{"items":[{"id":8800,"event_id":3881,"slug":"3881-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 14 arrivals that landed between 11:33 PM and 12:33 AM PST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:33:30.159642Z","time":"12:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:33 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:33:00Z","time":"12:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:33:30.008241Z","time":"12:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:33 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODozMzozMC4xNTk2NDIrMDA6MDB8ODgwMA","measurement":{"window":"11:33 PM–12:33 AM PST","n":14,"late_n":7,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":16.0},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8800,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8777,"event_id":3873,"slug":"3873-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 62 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 6–9 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 40%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:25.136493Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:24.669230Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMzY0OTMrMDA6MDB8ODc3Nw","forecast":{"p_pct":"57%","expected_cancellations":1.2,"target":"LAS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":17.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":62,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8777,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8776,"event_id":3872,"slug":"3872-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 3–6 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 103 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 3–6 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:25.133929Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:24.669230Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMzM5MjkrMDA6MDB8ODc3Ng","forecast":{"p_pct":"57%","expected_cancellations":2.2,"target":"LAS departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":14.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":103,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8776,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8775,"event_id":3871,"slug":"3871-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Las Vegas departures noon–3 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 114 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 32%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:25.109326Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:24.669230Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMDkzMjYrMDA6MDB8ODc3NQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"50%","expected_cancellations":2.1,"target":"LAS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":11.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":114,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8775,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8765,"event_id":3772,"slug":"3772-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:06 PM and 12:36 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 42% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:15.209947Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:00Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:14.664243Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNzowNjoxNS4yMDk5NDcrMDA6MDB8ODc2NQ","measure":{"chips":[["Next","11:06 PM–12:36 AM PST"],["Tight turns","0 of 15"],["Share","0%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","11:06 PM–12:36 AM PST · 19 departures, aircraft known for 15"],["Tight turns","0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8765,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8702,"event_id":3801,"slug":"3801-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 55%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 58 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 8:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"58% → 55%; calm-weather level 49%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:55:56.087494Z","time":"8:55 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:55:52.327176Z","time":"8:55 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDo1NTo1Ni4wODc0OTQrMDA6MDB8ODcwMg","forecast":{"p_pct":"55%","expected_cancellations":0.9,"target":"LAS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":0.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":58,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8702,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8599,"event_id":3801,"slug":"3801-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 58% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 58 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 58% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 43%. From the 5:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:27:04.335935Z","time":"6:27 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:27 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:27:03.281483Z","time":"6:27 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:27 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMjoyNzowNC4zMzU5MzUrMDA6MDB8ODU5OQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"58%","expected_cancellations":0.7,"target":"LAS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":2.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":58,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8702,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8702,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 55%, near normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:55:56.087494Z","time":"8:55 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:55 UTC"}}},{"id":8539,"event_id":3772,"slug":"3772-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas: 12 of 40 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn","body":"Of the 48 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 4:50 PM and 6:20 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 40. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:50:47.458720Z","time":"4:50 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:50 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:50:00Z","time":"4:50 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:50 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:50:46.174879Z","time":"4:50 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:50 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMDo1MDo0Ny40NTg3MjArMDA6MDB8ODUzOQ","measure":{"chips":[["Next","4:50 PM–6:20 PM PST"],["Tight turns","12 of 40"],["Share","30%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","4:50 PM–6:20 PM PST · 48 departures, aircraft known for 40"],["Tight turns","12 (30%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 9 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 424 to SNA at 5:44 PM: aircraft N8993Q, inbound WN 424 from SEA (airborne), -62 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 4244 to OKC at 6:08 PM: aircraft N8582Z, inbound WN 1702 from SAT (airborne), -32 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 