{"items":[{"id":6202,"event_id":2710,"slug":"2710-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Tuesday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 61 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T20:28:32.995781Z","time":"3:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 20:28 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T19:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 2:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 19:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T20:28:26.545971Z","time":"3:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 20:28 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMDoyODozMi45OTU3ODErMDA6MDB8NjIwMg","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.0,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-03 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":61,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T19:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 2:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 19:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6202,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6038,"event_id":2641,"slug":"2641-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Tuesday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 60 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 3 → 3","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:06.163216Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:05.116805Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4xNjMyMTYrMDA6MDB8NjAzOA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.7,"target":"FLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-03 (cancelled)","horizon_h":5.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":60,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"6:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":6038,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6010,"event_id":2594,"slug":"2594-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Tuesday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 70 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Tuesday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 4 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:58:38.098764Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:58:36.606520Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMDo1ODozOC4wOTg3NjQrMDA6MDB8NjAxMA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":3.7,"target":"FLL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-03 (cancelled)","horizon_h":3.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":70,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":6010,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6009,"event_id":2640,"slug":"2640-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Tuesday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 60 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 5 → 3","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:58:38.095846Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:58:36.606520Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMDo1ODozOC4wOTU4NDYrMDA6MDB8NjAwOQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.6,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-03 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":60,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T10:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 10:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6009,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5902,"event_id":2567,"slug":"2567-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Tuesday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 60 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 5 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:58:30.717370Z","time":"11:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:58:29.255534Z","time":"11:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNDo1ODozMC43MTczNzArMDA6MDB8NTkwMg","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.4,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-03 (cancelled)","horizon_h":6.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":60,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5902,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5715,"event_id":2243,"slug":"2243-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 6 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Monday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 86 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Monday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 3. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 3 → 6 expected cancellations since the 2:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:57:36.680043Z","time":"5:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:57:32.708531Z","time":"5:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQyMjo1NzozNi42ODAwNDMrMDA6MDB8NTcxNQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":6.1,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":86,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":5715,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":6,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5584,"event_id":2419,"slug":"2419-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 5 expected cancellations since the 12:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T19:26:59.027205Z","time":"2:26 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 2:26 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 19:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T18:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 18:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T19:26:55.329169Z","time":"2:26 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 2:26 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 19:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxOToyNjo1OS4wMjcyMDUrMDA6MDB8NTU4NA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":5.4,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":59,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T18:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 18:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":5584,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5485,"event_id":2402,"slug":"2402-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 71 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 8 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T16:58:15.263160Z","time":"11:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 16:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T16:58:07.746406Z","time":"11:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 16:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNjo1ODoxNS4yNjMxNjArMDA6MDB8NTQ4NQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.6,"target":"FLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":71,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5485,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5394,"event_id":2343,"slug":"2343-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 4 → 3","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:27:39.018437Z","time":"9:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 8:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:27:34.696796Z","time":"9:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNDoyNzozOS4wMTg0MzcrMDA6MDB8NTM5NA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.5,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":5.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":59,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 8:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":5394,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5393,"event_id":2138,"slug":"2138-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 69 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 8 → 3","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:27:39.013515Z","time":"9:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 8:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:27:34.696796Z","time":"9:27 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:27 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNDoyNzozOS4wMTM1MTUrMDA6MDB8NTM5Mw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.5,"target":"FLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":69,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 8:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":8,"latest_update_id":5393,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":8,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5360,"event_id":2092,"slug":"2092-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Monday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 79 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Monday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 9 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:58:40.531405Z","time":"8:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 8:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T12:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 7:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:58:34.605148Z","time":"8:58 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 8:58 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMzo1ODo0MC41MzE0MDUrMDA6MDB8NTM2MA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":9.3,"target":"FLL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":79,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T12:00:00Z","time":"7:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 7:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":7,"latest_update_id":5360,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":7,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5260,"event_id":2046,"slug":"2046-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 69 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 