{"items":[{"id":8800,"event_id":3881,"slug":"3881-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 14 arrivals that landed between 11:33 PM and 12:33 AM PST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:33:30.159642Z","time":"12:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:33 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:33:00Z","time":"12:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:33:30.008241Z","time":"12:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:33 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODozMzozMC4xNTk2NDIrMDA6MDB8ODgwMA","measurement":{"window":"11:33 PM–12:33 AM PST","n":14,"late_n":7,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":16.0},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8800,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8777,"event_id":3873,"slug":"3873-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 62 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 6–9 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 40%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:25.136493Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:24.669230Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMzY0OTMrMDA6MDB8ODc3Nw","forecast":{"p_pct":"57%","expected_cancellations":1.2,"target":"LAS departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":17.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":62,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8777,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8776,"event_id":3872,"slug":"3872-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 3–6 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 103 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 3–6 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:25.133929Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:24.669230Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMzM5MjkrMDA6MDB8ODc3Ng","forecast":{"p_pct":"57%","expected_cancellations":2.2,"target":"LAS departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":14.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":103,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8776,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8775,"event_id":3871,"slug":"3871-las-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Las Vegas departures noon–3 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 114 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 32%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:25.109326Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:27:24.669230Z","time":"12:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMDkzMjYrMDA6MDB8ODc3NQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"50%","expected_cancellations":2.1,"target":"LAS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":11.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":114,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8775,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8765,"event_id":3772,"slug":"3772-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:06 PM and 12:36 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 42% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:15.209947Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:00Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T07:06:14.664243Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 07:06 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNzowNjoxNS4yMDk5NDcrMDA6MDB8ODc2NQ","measure":{"chips":[["Next","11:06 PM–12:36 AM PST"],["Tight turns","0 of 15"],["Share","0%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","11:06 PM–12:36 AM PST · 19 departures, aircraft known for 15"],["Tight turns","0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8765,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8702,"event_id":3801,"slug":"3801-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 55%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 58 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 8:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"58% → 55%; calm-weather level 49%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:55:56.087494Z","time":"8:55 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:55:52.327176Z","time":"8:55 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDo1NTo1Ni4wODc0OTQrMDA6MDB8ODcwMg","forecast":{"p_pct":"55%","expected_cancellations":0.9,"target":"LAS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":0.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":58,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8702,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8378,"event_id":3649,"slug":"3649-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","body":"Of 30 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM PST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 65% at worst → 10% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:18.292904Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:00Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:16:17.898807Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:16 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxOToxNjoxOC4yOTI5MDQrMDA6MDB8ODM3OA","measurement":{"window":"10:16 AM–11:16 AM PST","n":30,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"10%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8378,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":4,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8306,"event_id":3619,"slug":"3619-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 27 departures that took off between 5:49 AM and 6:49 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.387007Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:00Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.075093Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"20 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNDo0OTozMS4zODcwMDcrMDA6MDB8ODMwNg","measurement":{"window":"5:49 AM–6:49 AM PST","n":27,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8306,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8124,"event_id":3550,"slug":"3550-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 33 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 6:26 PM and 7:56 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 28% at worst → 3% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:11.838055Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:00Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-11T02:26:10.366716Z","time":"6:26 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 02:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQwMjoyNjoxMS44MzgwNTUrMDA6MDB8ODEyNA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","6:26 PM–7:56 PM PST"],["Tight turns","1 of 33"],["Share","3%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","6:26 PM–7:56 PM PST · 34 departures, aircraft known for 33"],["Tight turns","1 (3%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","1 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 2430 to SAN at 7:32 PM: aircraft N438WN, inbound WN 1260 from LGB (not departed), 11 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8124,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8093,"event_id":3527,"slug":"3527-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 arrivals that landed between 6:33 AM and 7:33 AM PST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 77% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:15.456103Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:00Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T15:33:14.756850Z","time":"7:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 15:33 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQxNTozMzoxNS40NTYxMDMrMDA6MDB8ODA5Mw","measurement":{"window":"6:33 AM–7:33 AM PST","n":18,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8093,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8089,"event_id":3531,"slug":"3531-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 22 departures that took off between 5:58 AM and 6:58 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 59% at worst → 5% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:03.482453Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:00Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T14:58:02.135406Z","time":"6:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"2 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 14:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQxNDo1ODowMy40ODI0NTMrMDA6MDB8ODA4OQ","measurement":{"window":"5:58 AM–6:58 AM PST","n":22,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":0.