1907 to SBA at 5:04 PM: aircraft N482WN, inbound WN 1862 from SJC (airborne), -23 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 3909 to STL at 5:15 PM: aircraft N8776L, inbound WN 2349 from SMF (airborne), 10 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 1577 to ONT at 5:28 PM: aircraft N956WN, inbound WN 1577 from STS (airborne), 11 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8765,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8765,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:15.209947Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"}}},{"id":8378,"event_id":3649,"slug":"3649-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","body":"Of 30 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM PST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 65% at worst → 10% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:18.292904Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:00Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:17.898807Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxOToxNjoxOC4yOTI5MDQrMDA6MDB8ODM3OA","measurement":{"window":"10:16 AM–11:16 AM PST","n":30,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"10%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8378,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8346,"event_id":3649,"slug":"3649-las-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departure delays ease: 51% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 49 departures that took off between 9:20 AM and 10:20 AM PST, 25 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 63% → 51%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:20:55.528980Z","time":"10:20 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:20 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:20 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:20:00Z","time":"10:20 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:20 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:20 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:20:54.455389Z","time":"10:20 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:20 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:20 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxODoyMDo1NS41Mjg5ODArMDA6MDB8ODM0Ng","measurement":{"window":"9:20 AM–10:20 AM PST","n":49,"late_n":25,"share_pct":"51%","baseline_pct":"16%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":15.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8378,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8378,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:18.292904Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"}}},{"id":8343,"event_id":3649,"slug":"3649-las-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departure delays worsen: 63% late in the last hour","body":"Of 38 departures that took off between 9:00 AM and 10:00 AM PST, 24 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 48% → 63%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:00:22.452867Z","time":"10:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:00:00Z","time":"10:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:00:21.953698Z","time":"10:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxODowMDoyMi40NTI4NjcrMDA6MDB8ODM0Mw","measurement":{"window":"9:00 AM–10:00 AM PST","n":38,"late_n":24,"share_pct":"63%","baseline_pct":"16%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":19.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8378,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8378,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:18.292904Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"}}},{"id":8325,"event_id":3649,"slug":"3649-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures running late: 48% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 27 departures that took off between 8:37 AM and 9:37 AM PST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:37:31.746742Z","time":"9:37 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"17 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 9:37 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:37 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:37:00Z","time":"9:37 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"17 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 9:37 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:37 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:37:30.474781Z","time":"9:37 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"17 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 9:37 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:37 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNzozNzozMS43NDY3NDIrMDA6MDB8ODMyNQ","measurement":{"window":"8:37 AM–9:37 AM PST","n":27,"late_n":13,"share_pct":"48%","baseline_pct":"16%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":12.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8378,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8378,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:18.292904Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"}}},{"id":8306,"event_id":3619,"slug":"3619-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 27 departures that took off between 5:49 AM and 6:49 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.387007Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:00Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.075093Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNDo0OTozMS4zODcwMDcrMDA6MDB8ODMwNg","measurement":{"window":"5:49 AM–6:49 AM PST","n":27,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8306,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8240,"event_id":3619,"slug":"3619-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures running late: 67% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 15 departures that took off between 8:01 PM and 9:01 PM PST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 39% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T05:01:24.060214Z","time":"9:01 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"29 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 9:01 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 05:01 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T05:01:00Z","time":"9:01 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"29 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 9:01 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 05:01 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T05:01:23.596515Z","time":"9:01 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"29 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 9:01 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 05:01 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQwNTowMToyNC4wNjAyMTQrMDA6MDB8ODI0MA","measurement":{"window":"8:01 PM–9:01 PM PST","n":15,"late_n":10,"share_pct":"67%","baseline_pct":"39%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":21.