{"items":[{"id":8811,"event_id":3869,"slug":"3869-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 27% late in the last hour","body":"Of 15 departures that took off between 12:16 AM and 1:16 AM PST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 49% at worst → 27% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T09:16:52.356984Z","time":"1:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"57 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 09:16 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T09:16:00Z","time":"1:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"57 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 09:16 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T09:16:50.779212Z","time":"1:16 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"57 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:16 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 09:16 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwOToxNjo1Mi4zNTY5ODQrMDA6MDB8ODgxMQ","measurement":{"window":"12:16 AM–1:16 AM PST","n":15,"late_n":4,"share_pct":"27%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":8.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8811,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8801,"event_id":3882,"slug":"3882-lax-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals running late: 62% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:47 PM and 12:47 AM PST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:47:42.613307Z","time":"12:47 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:47 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:47 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:47:00Z","time":"12:47 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:47 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:47 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T08:47:42.476158Z","time":"12:47 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:47 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 08:47 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwODo0Nzo0Mi42MTMzMDcrMDA6MDB8ODgwMQ","measurement":{"window":"11:47 PM–12:47 AM PST","n":16,"late_n":10,"share_pct":"62%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":25.0},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8801,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8754,"event_id":3861,"slug":"3861-lax-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 50% delay risk for LAX departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 94 departures scheduled from LAX 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 10:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:56:06.237128Z","time":"10:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:56:05.027995Z","time":"10:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNjo1NjowNi4yMzcxMjgrMDA6MDB8ODc1NA","forecast":{"p_pct":"50%","expected_cancellations":1.4,"target":"LAX departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":22.1,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":94,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8754,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8753,"event_id":3860,"slug":"3860-lax-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 40% delay risk for LAX departures 9 AM–noon Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 183 departures scheduled from LAX 9 AM–noon Friday an average 40% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 10:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:56:06.226585Z","time":"10:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:56:05.027995Z","time":"10:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNjo1NjowNi4yMjY1ODUrMDA6MDB8ODc1Mw","forecast":{"p_pct":"40%","expected_cancellations":3.1,"target":"LAX departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":10.1,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":183,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8753,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8726,"event_id":3841,"slug":"3841-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 29% late in the last hour","body":"Of 24 departures that took off between 8:24 PM and 9:24 PM PST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 47% at worst → 29% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:24:27.436787Z","time":"9:24 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 9:24 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:24 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:24:00Z","time":"9:24 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 9:24 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:24 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:24:27.330944Z","time":"9:24 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 9:24 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:24 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNToyNDoyNy40MzY3ODcrMDA6MDB8ODcyNg","measurement":{"window":"8:24 PM–9:24 PM PST","n":24,"late_n":7,"share_pct":"29%","baseline_pct":"25%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8726,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8658,"event_id":3830,"slug":"3830-lax-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 47% delay risk for LAX departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 111 departures scheduled from LAX 6–9 PM Friday an average 47% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:56:46.251245Z","time":"7:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:56:45.160041Z","time":"7:56 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:56 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMzo1Njo0Ni4yNTEyNDUrMDA6MDB8ODY1OA","forecast":{"p_pct":"47%","expected_cancellations":2.0,"target":"LAX departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":22.1,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":111,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T03:00:00Z","time":"7:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 03:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8658,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8548,"event_id":3776,"slug":"3776-lax-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 46% delay risk for LAX departures 3–6 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 108 departures scheduled from LAX 3–6 PM Friday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:27:37.579273Z","time":"5:27 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:27 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:27:36.436003Z","time":"5:27 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:27 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMToyNzozNy41NzkyNzMrMDA6MDB8ODU0OA","forecast":{"p_pct":"46%","expected_cancellations":1.6,"target":"LAX departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":21.5,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":108,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 4:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8548,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8462,"event_id":3726,"slug":"3726-lax-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 45% delay risk for LAX departures noon–3 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 121 departures scheduled from LAX noon–3 PM Friday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:58:20.180573Z","time":"1:58 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:58 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:58:18.984943Z","time":"1:58 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:58 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famA-fc-v3","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQyMTo1ODoyMC4xODA1NzMrMDA6MDB8ODQ2Mg","forecast":{"p_pct":"45%","expected_cancellations":1.9,"target":"LAX departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":22.0,"model_version":"famA-fc-v3","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":121,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T21:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:00 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 21:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8462,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8305,"event_id":3629,"slug":"3629-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 22 departures that took off between 5:49 AM and 6:49 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 46% at worst → 5% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.301781Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:00Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:49:31.075093Z","time":"6:49 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:49 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:49 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNDo0OTozMS4zMDE3ODErMDA6MDB8ODMwNQ","measurement":{"window":"5:49 AM–6:49 AM PST","n":22,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"8%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8305,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8303,"event_id":3623,"slug":"3623-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour","body":"Of 17 arrivals that landed between 5:33 AM and 6:33 AM