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8089,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8060,"event_id":3522,"slug":"3522-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 12 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 16 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:30 PM and 1:00 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 39% at worst → 8% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:54.558649Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:00Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T07:30:53.454369Z","time":"11:30 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 07:30 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNzozMDo1NC41NTg2NDkrMDA6MDB8ODA2MA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","11:30 PM–1:00 AM PST"],["Tight turns","1 of 12"],["Share","8%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","11:30 PM–1:00 AM PST · 16 departures, aircraft known for 12"],["Tight turns","1 (8%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 2293 to BNA at 11:31 PM: aircraft N204WN, inbound WN 3846 from SFO (landed), 20 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8060,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7867,"event_id":3427,"slug":"3427-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour","body":"Of 29 arrivals that landed between 5:59 AM and 6:59 AM PST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 47% at worst → 3% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:59:21.064967Z","time":"6:59 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:59 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:59:00Z","time":"6:59 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:59 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:59:20.411291Z","time":"6:59 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:59 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1OToyMS4wNjQ5NjcrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Nw","measurement":{"window":"5:59 AM–6:59 AM PST","n":29,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"3%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-17.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7867,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7866,"event_id":3403,"slug":"3403-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 20 departures that took off between 5:55 AM and 6:55 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 64% at worst → 5% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:55:10.877168Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:55:00Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:55 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T14:55:10.132448Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 14:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1NToxMC44NzcxNjgrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:55 AM–6:55 AM PST","n":20,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7866,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7557,"event_id":3258,"slug":"3258-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 21 arrivals that landed between 5:55 AM and 6:55 AM PST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 50% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:55:01.658867Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:55 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:55:00Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:55 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:55:01.339181Z","time":"6:55 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:55 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNDo1NTowMS42NTg4NjcrMDA6MDB8NzU1Nw","measurement":{"window":"5:55 AM–6:55 AM PST","n":21,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-23.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7557,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7474,"event_id":3154,"slug":"3154-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 3 of 36 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 40 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 10:13 PM and 11:43 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 36. For 3 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 57% at worst → 8% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T06:13:21.107578Z","time":"10:13 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 10:13 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 06:13 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T06:13:00Z","time":"10:13 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 10:13 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 06:13 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T06:13:20.162094Z","time":"10:13 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 10:13 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 06:13 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwNjoxMzoyMS4xMDc1NzgrMDA6MDB8NzQ3NA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","10:13 PM–11:43 PM PST"],["Tight turns","3 of 36"],["Share","8%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","10:13 PM–11:43 PM PST · 40 departures, aircraft known for 36"],["Tight turns","3 (8%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 1 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 1408 to ONT at 10:32 PM: aircraft N8806Q, inbound WN 1408 from SMF (airborne), 18 min to turn"],["Tightest","DL 2794 to CVG at 10:21 PM: aircraft N548DN, inbound DL 1662 from SLC (landed), 19 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2448 to SJC at 10:30 PM: aircraft N8811L, inbound WN 1495 from MSY (landed), 25 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7474,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7421,"event_id":3222,"slug":"3222-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 61%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 89 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 55%. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"66% → 61%; calm-weather level 55%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:56:41.753259Z","time":"7:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:56:40.693783Z","time":"7:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMzo1Njo0MS43NTMyNTkrMDA6MDB8NzQyMQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"61%","expected_cancellations":1.1,"target":"LAS departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-06 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":1.