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8306,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8306,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.387007Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"}}},{"id":8124,"event_id":3550,"slug":"3550-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 33 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 6:26 PM and 7:56 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 28% at worst → 3% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:11.838055Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:00Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:10.366716Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQwMjoyNjoxMS44MzgwNTUrMDA6MDB8ODEyNA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","6:26 PM–7:56 PM PST"],["Tight turns","1 of 33"],["Share","3%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","6:26 PM–7:56 PM PST · 34 departures, aircraft known for 33"],["Tight turns","1 (3%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","1 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 2430 to SAN at 7:32 PM: aircraft N438WN, inbound WN 1260 from LGB (not departed), 11 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8124,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8115,"event_id":3550,"slug":"3550-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas: 9 of 35 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn","body":"Of the 39 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 4:56 PM and 6:26 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-11T00:56:15.252110Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 4:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 00:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-11T00:56:00Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 4:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 00:56 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-11T00:56:13.538195Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 4:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 00:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQwMDo1NjoxNS4yNTIxMTArMDA6MDB8ODExNQ","measure":{"chips":[["Next","4:56 PM–6:26 PM PST"],["Tight turns","9 of 35"],["Share","26%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","4:56 PM–6:26 PM PST · 39 departures, aircraft known for 35"],["Tight turns","9 (26%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 5 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 1701 to MCO at 5:10 PM: aircraft N500WR, inbound WN 2136 from ONT (airborne), -7 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 4446 to IND at 5:15 PM: aircraft N8937Q, inbound WN 4684 from SAN (airborne), 7 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2286 to AUS at 5:19 PM: aircraft N9012J, inbound WN 349 from SDF (airborne), 19 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2400 to OMA at 5:11 PM: aircraft N8609A, inbound WN 1568 from RNO (landed), 19 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 225 to COS at 5:56 PM: aircraft N499WN, inbound WN 225 from SNA (airborne), 19 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8124,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8124,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 33 departures in the next 90 min are tight","published":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:11.838055Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"}}},{"id":8093,"event_id":3527,"slug":"3527-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 arrivals that landed between 6:33 AM and 7:33 AM PST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 77% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:15.456103Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:00Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:14.756850Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQxNTozMzoxNS40NTYxMDMrMDA6MDB8ODA5Mw","measurement":{"window":"6:33 AM–7:33 AM PST","n":18,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8093,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8089,"event_id":3531,"slug":"3531-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 22 departures that took off between 5:58 AM and 6:58 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 59% at worst → 5% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:03.482453Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:00Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:02.135406Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQxNDo1ODowMy40ODI0NTMrMDA6MDB8ODA4OQ","measurement":{"window":"5:58 AM–6:58 AM PST","n":22,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":0.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8089,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8063,"event_id":3531,"slug":"3531-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 24 departures that took off between 10:53 PM and 11:53 PM PST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:53:19.930819Z","time":"11:53 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:53 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:53 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:53:00Z","time":"11:53 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:53 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:53:19.447106Z","time":"11:53 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:53 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:53 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNzo1MzoxOS45MzA4MTkrMDA6MDB8ODA2Mw","measurement":{"window":"10:53 PM–11:53 PM PST","n":24,"late_n":11,"share_pct":"46%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":13.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8089,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8089,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:03.482453Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"}}},{"id":8060,"event_id":3522,"slug":"3522-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 12 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 16 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:30 PM and 1:00 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 39% at worst → 8% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:54.558649Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:00Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:53.454369Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNzozMDo1NC41NTg2NDkrMDA6MDB8ODA2MA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","11:30 PM–1:00 AM PST"],["Tight turns","1 of 12"],["Share","8%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","11:30 PM–1:00 AM PST · 16 departures, aircraft known for 12"],["Tight turns","1 (8%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 2293 to BNA at 11:31 PM: aircraft N204WN, inbound WN 3846 from SFO (landed), 20 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8060,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8056,"event_id":3527,"slug":"3527-las-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrival delays worsen: 66% late in the last hour","body":"Of 29 arrivals that landed between 10:14 PM and 11:14 PM PST, 19 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 45% → 66%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:14:31.952010Z","time":"11:14 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:14 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:14 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:14:00Z","time":"11:14 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:14 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:14 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:14:31.640182Z","time":"11:14 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:14 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:14 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNzoxNDozMS45NTIwMTArMDA6MDB8ODA1Ng","measurement":{"window":"10:14 PM–11:14 PM PST","n":29,"late_n":19,"share_pct":"66%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":34.