{"items":[{"id":8806,"event_id":3876,"slug":"3876-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Boston departures noon–3 PM Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 8 → 4 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:55:50.615877Z","time":"3:55 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:55 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:55:50.218130Z","time":"3:55 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:55 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODo1NTo1MC42MTU4NzcrMDA6MDB8ODgwNg","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":4.0,"target":"BOS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":77,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8806,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8663,"event_id":3832,"slug":"3832-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 8 cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 117 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:56:46.361950Z","time":"10:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:56:45.160041Z","time":"10:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMzo1Njo0Ni4zNjE5NTArMDA6MDB8ODY2Mw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.5,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":10.1,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":117,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8663,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8554,"event_id":3780,"slug":"3780-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 9 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 AM Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 112 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:27:37.645329Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:27:36.436003Z","time":"8:27 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:27 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMToyNzozNy42NDUzMjkrMDA6MDB8ODU1NA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":8.8,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":112,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8554,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8449,"event_id":3718,"slug":"3718-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 6 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 PM Thursday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 101 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Thursday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:56:16.660627Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:56:15.236030Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQyMTo1NjoxNi42NjA2MjcrMDA6MDB8ODQ0OQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":5.5,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-12 (cancelled)","horizon_h":1.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":101,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8449,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7530,"event_id":3256,"slug":"3256-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 81 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 3 → 2","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:57:18.996959Z","time":"6:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:57:16.358453Z","time":"6:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxMTo1NzoxOC45OTY5NTkrMDA6MDB8NzUzMA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.5,"target":"BOS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-07 (cancelled)","horizon_h":5.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":81,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7530,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7529,"event_id":3255,"slug":"3255-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 120 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 5 → 3","airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:57:18.993559Z","time":"6:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:57:16.358453Z","time":"6:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxMTo1NzoxOC45OTM1NTkrMDA6MDB8NzUyOQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":3.4,"target":"BOS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-07 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":120,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-07T11:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7529,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7490,"event_id":3254,"slug":"3254-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 123 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T08:27:01.213797Z","time":"3:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 3:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T07:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 2:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T08:27:00.542115Z","time":"3:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 3:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwODoyNzowMS4yMTM3OTcrMDA6MDB8NzQ5MA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.0,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-07 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":123,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-07T07:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 2:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7490,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7256,"event_id":3187,"slug":"3187-bos-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 113 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["BOS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:56:00.783074Z","time":"5:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:55:59.164561Z","time":"5:55 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:55 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMjo1NjowMC43ODMwNzQrMDA6MDB8NzI1Ng","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":6.6,"target":"BOS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-06 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":113,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7256,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":null,"top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODo1NTo1MC42MTU4NzcrMDA6MDB8ODgwNg","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 13\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Major\n Developing\n \n De-escalation\n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Boston departures noon–3 PM Friday

\n

What changed: about 8 → 4 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM EST forecast

\n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 77 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Friday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 3:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~4 cancellationsHorizon 8.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View BOS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 12\n 6 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model expects about 8 cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Friday

\n \n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 117 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~8 cancellationsHorizon 10.1 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View BOS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 12\n 9 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model expects about 9 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 AM Friday

\n \n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 112 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Friday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 9.5 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View BOS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 12\n 12 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 PM Thursday

\n \n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 101 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Thursday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View BOS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 7\n 5 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers expected cancellations among Boston departures noon–3 PM Saturday to about 2

\n

What changed: about 3 → 2

\n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 81 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~2 cancellationsHorizon 5.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View BOS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 7\n 5 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers expected cancellations among Boston departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 3

\n

What changed: about 5 → 3

\n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 120 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~3 cancellationsHorizon 2.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View BOS\n \n \n
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\n \n EST, Nov 7\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Forecast\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
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Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 AM Saturday

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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 123 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

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Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 2.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View BOS\n \n \n
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\n \n EST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Forecast\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Cancellation\n BOS\n departures\n \n \n
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Model expects about 7 cancellations among Boston departures 6–9 PM Friday

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Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 113 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

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Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View BOS\n \n \n
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\n"],"filters":"type=cancellation&airport=BOS"}