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":89,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7421,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6931,"event_id":3000,"slug":"3000-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour","body":"Of 31 departures that took off between 5:48 AM and 6:48 AM PST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 64% at worst → 6% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T14:48:05.072419Z","time":"6:48 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 14:48 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T14:48:00Z","time":"6:48 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 14:48 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T14:48:04.780239Z","time":"6:48 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 14:48 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNDo0ODowNS4wNzI0MTkrMDA6MDB8NjkzMQ","measurement":{"window":"5:48 AM–6:48 AM PST","n":31,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"6%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":6931,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6830,"event_id":2938,"slug":"2938-las-aircraft-turns","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 18 departures in the next 90 min are tight","body":"Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:15 PM and 12:45 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 18. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.","what_changed":"tight share 48% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T07:15:26.125648Z","time":"11:15 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 11:15 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 07:15 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T07:15:00Z","time":"11:15 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 11:15 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 07:15 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T07:15:25.592619Z","time":"11:15 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 11:15 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 07:15 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQwNzoxNToyNi4xMjU2NDgrMDA6MDB8NjgzMA","measure":{"chips":[["Next","11:15 PM–12:45 AM PST"],["Tight turns","0 of 18"],["Share","0%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","11:15 PM–12:45 AM PST · 19 departures, aircraft known for 18"],["Tight turns","0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","0 not taken off · 0 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6830,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6592,"event_id":2867,"slug":"2867-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk noon–3 PM Thursday to 34%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 164 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Thursday an average 34% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 34%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"52% → 34%; calm-weather level 34%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:56:07.935884Z","time":"3:56 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:56 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:56:05.421534Z","time":"3:56 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:56 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQxMTo1NjowNy45MzU4ODQrMDA6MDB8NjU5Mg","forecast":{"p_pct":"34%","expected_cancellations":0.5,"target":"LAS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-05 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":8.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":164,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6592,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6591,"event_id":2866,"slug":"2866-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Thursday to 22%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 162 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 AM–noon Thursday an average 22% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 21%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"44% → 22%; calm-weather level 21%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:56:07.919893Z","time":"3:56 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:56 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:56:05.421534Z","time":"3:56 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:56 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQxMTo1NjowNy45MTk4OTMrMDA6MDB8NjU5MQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"22%","expected_cancellations":0.4,"target":"LAS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-05 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":5.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":162,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-05T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6591,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6067,"event_id":2625,"slug":"2625-las-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 19 departures that took off between 5:46 AM and 6:46 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 48% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:46:16.791319Z","time":"6:46 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:46 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:46 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:46:00Z","time":"6:46 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:46 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:46 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:46:15.318717Z","time":"6:46 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:46 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:46 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxNDo0NjoxNi43OTEzMTkrMDA6MDB8NjA2Nw","measurement":{"window":"5:46 AM–6:46 AM PST","n":19,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"6%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-3.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6067,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6027,"event_id":2652,"slug":"2652-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 33%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 133 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 33% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"48% → 33%; calm-weather level 29%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:06.060405Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:05.116805Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4wNjA0MDUrMDA6MDB8NjAyNw","forecast":{"p_pct":"33%","expected_cancellations":0.5,"target":"LAS departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-03 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":8.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":133,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6027,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6026,"event_id":2651,"slug":"2651-las-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Tuesday to 24%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 152 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 AM–noon Tuesday an average 24% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"42% → 24%; calm-weather level 20%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:06.056186Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:05.116805Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4wNTYxODYrMDA6MDB8NjAyNg","forecast":{"p_pct":"24%","expected_cancellations":0.5,"target":"LAS departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-03 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":5.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":152,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6026,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5951,"event_id":2620,"slug":"2620-las-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Las Vegas arrival delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour","body":"Of 17 arrivals that landed between 11:04 PM and 12:04 AM PST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 53% → 71%","airports":["LAS"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T08:04:38.576300Z","time":"12:04 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:04 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 08:04 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T08:04:00Z","time":"12:04 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:04 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 08:04 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T08:04:38.352557Z","time":"12:04 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:04 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 08:04 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwODowNDozOC41NzYzMDArMDA6MDB8NTk1MQ","measurement":{"window":"11:04 PM–12:04 AM PST","n":17,"late_n":12,"share_pct":"71%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":24.