{"items":[{"id":10422,"event_id":4566,"slug":"4566-ind-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 9 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 30 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). 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\n
\n \n EST, Nov 14\n 4 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Major\n New\n \n \n Cancellation\n IND\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model expects about 9 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 3–6 PM Saturday

\n \n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 30 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 6.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View IND\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 14\n 4 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Major\n New\n \n \n Cancellation\n IND\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model expects about 9 cancellations among Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Saturday

\n \n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 31 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (29%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 3.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View IND\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n EST, Nov 14\n 4 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast\n Major\n Resolved\n \n \n Cancellation\n IND\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

\n \n \n

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

\n \n

Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View IND\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n"],"filters":"type=cancellation&airport=IND"}