PST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 53% at worst → 18% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:33:12.918162Z","time":"6:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:33 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:33:00Z","time":"6:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T14:33:12.727247Z","time":"6:33 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 6:33 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 14:33 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNDozMzoxMi45MTgxNjIrMDA6MDB8ODMwMw","measurement":{"window":"5:33 AM–6:33 AM PST","n":17,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"18%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8303,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8068,"event_id":3528,"slug":"3528-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 25% late in the last hour","body":"Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:40 PM and 12:40 AM PST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 62% at worst → 25% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T08:40:18.668011Z","time":"12:40 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 12:40 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 08:40 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T08:40:00Z","time":"12:40 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 12:40 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 08:40 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T08:40:18.535937Z","time":"12:40 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 10","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 10, 12:40 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 08:40 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwODo0MDoxOC42NjgwMTErMDA6MDB8ODA2OA","measurement":{"window":"11:40 PM–12:40 AM PST","n":16,"late_n":4,"share_pct":"25%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":9.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8068,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8030,"event_id":3510,"slug":"3510-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 26% late in the last hour","body":"Of 43 arrivals that landed between 7:32 PM and 8:32 PM PST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 49% at worst → 26% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-10T04:32:10.898199Z","time":"8:32 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 8:32 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 04:32 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-10T04:32:00Z","time":"8:32 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 8:32 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 04:32 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-10T04:32:10.115060Z","time":"8:32 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 8:32 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-10 04:32 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMFQwNDozMjoxMC44OTgxOTkrMDA6MDB8ODAzMA","measurement":{"window":"7:32 PM–8:32 PM PST","n":43,"late_n":11,"share_pct":"26%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8030,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7971,"event_id":3465,"slug":"3465-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour","body":"Of 28 departures that took off between 2:27 PM and 3:27 PM PST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 45% at worst → 21% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T23:28:00.397345Z","time":"3:28 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 3:28 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 23:28 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T23:27:00Z","time":"3:27 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 3:27 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 23:27 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T23:27:59.792744Z","time":"3:27 PM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 9","ago":"3 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 9, 3:27 PM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 23:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQyMzoyODowMC4zOTczNDUrMDA6MDB8Nzk3MQ","measurement":{"window":"2:27 PM–3:27 PM PST","n":28,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"21%","baseline_pct":"25%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7971,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7671,"event_id":3326,"slug":"3326-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 11% late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 arrivals that landed between 5:21 AM and 6:21 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 32 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 50% at worst → 11% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-08T14:21:50.401128Z","time":"6:21 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:21 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 14:21 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-08T14:21:00Z","time":"6:21 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:21 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 14:21 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-08T14:21:45.970976Z","time":"6:21 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:21 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 14:21 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOFQxNDoyMTo1MC40MDExMjgrMDA6MDB8NzY3MQ","measurement":{"window":"5:21 AM–6:21 AM PST","n":18,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"11%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-15.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7671,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7556,"event_id":3251,"slug":"3251-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 23% late in the last hour","body":"Of 13 arrivals that landed between 5:50 AM and 6:50 AM PST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 54% at worst → 23% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:50:57.742226Z","time":"6:50 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:50 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:50:00Z","time":"6:50 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:50 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:50:57.325947Z","time":"6:50 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:50 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNDo1MDo1Ny43NDIyMjYrMDA6MDB8NzU1Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:50 AM–6:50 AM PST","n":13,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"23%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7556,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7555,"event_id":3266,"slug":"3266-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour","body":"Of 22 departures that took off between 5:50 AM and 6:50 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 58% at worst → 0% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:50:57.720351Z","time":"6:50 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:50 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:50:00Z","time":"6:50 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:50 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T14:50:57.325947Z","time":"6:50 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 6:50 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 14:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNDo1MDo1Ny43MjAzNTErMDA6MDB8NzU1NQ","measurement":{"window":"5:50 AM–6:50 AM PST","n":22,"late_n":0,"share_pct":"0%","baseline_pct":"8%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7555,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6952,"event_id":2994,"slug":"2994-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 9% late in the last hour","body":"Of 23 arrivals that landed between 6:26 AM and 7:26 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 50% at worst → 9% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:26:10.292278Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:26 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:26:00Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:26 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:26 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:26:09.806732Z","time":"7:26 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 7:26 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNToyNjoxMC4yOTIyNzgrMDA6MDB8Njk1Mg","measurement":{"window":"6:26 AM–7:26 AM PST","n":23,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"9%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-15.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6952,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6930,"event_id":3007,"slug":"3007-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 4% late in the last hour","body":"Of 26 departures that took off between 5:48 AM and 6:48 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 61% at worst → 4% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T14:48:05.049527Z","time":"6:48 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 14:48 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T14:48:00Z","time":"6:48 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 14:48 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T14:48:04.780239Z","time":"6:48 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:48 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 14:48 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNDo0ODowNS4wNDk1MjcrMDA6MDB8NjkzMA","measurement":{"window":"5:48 AM–6:48 AM PST","n":26,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"4%","baseline_pct":"8%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":0.