3 → 8 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T10:42:43.226654Z","time":"5:42 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:42 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 10:42 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T09:00:00Z","time":"4:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 09:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T10:42:42.273420Z","time":"5:42 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:42 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 10:42 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMDo0Mjo0My4yMjY2NTQrMDA6MDB8NTI2MA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.6,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.3,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":69,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T09:00:00Z","time":"4:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 09:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":5260,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":5,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5198,"event_id":2206,"slug":"2206-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 5 → 3","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T06:59:05.107711Z","time":"1:59 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:59 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 06:59 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T06:00:00Z","time":"1:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 06:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T06:59:01.654914Z","time":"1:59 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:59 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 06:59 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQwNjo1OTowNS4xMDc3MTErMDA6MDB8NTE5OA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.5,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)","horizon_h":13.0,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":59,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T06:00:00Z","time":"1:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 06:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5198,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":4915,"event_id":1989,"slug":"1989-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 9 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 88 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 6. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 13 → 9 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-01T22:57:38.608794Z","time":"5:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 5:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 22:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-01T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 22:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-01T22:57:35.283618Z","time":"5:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 5:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 22:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQyMjo1NzozOC42MDg3OTQrMDA6MDB8NDkxNQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":9.4,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-01 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":88,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-01T22:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 5:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 22:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":4915,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":6,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":4710,"event_id":2091,"slug":"2091-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 7 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 64 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 3. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 7 expected cancellations since the 11:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-01T17:58:53.371748Z","time":"12:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 12:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 17:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-01T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 17:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-01T17:58:47.775252Z","time":"12:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 12:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 17:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQxNzo1ODo1My4zNzE3NDgrMDA6MDB8NDcxMA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":7.2,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-01 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":64,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-01T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 17:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":4710,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":4679,"event_id":2064,"slug":"2064-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Sunday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 76 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 4. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 10 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM EST forecast","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-01T16:57:32.260483Z","time":"11:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 11:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 16:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-01T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-01T16:57:26.871467Z","time":"11:57 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 11:57 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 16:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQxNjo1NzozMi4yNjA0ODMrMDA6MDB8NDY3OQ","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":10.0,"target":"FLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-01 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":76,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-01T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":4679,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":4537,"event_id":2001,"slug":"2001-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday to about 3","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 63 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 3 → 3","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-01T10:26:18.292166Z","time":"5:26 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 5:26 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 10:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-01T09:00:00Z","time":"4:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"12 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 4:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 09:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-01T10:26:17.458616Z","time":"5:26 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"11 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 5:26 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 10:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQxMDoyNjoxOC4yOTIxNjYrMDA6MDB8NDUzNw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.8,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-01 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.6,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-01T09:00:00Z","time":"4:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 1","ago":"12 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 1, 4:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-01 09:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":4537,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":3517,"event_id":1503,"slug":"1503-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Tuesday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 63 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-27T13:26:41.947055Z","time":"9:26 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"16 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 9:26 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 13:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-27T12:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"16 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 8:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-27T13:26:40.481624Z","time":"9:26 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"16 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 9:26 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 13:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QxMzoyNjo0MS45NDcwNTUrMDA6MDB8MzUxNw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.1,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-10-27 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-27T12:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"16 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 8:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":3517,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":4,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":3496,"event_id":1477,"slug":"1477-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Tuesday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 43 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 5 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-27T09:55:45.698891Z","time":"5:55 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 5:55 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 09:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-27T09:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 5:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 09:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-27T09:55:45.173925Z","time":"5:55 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 5:55 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 09:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QwOTo1NTo0NS42OTg4OTErMDA6MDB8MzQ5Ng","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":1.5,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-10-27 