:58 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 10:58 PM EST\">10:58 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T03:58:17.187968Z\">7 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 41%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9662\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4260-bos-delays#u-9662\">Model forecasts 41% delay risk for Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 109 departures scheduled from Boston 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 41% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 13%. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>41%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>10.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4260-bos-delays#u-9662\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4260\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4260-bos-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"9614\" data-event=\"4016\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMzowMzowOS4yMTk0NjkrMDA6MDB8OTYxNA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9614\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T03:03:09.219469Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 03:03 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 10:03 PM EST\">10:03 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T03:03:09.219469Z\">8 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Traffic restriction</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9614\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4016-bos-restriction#u-9614\">FAA no longer lists a ground delay program at Boston</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> ground delay program no longer listed</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The ground delay program for flights to Boston (BOS) no longer appears in the FAA’s airport status as of 9:59 PM EST, in 4 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 3:52 PM EST.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4016-bos-restriction#u-9614\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4016\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4016-bos-restriction\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"9593\" data-event=\"4209\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMjo1NzowMy42MjUwNzArMDA6MDB8OTU5Mw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9593\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T02:57:03.625070Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST\">9:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T02:57:03.625070Z\">8 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9593\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9593\">Model expects about 6 cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 109 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~6 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>11.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9593\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4209\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4209-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9592\" data-event=\"4176\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMjo1NzowMy42MTg0NDArMDA6MDB8OTU5Mg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9592\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T02:57:03.618440Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST\">9:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T02:57:03.618440Z\">8 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9592\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4176-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9592\">Updated model now expects about 12 among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 8 → 12 expected cancellations since the 7:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 12 of the 101 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~12 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4176-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9592\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4176\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4176-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"9591\" data-event=\"4208\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMjo1NzowMy42MTE2OTcrMDA6MDB8OTU5MQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9591\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T02:57:03.611697Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 02:57 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 9:57 PM EST\">9:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T02:57:03.611697Z\">8 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 45%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9591\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4208-bos-delays#u-9591\">Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 101 departures scheduled from Boston 6–9 AM Saturday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 10%. From the 9:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>45%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4208-bos-delays#u-9591\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4208\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4208-bos-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9555\" data-event=\"4186\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMTo1MTo1NC4yMzUxNDErMDA6MDB8OTU1NQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9555\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T01:51:54.235141Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 01:51 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 8:51 PM EST\">8:51 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T01:51:54.235141Z\">10 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Ground stop</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals and departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9555\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4186-ground-stop#u-9555\">FAA advisory: “CNX NATIONWIDE GROUND STOP”</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The FAA issued this advisory: “EVENT TIME: 14/0116 - 14/0130 DESTINATION AIRPORT:ALL FACILITIES INCLUDED: ALL EXPECT UPDATE:0400Z REASON: REMARKS: THE FAA COMMAND CENTER NATIONWIDE GROUND STOP HAS BEEN CANCELLED.” This is an advisory bulletin; its text defines the affected flights and time period.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11142026&amp;advn=5\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA ATCSCC advisory ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4186-ground-stop#u-9555\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      \n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4186\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4186-ground-stop\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"9541\" data-event=\"4176\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMToyNzoyOC40NDA2MTArMDA6MDB8OTU0MQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9541\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T01:27:28.440610Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST\">8:27 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T01:27:28.440610Z\">10 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9541\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4176-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9541\">Model expects about 8 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 104 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~8 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4176-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9541\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4176\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4176-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9540\" data-event=\"4090\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMToyNzoyOC40MzIzMjYrMDA6MDB8OTU0MA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9540\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T01:27:28.432326Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 01:27 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 8:27 PM EST\">8:27 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T01:27:28.432326Z\">10 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9540\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9540\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 11 → 11 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 22 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (51%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~11 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9540\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4090\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9507\" data-event=\"4163\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMDowMTozMC4wMzYwNDMrMDA6MDB8OTUwNw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9507\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T00:01:30.036043Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 00:01 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 7:01 PM EST\">7:01 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T00:01:30.036043Z\">11 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-confirmed\" title=\"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-check\"/></svg>Confirmed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Ground stop</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals and departures</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-hist\" title=\"Published late (backfilled or delayed ingestion); not sent as an alert\">Late report</span>\n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9507\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4163-ground-stop#u-9507\">FAA advisory: “NATIONWIDE GROUND STOP”</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">The FAA issued this advisory: “EVENT TIME: 13/2245 - 14/0400 DESTINATION AIRPORT:ALL FACILITIES INCLUDED: ALL EXPECT UPDATE:0400Z REASON: COMMUNICATIONS FAILURE REMARKS: THE FAA COMMAND CENTER GROUND STOP REMAINS IN EFFECT. AS ENROUTE FACILITIES RECOVER, FLIGHTS WILL BE ALLOWED TO DEPART THROUGH COORDINATION WITH THE AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM COMMAND CENTER.” This is an advisory bulletin; its text defines the affected flights and time period.</p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: <a href=\"https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11132026&amp;advn=120\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">FAA ATCSCC advisory ↗</a></span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4163-ground-stop#u-9507\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      \n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4163\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4163-ground-stop\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9485\" data-event=\"4090\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMzo1NzoxOS41MTk1ODkrMDA6MDB8OTQ4NQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9485\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T23:57:19.519589Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 23:57 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 6:57 PM EST\">6:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T23:57:19.519589Z\">11 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9485\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9485\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 10 → 11 expected cancellations since the 5:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 23 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (46%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~11 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9485\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4090\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9426\" data-event=\"4090\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMjo1NzozMS45MTUwNzgrMDA6MDB8OTQyNg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9426\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T22:57:31.915078Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 22:57 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 5:57 PM EST\">5:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T22:57:31.915078Z\">12 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9426\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9426\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 9 → 10 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (41%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~10 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>3.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9426\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4090\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9295\" data-event=\"4090\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMTo1Njo1MC4xMjc1NjMrMDA6MDB8OTI5NQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9295\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T21:56:50.127563Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 21:56 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 4:56 PM EST\">4:56 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T21:56:50.127563Z\">13 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/BOS\">BOS</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9295\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9295\">Model expects about 9 cancellations among Boston departures 9 PM–midnight Friday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (38%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~9 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>4.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk#u-9295\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/BOS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View BOS</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4090\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4090-bos-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n"],"filters":"airport=BOS&mode=all"}