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6930,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6601,"event_id":2854,"slug":"2854-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 13% late in the last hour","body":"Of 15 arrivals that landed between 5:27 AM and 6:27 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 40% at worst → 13% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-05T14:27:10.984503Z","time":"6:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 6:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 14:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-05T14:27:00Z","time":"6:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 6:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 14:27 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-05T14:27:10.652185Z","time":"6:27 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 6:27 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 14:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQxNDoyNzoxMC45ODQ1MDMrMDA6MDB8NjYwMQ","measurement":{"window":"5:27 AM–6:27 AM PST","n":15,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"13%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-8.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6601,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6060,"event_id":2614,"slug":"2614-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 15% late in the last hour","body":"Of 13 arrivals that landed between 5:11 AM and 6:11 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 73% at worst → 15% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:11:53.542775Z","time":"6:11 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:11 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:11 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:11:00Z","time":"6:11 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:11 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:11 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:11:52.577878Z","time":"6:11 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 6:11 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:11 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxNDoxMTo1My41NDI3NzUrMDA6MDB8NjA2MA","measurement":{"window":"5:11 AM–6:11 AM PST","n":13,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"15%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-9.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":6060,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":4,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6025,"event_id":2650,"slug":"2650-lax-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers LAX departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 31%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 144 departures scheduled from LAX noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"43% → 31%; calm-weather level 24%","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:06.043982Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:58:05.116805Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxMTo1ODowNi4wNDM5ODIrMDA6MDB8NjAyNQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"31%","expected_cancellations":0.7,"target":"LAX departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-03 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":8.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":144,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-03T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6025,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5396,"event_id":2107,"slug":"2107-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 22 departures that took off between 5:37 AM and 6:37 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 73% at worst → 5% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:37:57.527953Z","time":"6:37 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 6:37 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:37 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:37:00Z","time":"6:37 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 6:37 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:37 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:37:56.853559Z","time":"6:37 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 6:37 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:37 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNDozNzo1Ny41Mjc5NTMrMDA6MDB8NTM5Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:37 AM–6:37 AM PST","n":22,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"8%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-5.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":5396,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":6,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5386,"event_id":2276,"slug":"2276-lax-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"LAX arrivals back near normal: 25% late in the last hour","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 5:21 AM and 6:21 AM PST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 86% at worst → 25% now","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:21:23.878040Z","time":"6:21 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 6:21 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:21 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:21:00Z","time":"6:21 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 6:21 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:21 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T14:21:23.350997Z","time":"6:21 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 6:21 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 14:21 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxNDoyMToyMy44NzgwNDArMDA6MDB8NTM4Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:21 AM–6:21 AM PST","n":12,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"25%","baseline_pct":"19%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":5386,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5352,"event_id":2339,"slug":"2339-lax-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers LAX departure delay risk noon–3 PM Monday to 37%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 159 departures scheduled from LAX noon–3 PM Monday an average 37% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 4:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"47% → 37%; calm-weather level 29%","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:58:40.396675Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T12:00:00Z","time":"4:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T13:58:34.605148Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 13:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMzo1ODo0MC4zOTY2NzUrMDA6MDB8NTM1Mg","forecast":{"p_pct":"37%","expected_cancellations":1.3,"target":"LAX departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-02 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":6.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":159,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T12:00:00Z","time":"4:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5352,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5287,"event_id":2338,"slug":"2338-lax-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers LAX departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Monday to 31%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 207 departures scheduled from LAX 9 AM–noon Monday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 22%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"45% → 31%; calm-weather level 22%","airports":["LAX"],"metros":["LA"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:58:25.455054Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:58:22.008372Z","time":"3:58 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:58 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMTo1ODoyNS40NTUwNTQrMDA6MDB8NTI4Nw","forecast":{"p_pct":"31%","expected_cancellations":1.8,"target":"LAX departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-02 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":5.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":207,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:00:00Z","time":"3:00 AM","zone":"PST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:00 AM PST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5287,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMTo1ODoyNS40NTUwNTQrMDA6MDB8NTI4Nw","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwOToxNjo1Mi4zNTY5ODQrMDA6MDB8ODgxMQ","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 13\n 57 min ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 27% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 49% at worst → 27% now