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":43,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-27T09:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 5:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 09:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":3496,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":3473,"event_id":1435,"slug":"1435-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Tuesday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 58 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 4 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-27T06:56:35.525645Z","time":"2:56 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 2:56 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 06:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-27T06:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 2:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 06:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-27T06:56:33.192530Z","time":"2:56 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 2:56 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 06:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QwNjo1NjozNS41MjU2NDUrMDA6MDB8MzQ3Mw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.3,"target":"FLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-10-27 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":58,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-27T06:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 2:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 06:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":3473,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":5,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":3453,"event_id":1420,"slug":"1420-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Tuesday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 63 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Tuesday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 3 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-27T05:57:40.483270Z","time":"1:57 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 1:57 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 05:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-27T05:00:00Z","time":"1:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 1:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 05:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-27T05:57:39.875736Z","time":"1:57 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 1:57 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 05:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QwNTo1Nzo0MC40ODMyNzArMDA6MDB8MzQ1Mw","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.1,"target":"FLL departures 9 AM–noon 2026-10-27 (cancelled)","horizon_h":7.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-27T05:00:00Z","time":"1:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 27","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Tue Oct 27, 1:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-27 05:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":3453,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":4,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":3198,"event_id":1395,"slug":"1395-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Monday to about 1","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 1 of the 76 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Monday to be cancelled (2%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 1","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-26T13:27:05.768588Z","time":"9:27 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 9:27 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 13:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 8:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-26T13:27:04.653881Z","time":"9:27 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 9:27 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 13:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yNlQxMzoyNzowNS43Njg1ODgrMDA6MDB8MzE5OA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":1.4,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-10-26 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":76,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"17 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 8:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":3198,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":3166,"event_id":1401,"slug":"1401-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 62 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EDT forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-26T09:57:36.223308Z","time":"5:57 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 5:57 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 09:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-26T09:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 5:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 09:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-26T09:57:35.807129Z","time":"5:57 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 5:57 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 09:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yNlQwOTo1NzozNi4yMjMzMDgrMDA6MDB8MzE2Ng","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.2,"target":"FLL departures 3–6 PM 2026-10-26 (cancelled)","horizon_h":9.0,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":62,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-26T09:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 26","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Mon Oct 26, 5:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-26 09:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":3166,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":2908,"event_id":1262,"slug":"1262-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 63 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM EDT forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-25T14:27:34.736054Z","time":"10:27 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 25","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 25, 10:27 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-25 14:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-25T13:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 25","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 25, 9:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-25 13:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-25T14:27:27.974082Z","time":"10:27 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 25","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 25, 10:27 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-25 14:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0yNVQxNDoyNzozNC43MzYwNTQrMDA6MDB8MjkwOA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.2,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 AM 2026-10-26 (cancelled)","horizon_h":19.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":63,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-25T13:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 25","ago":"18 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 25, 9:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-25 13:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":2908,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":622,"event_id":201,"slug":"201-fll-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Sunday to about 2","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 71 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 6 → 2","airports":["FLL"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-18T13:26:36.127035Z","time":"9:26 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 18","ago":"25 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 18, 9:26 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-18 13:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 18","ago":"25 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 18, 8:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-18 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-18T13:26:35.035092Z","time":"9:26 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 18","ago":"25 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 18, 9:26 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-18 13:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xOFQxMzoyNjozNi4xMjcwMzUrMDA6MDB8NjIy","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":2.2,"target":"FLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-10-18 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":71,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 18","ago":"25 days ago","full":"Sun Oct 18, 8:00 AM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-18 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":622,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":6,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xOFQxMzoyNjozNi4xMjcwMzUrMDA6MDB8NjIy","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMDoyODozMi45OTU3ODErMDA6MDB8NjIwMg","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"6202\" data-event=\"2710\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMDoyODozMi45OTU3ODErMDA6MDB8NjIwMg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6202\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T20:28:32.995781Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 20:28 UTC · Tue Nov 3, 3:28 PM EST\">3:28 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 3</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T20:28:32.995781Z\">9 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6202\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2710-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6202\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Tuesday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 61 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 2:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2710-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6202\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2710-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2710\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2710-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"6038\" data-event=\"2641\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4xNjMyMTYrMDA6MDB8NjAzOA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6038\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T11:58:06.163216Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC · Tue Nov 3, 6:58 AM EST\">6:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 3</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T11:58:06.163216Z\">9 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6038\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2641-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6038\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Tuesday to about 3</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 3 → 3</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 60 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~3 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>5.