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5951,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwODowNDozOC41NzYzMDArMDA6MDB8NTk1MQ","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODozMzozMC4xNTk2NDIrMDA6MDB8ODgwMA","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-significant\" data-id=\"8800\" data-event=\"3881\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODozMzozMC4xNTk2NDIrMDA6MDB8ODgwMA\" data-sev=\"significant\" data-life=\"new\" data-n=\"1\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8800\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3881-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8800\" data-expand=\"8800\" title=\"Show details\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show details</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-13T08:33:30.159642Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 13, 12:33 AM PST · 2026-11-13 08:33 UTC\">03:33</time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant wt-sev\" title=\"Significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Significant</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"arrivals\">ARR</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">NEW</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8800\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3881-las-delays#u-8800\" title=\"Las Vegas arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour\">Las Vegas arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"\">50% late</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8800\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8800\"></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 14 arrivals that landed between 11:33 PM and 12:33 AM PST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3881-las-delays#u-8800\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3881\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3881-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-significant\" data-id=\"8777\" data-event=\"3873\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMzY0OTMrMDA6MDB8ODc3Nw\" data-sev=\"significant\" data-life=\"new\" data-n=\"1\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8777\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3873-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8777\" data-expand=\"8777\" title=\"Show details\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show details</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-13T08:27:25.136493Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST · 2026-11-13 08:27 UTC\">03:27</time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant wt-sev\" title=\"Significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Significant</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">NEW</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8777\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3873-las-delays#u-8777\" title=\"Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 6–9 PM Friday\">Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 6–9 PM Friday</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"\">57% risk</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8777\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8777\"></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 62 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 6–9 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 40%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">1 update · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3873-las-delays#u-8777\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3873\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3873-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-significant\" data-id=\"8776\" data-event=\"3872\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMzM5MjkrMDA6MDB8ODc3Ng\" data-sev=\"significant\" data-life=\"new\" data-n=\"1\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8776\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3872-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8776\" data-expand=\"8776\" title=\"Show details\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show details</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-13T08:27:25.133929Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST · 2026-11-13 08:27 UTC\">03:27</time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant wt-sev\" title=\"Significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Significant</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">NEW</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8776\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3872-las-delays#u-8776\" title=\"Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 3–6 PM Friday\">Model forecasts 57% delay risk for Las Vegas departures 3–6 PM Friday</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"\">57% risk</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8776\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8776\"></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 103 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 3–6 PM Friday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">1 update · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3872-las-delays#u-8776\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3872\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3872-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-significant\" data-id=\"8775\" data-event=\"3871\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODoyNzoyNS4xMDkzMjYrMDA6MDB8ODc3NQ\" data-sev=\"significant\" data-life=\"new\" data-n=\"1\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8775\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3871-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8775\" data-expand=\"8775\" title=\"Show details\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show details</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-13T08:27:25.109326Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 13, 12:27 AM PST · 2026-11-13 08:27 UTC\">03:27</time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant wt-sev\" title=\"Significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Significant</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-new\" title=\"The event's current status\">NEW</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8775\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3871-las-delays#u-8775\" title=\"Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Las Vegas departures noon–3 PM Friday\">Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Las Vegas departures noon–3 PM Friday</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"\">50% risk</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8775\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8775\"></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 114 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 32%. From the 11:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">1 update · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3871-las-delays#u-8775\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3871\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3871-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8765\" data-event=\"3772\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNzowNjoxNS4yMDk5NDcrMDA6MDB8ODc2NQ\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8765\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3772-las-aircraft-turns\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8765\" data-expand=\"8765\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-13T07:06:15.209947Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM PST · 2026-11-13 07:06 UTC\">02:06</time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Inbound aircraft\">INBOUND</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8765\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3772-las-aircraft-turns#u-8765\" title=\"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight\">Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"tight share 42% at worst → 0% now\">tight share 42% at worst → 0% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8765\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8765\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:06 PM and 12:36 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3772-las-aircraft-turns#u-8765\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3772\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3772-las-aircraft-turns\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8702\" data-event=\"3801\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDo1NTo1Ni4wODc0OTQrMDA6MDB8ODcwMg\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8702\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3801-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8702\" data-expand=\"8702\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-13T04:55:56.087494Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 12, 8:55 PM PST · 2026-11-13 04:55 UTC\">23:55<small>Nov 12</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8702\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3801-las-delays#u-8702\" title=\"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 55%, near normal\">Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 55%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"58% → 55%; calm-weather level 49%\">58% → 55%; calm-weather level 49%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8702\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8702\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 58 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 8:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3801-las-delays#u-8702\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3801\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3801-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8378\" data-event=\"3649\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxOToxNjoxOC4yOTI5MDQrMDA6MDB8ODM3OA\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"4\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8378\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3649-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8378\" data-expand=\"8378\" title=\"Show all 4 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">4</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 4 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-12T19:16:18.292904Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 12, 11:16 AM PST · 2026-11-12 19:16 UTC\">14:16<small>Nov 12</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8378\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3649-las-delays#u-8378\" title=\"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 65% at worst → 10% now\">late share 65% at worst → 10% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8378\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8378\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 30 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM PST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">4 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3649-las-delays#u-8378\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3649\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3649-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8306\" data-event=\"3619\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNDo0OTozMS4zODcwMDcrMDA6MDB8ODMwNg\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8306\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3619-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8306\" data-expand=\"8306\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-12T14:49:31.387007Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST · 2026-11-12 14:49 UTC\">09:49<small>Nov 12</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8306\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3619-las-delays#u-8306\" title=\"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 67% at worst → 0% now\">late share 67% at worst → 0% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8306\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8306\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 27 departures that took off between 5:49 AM and 6:49 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3619-las-delays#u-8306\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3619\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3619-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8124\" data-event=\"3550\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQwMjoyNjoxMS44MzgwNTUrMDA6MDB8ODEyNA\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8124\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3550-las-aircraft-turns\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8124\" data-expand=\"8124\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-11T02:26:11.838055Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 10, 6:26 PM PST · 2026-11-11 02:26 UTC\">21:26<small>Nov 10</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Inbound aircraft\">INBOUND</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8124\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3550-las-aircraft-turns#u-8124\" title=\"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 33 departures in the next 90 min are tight\">Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 33 departures in the next 90 min are tight</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"tight share 28% at worst → 3% now\">tight share 28% at worst → 3% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8124\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8124\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of the 34 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 6:26 PM and 7:56 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3550-las-aircraft-turns#u-8124\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3550\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3550-las-aircraft-turns\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8093\" data-event=\"3527\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQxNTozMzoxNS40NTYxMDMrMDA6MDB8ODA5Mw\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"3\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8093\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3527-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8093\" data-expand=\"8093\" title=\"Show all 3 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">3</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 3 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-10T15:33:15.456103Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 10, 7:33 AM PST · 2026-11-10 15:33 UTC\">10:33<small>Nov 10</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"arrivals\">ARR</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8093\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3527-las-delays#u-8093\" title=\"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 77% at worst → 0% now\">late share 77% at worst → 0% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8093\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8093\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 18 arrivals that landed between 6:33 AM and 7:33 AM PST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">3 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3527-las-delays#u-8093\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3527\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3527-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8089\" data-event=\"3531\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQxNDo1ODowMy40ODI0NTMrMDA6MDB8ODA4OQ\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8089\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3531-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8089\" data-expand=\"8089\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-10T14:58:03.482453Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 10, 6:58 AM PST · 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC\">09:58<small>Nov 10</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8089\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3531-las-delays#u-8089\" title=\"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 59% at worst → 5% now\">late share 59% at worst → 5% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8089\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8089\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 22 departures that took off between 5:58 AM and 6:58 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3531-las-delays#u-8089\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3531\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3531-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"8060\" data-event=\"3522\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNzozMDo1NC41NTg2NDkrMDA6MDB8ODA2MA\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8060\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3522-las-aircraft-turns\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-8060\" data-expand=\"8060\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-10T07:30:54.558649Z\" title=\"Mon Nov 9, 11:30 PM PST · 2026-11-10 07:30 UTC\">02:30<small>Nov 10</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Inbound aircraft\">INBOUND</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-8060\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3522-las-aircraft-turns#u-8060\" title=\"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 12 departures in the next 90 min are tight\">Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 12 departures in the next 90 min are tight</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"tight share 39% at worst → 8% now\">tight share 39% at worst → 8% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-8060\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"8060\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of the 16 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:30 PM and 1:00 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3522-las-aircraft-turns#u-8060\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3522\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3522-las-aircraft-turns\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"7867\" data-event=\"3427\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1OToyMS4wNjQ5NjcrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Nw\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7867\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3427-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-7867\" data-expand=\"7867\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-09T14:59:21.064967Z\" title=\"Mon Nov 9, 6:59 AM PST · 2026-11-09 14:59 UTC\">09:59<small>Nov 9</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"arrivals\">ARR</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-7867\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3427-las-delays#u-7867\" title=\"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 3% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 47% at worst → 3% now\">late share 47% at worst → 3% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-7867\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"7867\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 29 arrivals that landed between 5:59 AM and 6:59 AM PST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3427-las-delays#u-7867\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3427\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3427-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"7866\" data-event=\"3403\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQxNDo1NToxMC44NzcxNjgrMDA6MDB8Nzg2Ng\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7866\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3403-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-7866\" data-expand=\"7866\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-09T14:55:10.877168Z\" title=\"Mon Nov 9, 6:55 AM PST · 2026-11-09 14:55 UTC\">09:55<small>Nov 9</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-7866\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3403-las-delays#u-7866\" title=\"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 64% at worst → 5% now\">late share 64% at worst → 5% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-7866\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"7866\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 20 departures that took off between 5:55 AM and 6:55 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3403-las-delays#u-7866\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3403\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3403-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"7557\" data-event=\"3258\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNDo1NTowMS42NTg4NjcrMDA6MDB8NzU1Nw\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7557\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3258-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-7557\" data-expand=\"7557\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-07T14:55:01.658867Z\" title=\"Sat Nov 7, 6:55 AM PST · 2026-11-07 14:55 UTC\">09:55<small>Nov 7</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"arrivals\">ARR</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-7557\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3258-las-delays#u-7557\" title=\"Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 50% at worst → 0% now\">late share 50% at worst → 0% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-7557\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"7557\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 21 arrivals that landed between 5:55 AM and 6:55 AM PST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3258-las-delays#u-7557\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3258\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3258-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"7474\" data-event=\"3154\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwNjoxMzoyMS4xMDc1NzgrMDA6MDB8NzQ3NA\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7474\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3154-las-aircraft-turns\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-7474\" data-expand=\"7474\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-07T06:13:21.107578Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 6, 10:13 PM PST · 2026-11-07 06:13 UTC\">01:13<small>Nov 7</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Inbound aircraft\">INBOUND</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-7474\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3154-las-aircraft-turns#u-7474\" title=\"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 3 of 36 departures in the next 90 min are