\n \n

Of 15 departures that took off between 12:16 AM and 1:16 AM PST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 12:16 AM–1:16 AM PSTSample 15 flightsLate 27%Typical 18%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 13\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Major\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals running late: 62% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:47 PM and 12:47 AM PST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 11:47 PM–12:47 AM PSTSample 16 flightsLate 62%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 3 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 50%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 50% delay risk for LAX departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 94 departures scheduled from LAX 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 10:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 50%Horizon 22.1 hModel famA-fc-v3

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 3 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 40%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 40% delay risk for LAX departures 9 AM–noon Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 183 departures scheduled from LAX 9 AM–noon Friday an average 40% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 10:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 40%Horizon 10.1 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 4 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 29% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 47% at worst → 29% now

\n \n

Of 24 departures that took off between 8:24 PM and 9:24 PM PST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 8:24 PM–9:24 PM PSTSample 24 flightsLate 29%Typical 25%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 6 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 47%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 47% delay risk for LAX departures 6–9 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 111 departures scheduled from LAX 6–9 PM Friday an average 47% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 47%Horizon 22.1 hModel famA-fc-v3

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 8 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 46%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 46% delay risk for LAX departures 3–6 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 108 departures scheduled from LAX 3–6 PM Friday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 46%Horizon 21.5 hModel famA-fc-v3

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 12 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 45%\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 45% delay risk for LAX departures noon–3 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 121 departures scheduled from LAX noon–3 PM Friday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 1:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 45%Horizon 22.0 hModel famA-fc-v3

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 19 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 46% at worst → 5% now

\n \n

Of 22 departures that took off between 5:49 AM and 6:49 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:49 AM–6:49 AM PSTSample 22 flightsLate 5%Typical 8%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 12\n 19 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 53% at worst → 18% now