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2641-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6038\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2641-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2641\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2641-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"6010\" data-event=\"2594\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMDo1ODozOC4wOTg3NjQrMDA6MDB8NjAxMA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6010\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T10:58:38.098764Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 10:58 UTC · Tue Nov 3, 5:58 AM EST\">5:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 3</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T10:58:38.098764Z\">9 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6010\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2594-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6010\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Tuesday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 4 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 70 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Tuesday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~4 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>3.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2594-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6010\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2594-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2594\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2594-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"6009\" data-event=\"2640\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMDo1ODozOC4wOTU4NDYrMDA6MDB8NjAwOQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6009\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T10:58:38.095846Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 10:58 UTC · Tue Nov 3, 5:58 AM EST\">5:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 3</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T10:58:38.095846Z\">9 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6009\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2640-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6009\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Tuesday to about 3</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 3</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 60 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~3 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2640-fll-cancellation-risk#u-6009\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2640-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2640\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2640-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5902\" data-event=\"2567\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNDo1ODozMC43MTczNzArMDA6MDB8NTkwMg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5902\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T04:58:30.717370Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 04:58 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 11:58 PM EST\">11:58 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T04:58:30.717370Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5902\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2567-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5902\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Tuesday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 60 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>6.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2567-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5902\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2567-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2567\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2567-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"5715\" data-event=\"2243\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQyMjo1NzozNi42ODAwNDMrMDA6MDB8NTcxNQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5715\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T22:57:36.680043Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 22:57 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 5:57 PM EST\">5:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T22:57:36.680043Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5715\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2243-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5715\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 6 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Monday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 3 → 6 expected cancellations since the 2:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 86 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Monday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 3. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~6 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2243-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5715\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (6)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2243-fll-cancellation-risk\">5 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2243\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2243-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"5584\" data-event=\"2419\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxOToyNjo1OS4wMjcyMDUrMDA6MDB8NTU4NA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5584\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T19:26:59.027205Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 19:26 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 2:26 PM EST\">2:26 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T19:26:59.027205Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5584\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2419-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5584\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 5 expected cancellations since the 12:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~5 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2419-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5584\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2419-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2419\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2419-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"5485\" data-event=\"2402\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNjo1ODoxNS4yNjMxNjArMDA6MDB8NTQ4NQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5485\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T16:58:15.263160Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 16:58 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 11:58 AM EST\">11:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T16:58:15.263160Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5485\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2402-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5485\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 8 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 71 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~8 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2402-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5485\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2402-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2402\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2402-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5394\" data-event=\"2343\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNDoyNzozOS4wMTg0MzcrMDA6MDB8NTM5NA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5394\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T14:27:39.018437Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 14:27 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 9:27 AM EST\">9:27 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T14:27:39.018437Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5394\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2343-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5394\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 3</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 4 → 3</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>5.