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8093,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8093,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:15.456103Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"}}},{"id":8046,"event_id":3527,"slug":"3527-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals running late: 45% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 33 arrivals that landed between 8:54 PM and 9:54 PM PST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T05:54:25.848516Z","time":"9:54 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 9:54 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 05:54 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T05:54:00Z","time":"9:54 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 9:54 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 05:54 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T05:54:25.130425Z","time":"9:54 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 9:54 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 05:54 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNTo1NDoyNS44NDg1MTYrMDA6MDB8ODA0Ng","measurement":{"window":"8:54 PM–9:54 PM PST","n":33,"late_n":15,"share_pct":"45%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":10.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8093,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8093,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:15.456103Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"}}},{"id":8040,"event_id":3522,"slug":"3522-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas: 9 of 24 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn","body":"Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 9:15 PM and 10:45 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T05:15:20.101282Z","time":"9:15 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 9:15 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 05:15 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T05:15:00Z","time":"9:15 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 9:15 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 05:15 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T05:15:18.841874Z","time":"9:15 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 9:15 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 05:15 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNToxNToyMC4xMDEyODIrMDA6MDB8ODA0MA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","9:15 PM–10:45 PM PST"],["Tight turns","9 of 24"],["Share","38%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","9:15 PM–10:45 PM PST · 34 departures, aircraft known for 24"],["Tight turns","9 (38%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","1 not taken off · 5 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 2258 to SFO at 10:26 PM: aircraft N212WN, inbound WN 2258 from SLC (not departed), -5 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2291 to SLC at 10:23 PM: aircraft N243WN, inbound WN 324 from ELP (airborne), 3 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 3871 to GEG at 10:32 PM: aircraft N8945Q, inbound WN 3192 from OAK (airborne), 5 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 4987 to PHX at 9:51 PM: aircraft N8936Q, inbound WN 4987 from BOI (airborne), 15 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2665 to BOI at 10:36 PM: aircraft N8838Q, inbound WN 4427 from MCI (airborne), 27 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8060,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8060,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 12 departures in the next 90 min are tight","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:54.558649Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"}}},{"id":7867,"event_id":3427,"slug":"3427-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour","body":"Of 29 arrivals that landed between 5:59 AM and 6:59 AM PST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 47% at worst → 3% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:59:21.064967Z","time":"6:59 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:59 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:59:00Z","time":"6:59 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:59 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:59:20.411291Z","time":"6:59 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:59 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1OToyMS4wNjQ5NjcrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Nw","measurement":{"window":"5:59 AM–6:59 AM PST","n":29,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"3%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-17.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7867,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7866,"event_id":3403,"slug":"3403-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 20 departures that took off between 5:55 AM and 6:55 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 64% at worst → 5% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:55:10.877168Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:55:00Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:55 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:55:10.132448Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1NToxMC44NzcxNjgrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:55 AM–6:55 AM PST","n":20,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7866,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1NToxMC44NzcxNjgrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Ng","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODozMzozMC4xNTk2NDIrMDA6MDB8ODgwMA","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 13\n 2 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 14 arrivals that landed between 11:33 PM and 12:33 AM PST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 11:33 PM–12:33 AM PSTSample 14 flightsLate 50%Typical 21%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 13\n 2 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 57%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 6–9 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 62 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 6–9 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 40%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 57%Horizon 17.5 hModel famA-fc-v3