\n \n

Of 17 arrivals that landed between 5:33 AM and 6:33 AM PST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:33 AM–6:33 AM PSTSample 17 flightsLate 18%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 10\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 25% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 62% at worst → 25% now

\n \n

Of 16 arrivals that landed between 11:40 PM and 12:40 AM PST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 11:40 PM–12:40 AM PSTSample 16 flightsLate 25%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 26% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 49% at worst → 26% now

\n \n

Of 43 arrivals that landed between 7:32 PM and 8:32 PM PST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 7:32 PM–8:32 PM PSTSample 43 flightsLate 26%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 9\n 3 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 45% at worst → 21% now

\n \n

Of 28 departures that took off between 2:27 PM and 3:27 PM PST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 2:27 PM–3:27 PM PSTSample 28 flightsLate 21%Typical 25%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 8\n 4 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 11% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 50% at worst → 11% now

\n \n

Of 18 arrivals that landed between 5:21 AM and 6:21 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 32 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:21 AM–6:21 AM PSTSample 18 flightsLate 11%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 7\n 5 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 23% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 54% at worst → 23% now

\n \n

Of 13 arrivals that landed between 5:50 AM and 6:50 AM PST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:50 AM–6:50 AM PSTSample 13 flightsLate 23%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 7\n 5 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 58% at worst → 0% now

\n \n

Of 22 departures that took off between 5:50 AM and 6:50 AM PST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:50 AM–6:50 AM PSTSample 22 flightsLate 0%Typical 8%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 50% at worst → 9% now

\n \n

Of 23 arrivals that landed between 6:26 AM and 7:26 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 6:26 AM–7:26 AM PSTSample 23 flightsLate 9%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 4% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 61% at worst → 4% now

\n \n

Of 26 departures that took off between 5:48 AM and 6:48 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:48 AM–6:48 AM PSTSample 26 flightsLate 4%Typical 8%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 5\n 7 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 13% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 40% at worst → 13% now

\n \n

Of 15 arrivals that landed between 5:27 AM and 6:27 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:27 AM–6:27 AM PSTSample 15 flightsLate 13%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 15% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 73% at worst → 15% now

\n \n

Of 13 arrivals that landed between 5:11 AM and 6:11 AM PST, 2 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 15 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:11 AM–6:11 AM PSTSample 13 flightsLate 15%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (4)\n 3 earlier matching updates\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 31%\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers LAX departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 31%, near normal

\n

What changed: 43% → 31%; calm-weather level 24%

\n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 144 departures scheduled from LAX noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 31%Horizon 8.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 2\n 10 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

LAX departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 73% at worst → 5% now

\n \n

Of 22 departures that took off between 5:37 AM and 6:37 AM PST, 1 left at least 15 minutes late. LAX typically sees 8% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 18% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:37 AM–6:37 AM PSTSample 22 flightsLate 5%Typical 8%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (6)\n 5 earlier matching updates\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 2\n 10 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n LAX\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

LAX arrivals back near normal: 25% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 86% at worst → 25% now

\n \n

Of 12 arrivals that landed between 5:21 AM and 6:21 AM PST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at LAX arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 29% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:21 AM–6:21 AM PSTSample 12 flightsLate 25%Typical 19%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 2\n 10 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 37%\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers LAX departure delay risk noon–3 PM Monday to 37%, near normal

\n

What changed: 47% → 37%; calm-weather level 29%

\n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 159 departures scheduled from LAX noon–3 PM Monday an average 37% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 4:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 37%Horizon 6.0 hModel famB-sd-v4iModel changed

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n PST, Nov 2\n 10 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 31%\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Delay\n LAX\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model lowers LAX departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Monday to 31%, near normal

\n

What changed: 45% → 31%; calm-weather level 22%

\n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 207 departures scheduled from LAX 9 AM–noon Monday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 22%. From the 3:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 31%Horizon 5.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View LAX\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n"],"filters":"type=delay&airport=LAX"}