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2343-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5394\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2343-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2343\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2343-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5393\" data-event=\"2138\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNDoyNzozOS4wMTM1MTUrMDA6MDB8NTM5Mw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5393\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T14:27:39.013515Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 14:27 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 9:27 AM EST\">9:27 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T14:27:39.013515Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5393\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2138-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5393\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday to about 3</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 8 → 3</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 69 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2138-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5393\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (8)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2138-fll-cancellation-risk\">7 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2138\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2138-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"5360\" data-event=\"2092\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMzo1ODo0MC41MzE0MDUrMDA6MDB8NTM2MA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5360\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T13:58:40.531405Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 13:58 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 8:58 AM EST\">8:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T13:58:40.531405Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5360\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2092-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5360\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Monday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 9 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 79 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Monday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~9 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2092-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5360\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (7)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2092-fll-cancellation-risk\">6 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2092\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2092-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"5260\" data-event=\"2046\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMDo0Mjo0My4yMjY2NTQrMDA6MDB8NTI2MA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5260\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T10:42:43.226654Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 10:42 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 5:42 AM EST\">5:42 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T10:42:43.226654Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5260\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2046-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5260\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 3 → 8 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 69 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~8 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.3 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2046-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5260\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2046-fll-cancellation-risk\">4 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2046\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2046-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5198\" data-event=\"2206\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQwNjo1OTowNS4xMDc3MTErMDA6MDB8NTE5OA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5198\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T06:59:05.107711Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 06:59 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 1:59 AM EST\">1:59 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T06:59:05.107711Z\">11 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5198\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2206-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5198\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 3</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 3</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 59 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>13.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2206-fll-cancellation-risk#u-5198\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2206-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2206\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2206-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"4915\" data-event=\"1989\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQyMjo1NzozOC42MDg3OTQrMDA6MDB8NDkxNQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-4915\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-01T22:57:38.608794Z\" title=\"2026-11-01 22:57 UTC · Sun Nov 1, 5:57 PM EST\">5:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 1</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-01T22:57:38.608794Z\">11 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-4915\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1989-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4915\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 9 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 13 → 9 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 88 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 6. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~9 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1989-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4915\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (6)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1989-fll-cancellation-risk\">5 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1989\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1989-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"4710\" data-event=\"2091\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQxNzo1ODo1My4zNzE3NDgrMDA6MDB8NDcxMA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-4710\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-01T17:58:53.371748Z\" title=\"2026-11-01 17:58 UTC · Sun Nov 1, 12:58 PM EST\">12:58 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 1</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-01T17:58:53.371748Z\">11 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-4710\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2091-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4710\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 7 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 7 expected cancellations since the 11:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 64 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 3. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~7 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2091-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4710\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2091-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2091\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2091-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"4679\" data-event=\"2064\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQxNjo1NzozMi4yNjA0ODMrMDA6MDB8NDY3OQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-4679\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-01T16:57:32.260483Z\" title=\"2026-11-01 16:57 UTC · Sun Nov 1, 11:57 AM EST\">11:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 1</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-01T16:57:32.260483Z\">11 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-4679\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2064-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4679\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Sunday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 10 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM EST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 76 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 4. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~10 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2064-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4679\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2064-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2064\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2064-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"4537\" data-event=\"2001\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMVQxMDoyNjoxOC4yOTIxNjYrMDA6MDB8NDUzNw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-4537\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-01T10:26:18.292166Z\" title=\"2026-11-01 10:26 UTC · Sun Nov 1, 5:26 AM EST\">5:26 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EST, Nov 1</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-01T10:26:18.292166Z\">11 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-4537\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2001-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4537\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Sunday to about 3</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 3 → 3</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 63 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~3 