tight\">Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 3 of 36 departures in the next 90 min are tight</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"tight share 57% at worst → 8% now\">tight share 57% at worst → 8% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-7474\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"7474\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of the 40 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 10:13 PM and 11:43 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 36. For 3 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3154-las-aircraft-turns#u-7474\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3154\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3154-las-aircraft-turns\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"7421\" data-event=\"3222\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMzo1Njo0MS43NTMyNTkrMDA6MDB8NzQyMQ\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7421\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3222-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-7421\" data-expand=\"7421\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-07T03:56:41.753259Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 6, 7:56 PM PST · 2026-11-07 03:56 UTC\">22:56<small>Nov 6</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-7421\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3222-las-delays#u-7421\" title=\"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 61%, near normal\">Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 61%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"66% → 61%; calm-weather level 55%\">66% → 61%; calm-weather level 55%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-7421\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"7421\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 89 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 61% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 55%. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3222-las-delays#u-7421\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3222\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3222-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6931\" data-event=\"3000\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNDo0ODowNS4wNzI0MTkrMDA6MDB8NjkzMQ\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"3\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6931\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/3000-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6931\" data-expand=\"6931\" title=\"Show all 3 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">3</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 3 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-06T14:48:05.072419Z\" title=\"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST · 2026-11-06 14:48 UTC\">09:48<small>Nov 6</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6931\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3000-las-delays#u-6931\" title=\"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas departures back near normal: 6% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 64% at worst → 6% now\">late share 64% at worst → 6% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6931\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6931\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 31 departures that took off between 5:48 AM and 6:48 AM PST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">3 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3000-las-delays#u-6931\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3000\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3000-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6830\" data-event=\"2938\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQwNzoxNToyNi4xMjU2NDgrMDA6MDB8NjgzMA\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6830\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2938-las-aircraft-turns\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6830\" data-expand=\"6830\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-06T07:15:26.125648Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 5, 11:15 PM PST · 2026-11-06 07:15 UTC\">02:15<small>Nov 6</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Inbound aircraft\">INBOUND</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6830\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2938-las-aircraft-turns#u-6830\" title=\"Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 18 departures in the next 90 min are tight\">Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 18 departures in the next 90 min are tight</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"tight share 48% at worst → 0% now\">tight share 48% at worst → 0% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6830\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6830\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of the 19 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 11:15 PM and 12:45 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 18. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2938-las-aircraft-turns#u-6830\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2938\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2938-las-aircraft-turns\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6592\" data-event=\"2867\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQxMTo1NjowNy45MzU4ODQrMDA6MDB8NjU5Mg\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6592\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2867-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6592\" data-expand=\"6592\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-05T11:56:07.935884Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 5, 3:56 AM PST · 2026-11-05 11:56 UTC\">06:56<small>Nov 5</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6592\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2867-las-delays#u-6592\" title=\"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk noon–3 PM Thursday to 34%, near normal\">Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk noon–3 PM Thursday to 34%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"52% → 34%; calm-weather level 34%\">52% → 34%; calm-weather level 34%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6592\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6592\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 164 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Thursday an average 34% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 34%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2867-las-delays#u-6592\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2867\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2867-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6591\" data-event=\"2866\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQxMTo1NjowNy45MTk4OTMrMDA6MDB8NjU5MQ\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6591\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2866-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6591\" data-expand=\"6591\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-05T11:56:07.919893Z\" title=\"Thu Nov 5, 3:56 AM PST · 2026-11-05 11:56 UTC\">06:56<small>Nov 5</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6591\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2866-las-delays#u-6591\" title=\"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Thursday to 22%, near normal\">Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Thursday to 22%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"44% → 22%; calm-weather level 21%\">44% → 22%; calm-weather level 21%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6591\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6591\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 