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 13\n 2 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 57%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 3–6 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 103 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 3–6 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 57%Horizon 14.5 hModel famA-fc-v3

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 13\n 2 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 50%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Las Vegas departures noon–3 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 114 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 32%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 50%Horizon 11.5 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 3 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Inbound aircraft\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight

\n

What changed: tight share 42% at worst → 0% now

\n \n

Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:06 PM and 12:36 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

\n \n

Next 11:06 PM–12:36 AM PSTTight turns 0 of 15Share 0%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 5 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 55%\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 55%, near normal

\n

What changed: 58% → 55%; calm-weather level 49%

\n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 58 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 8:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 55%Horizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 8 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 58%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 58% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 58 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 58% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 43%. From the 5:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 58%Horizon 2.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 10 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Inbound aircraft\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas: 12 of 40 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

\n \n \n

Of the 48 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 4:50 PM and 6:20 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 40. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

\n \n

Next 4:50 PM–6:20 PM PSTTight turns 12 of 40Share 30%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 15 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 65% at worst → 10% now

\n \n

Of 30 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM PST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 10:16 AM–11:16 AM PSTSample 30 flightsLate 10%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 16 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n De-escalation\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departure delays ease: 51% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n

What changed: late share 63% → 51%

\n \n

Of 49 departures that took off between 9:20 AM and 10:20 AM PST, 25 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 9:20 AM–10:20 AM PSTSample 49 flightsLate 51%Typical 16%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 16 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Major\n Resolved\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departure delays worsen: 63% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 48% → 63%

\n \n

Of 38 departures that took off between 9:00 AM and 10:00 AM PST, 24 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 9:00 AM–10:00 AM PSTSample 38 flightsLate 63%Typical 16%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 17 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures running late: 48% left 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 27 departures that took off between 8:37 AM and 9:37 AM PST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 8:37 AM–9:37 AM PSTSample 27 flightsLate 48%Typical 16%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 20 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 67% at worst → 0% now

\n \n

Of 27 departures that took off between 5:49 AM and 6:49 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:49 AM–6:49 AM PSTSample 27 flightsLate 0%Typical 6%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 11\n 29 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures running late: 67% left 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 15 departures that took off between 8:01 PM and 9:01 PM PST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 39% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 8:01 PM–9:01 PM PSTSample 15 flightsLate 67%Typical 39%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 10\n 2 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Inbound aircraft\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 33 departures in the next 90 min are tight

\n

What changed: tight share 28% at worst → 3% now

\n \n

Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 6:26 PM and 7:56 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

\n \n

Next 6:26 PM–7:56 PM PSTTight turns 1 of 33Share 3%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 10\n 2 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Inbound aircraft\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas: 9 of 35 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

\n \n \n

Of the 39 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 4:56 PM and 6:26 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

\n \n

Next 4:56 PM–6:26 PM PSTTight turns 9 of 35Share 26%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 10\n 2 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAS\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 77% at worst → 0% now

\n \n

Of 18 arrivals that landed between 6:33 AM and 7:33 AM PST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 6:33 AM–7:33 AM PSTSample 18 flightsLate 0%Typical 21%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 10\n 2 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 59% at worst → 5% now

\n \n

Of 22 departures that took off between 5:58 AM and 6:58 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:58 AM–6:58 AM PSTSample 22 flightsLate 5%Typical 6%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 24 departures that took off between 10:53 PM and 11:53 PM PST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 10:53 PM–11:53 PM PSTSample 24 flightsLate 46%Typical 23%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Inbound aircraft\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 12 departures in the next 90 min are tight

\n

What changed: tight share 39% at worst → 8% now

\n \n

Of the 16 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:30 PM and 1:00 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

\n \n

Next 11:30 PM–1:00 AM PSTTight turns 1 of 12Share 8%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Major\n Resolved\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LAS\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas arrival delays worsen: 66% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 45% → 66%

\n \n

Of 29 arrivals that landed between 10:14 PM and 11:14 PM PST, 19 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 10:14 PM–11:14 PM PSTSample 29 flightsLate 66%Typical 21%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n LAS\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas arrivals running late: 45% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 33 arrivals that landed between 8:54 PM and 9:54 PM PST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 8:54 PM–9:54 PM PSTSample 33 flightsLate 45%Typical 21%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Inbound aircraft\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas: 9 of 24 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

\n \n \n

Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 9:15 PM and 10:45 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

\n \n

Next 9:15 PM–10:45 PM PSTTight turns 9 of 24Share 38%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAS\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 47% at worst → 3% now

\n \n

Of 29 arrivals that landed between 5:59 AM and 6:59 AM PST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:59 AM–6:59 AM PSTSample 29 flightsLate 3%Typical 21%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAS\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 64% at worst → 5% now

\n \n

Of 20 departures that took off between 5:55 AM and 6:55 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:55 AM–6:55 AM PSTSample 20 flightsLate 5%Typical 6%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View LAS\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n"],"filters":"airport=LAS&mode=all"}