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2001-fll-cancellation-risk#u-4537\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2001-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2001\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2001-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"3517\" data-event=\"1503\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QxMzoyNjo0MS45NDcwNTUrMDA6MDB8MzUxNw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-3517\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-27T13:26:41.947055Z\" title=\"2026-10-27 13:26 UTC · Tue Oct 27, 9:26 AM EDT\">9:26 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 27</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-27T13:26:41.947055Z\">16 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-3517\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1503-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3517\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Tuesday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 63 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1503-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3517\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1503-fll-cancellation-risk\">3 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1503\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1503-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"3496\" data-event=\"1477\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QwOTo1NTo0NS42OTg4OTErMDA6MDB8MzQ5Ng\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-3496\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-27T09:55:45.698891Z\" title=\"2026-10-27 09:55 UTC · Tue Oct 27, 5:55 AM EDT\">5:55 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 27</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-27T09:55:45.698891Z\">17 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-3496\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1477-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3496\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Tuesday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 43 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1477-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3496\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1477-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1477\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1477-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"3473\" data-event=\"1435\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QwNjo1NjozNS41MjU2NDUrMDA6MDB8MzQ3Mw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-3473\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-27T06:56:35.525645Z\" title=\"2026-10-27 06:56 UTC · Tue Oct 27, 2:56 AM EDT\">2:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 27</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-27T06:56:35.525645Z\">17 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-3473\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1435-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3473\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Tuesday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 4 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 58 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Tuesday to be cancelled (4%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1435-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3473\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1435-fll-cancellation-risk\">4 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1435\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1435-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"3453\" data-event=\"1420\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yN1QwNTo1Nzo0MC40ODMyNzArMDA6MDB8MzQ1Mw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-3453\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-27T05:57:40.483270Z\" title=\"2026-10-27 05:57 UTC · Tue Oct 27, 1:57 AM EDT\">1:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 27</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-27T05:57:40.483270Z\">17 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-3453\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1420-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3453\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Tuesday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 3 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 63 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Tuesday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>7.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1420-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3453\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1420-fll-cancellation-risk\">3 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1420\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1420-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"3198\" data-event=\"1395\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yNlQxMzoyNzowNS43Njg1ODgrMDA6MDB8MzE5OA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-3198\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-26T13:27:05.768588Z\" title=\"2026-10-26 13:27 UTC · Mon Oct 26, 9:27 AM EDT\">9:27 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 26</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-26T13:27:05.768588Z\">17 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-3198\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1395-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3198\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Monday to about 1</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 1</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 1 of the 76 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Monday to be cancelled (2%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~1 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1395-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3198\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1395-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1395\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1395-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"3166\" data-event=\"1401\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yNlQwOTo1NzozNi4yMjMzMDgrMDA6MDB8MzE2Ng\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-3166\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-26T09:57:36.223308Z\" title=\"2026-10-26 09:57 UTC · Mon Oct 26, 5:57 AM EDT\">5:57 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 26</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-26T09:57:36.223308Z\">18 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-3166\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1401-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3166\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Monday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 62 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Monday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM EDT forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>9.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1401-fll-cancellation-risk#u-3166\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1401-fll-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1401\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1401-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"2908\" data-event=\"1262\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0yNVQxNDoyNzozNC43MzYwNTQrMDA6MDB8MjkwOA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-2908\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-25T14:27:34.736054Z\" title=\"2026-10-25 14:27 UTC · Sun Oct 25, 10:27 AM EDT\">10:27 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 25</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-25T14:27:34.736054Z\">18 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-2908\"><a href=\"/wire/events/1262-fll-cancellation-risk#u-2908\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 AM Monday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 63 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Monday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM EDT forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>19.5 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famA-fc-v3</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/1262-fll-cancellation-risk#u-2908\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/1262-fll-cancellation-risk\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"1262\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/1262-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"622\" data-event=\"201\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMC0xOFQxMzoyNjozNi4xMjcwMzUrMDA6MDB8NjIy\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-622\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-10-18T13:26:36.127035Z\" title=\"2026-10-18 13:26 UTC · Sun Oct 18, 9:26 AM EDT\">9:26 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">EDT, Oct 18</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-10-18T13:26:36.127035Z\">25 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/FLL\">FLL</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-622\"><a href=\"/wire/events/201-fll-cancellation-risk#u-622\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Sunday to about 2</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 6 → 2</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 71 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (3%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~2 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/201-fll-cancellation-risk#u-622\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (6)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/201-fll-cancellation-risk\">5 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/FLL\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View FLL</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"201\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/201-fll-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n"],"filters":"type=cancellation&airport=FLL"}