162 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 AM–noon Thursday an average 22% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 21%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2866-las-delays#u-6591\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2866\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2866-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6067\" data-event=\"2625\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxNDo0NjoxNi43OTEzMTkrMDA6MDB8NjA2Nw\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6067\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2625-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6067\" data-expand=\"6067\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-03T14:46:16.791319Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 3, 6:46 AM PST · 2026-11-03 14:46 UTC\">09:46<small>Nov 3</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6067\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2625-las-delays#u-6067\" title=\"Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 48% at worst → 0% now\">late share 48% at worst → 0% now</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6067\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6067\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 19 departures that took off between 5:46 AM and 6:46 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Las Vegas typically sees 6% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 16% for 30 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2625-las-delays#u-6067\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2625\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2625-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6027\" data-event=\"2652\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4wNjA0MDUrMDA6MDB8NjAyNw\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6027\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2652-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6027\" data-expand=\"6027\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-03T11:58:06.060405Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST · 2026-11-03 11:58 UTC\">06:58<small>Nov 3</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6027\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2652-las-delays#u-6027\" title=\"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 33%, near normal\">Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 33%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"48% → 33%; calm-weather level 29%\">48% → 33%; calm-weather level 29%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6027\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6027\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 133 departures scheduled from Las Vegas noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 33% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2652-las-delays#u-6027\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2652\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2652-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-info\" data-id=\"6026\" data-event=\"2651\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4wNTYxODYrMDA6MDB8NjAyNg\" data-sev=\"info\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6026\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2651-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-6026\" data-expand=\"6026\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-03T11:58:06.056186Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST · 2026-11-03 11:58 UTC\">06:58<small>Nov 3</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Forecast: Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">F</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Forecast</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info wt-sev\" title=\"Informational\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Informational</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"departures\">DEP</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-6026\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2651-las-delays#u-6026\" title=\"Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Tuesday to 24%, near normal\">Model lowers Las Vegas departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Tuesday to 24%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"42% → 24%; calm-weather level 20%\">42% → 24%; calm-weather level 20%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-6026\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"6026\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 152 departures scheduled from Las Vegas 9 AM–noon Tuesday an average 24% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2651-las-delays#u-6026\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2651\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2651-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<article class=\"wi wt sev-major\" data-id=\"5951\" data-event=\"2620\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwODowNDozOC41NzYzMDArMDA6MDB8NTk1MQ\" data-sev=\"major\" data-life=\"resolved\" data-n=\"2\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5951\">\n  <div class=\"wt-row\">\n    <span class=\"wt-x\"><a class=\"wt-plus\" href=\"/wire/events/2620-las-delays\" role=\"button\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"wt-more-5951\" data-expand=\"5951\" title=\"Show all 2 updates on this event\"><span class=\"wt-box\" aria-hidden=\"true\">+</span><span class=\"wt-n\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Show all 2 updates</span></a></span>\n    <span class=\"wt-meta\">\n      <time class=\"wt-t\" datetime=\"2026-11-03T08:04:38.576300Z\" title=\"Tue Nov 3, 12:04 AM PST · 2026-11-03 08:04 UTC\">03:04<small>Nov 3</small></time>\n      <span class=\"wt-ev ev-observed\" title=\"Observed: Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\">O</span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Observed</span></span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major wt-sev\" title=\"Major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span><span class=\"visually-hidden\">Major</span></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-apt\"><a href=\"/airport/LAS\">LAS</a></span>\n      <span class=\"wt-dir\" title=\"arrivals\">ARR</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-type\" title=\"Delay\">DELAY</span>\n      <span class=\"wt-st wt-st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">RESOLVED</span>\n    </span>\n    <h3 class=\"wt-hl\" id=\"wi-h-5951\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2620-las-delays#u-5951\" title=\"Las Vegas arrival delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour\">Las Vegas arrival delays worsen: 71% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <span class=\"wt-chg\" title=\"late share 53% → 71%\">▲ late share 53% → 71%</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wt-more\" id=\"wt-more-5951\" hidden>\n    \n    <div class=\"wt-hist-slot\" data-slot=\"5951\"><p class=\"wt-loading\">Loading earlier updates…</p></div>\n    <p class=\"wt-body\">Of 17 arrivals that landed between 11:04 PM and 12:04 AM PST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 21% of arrivals at Las Vegas arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    <div class=\"wt-acts\">\n      <span class=\"wt-src\">2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2620-las-delays#u-5951\" data-act=\"open\">Open event ›</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2620\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2620-las-delays\">Copy link</button>\n      <a href=\"/airport/LAS\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View LAS</a>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>"],"filters":"airport=LAS&view=terminal"}