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The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.","what_changed":"range 16–30 → 31–45 min","airports":["LGA"],"metros":["NYC"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:51:21.030881Z","time":"4:51 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:51 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:51 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:50:48.648000Z","time":"4:50 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:50 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:51:20.971352Z","time":"4:51 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:51 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:51 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-16.2","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xNlQyMDo1MToyMS4wMzA4ODErMDA6MDB8MTM","lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":35,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":35,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Major","headline":"FAA now reports departure delays of 91–105 min at LaGuardia","published":{"utc":"2026-10-17T00:16:16.841692Z","time":"8:16 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"2 min ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 8:16 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-17 00:16 UTC"}}},{"id":12,"event_id":5,"slug":"5-lga-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 54%","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 35%. From the 3:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"59% → 54% since the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (same model, same window)","airports":["LGA"],"metros":["NYC"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:27:16.181150Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:27 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:00:00Z","time":"3:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:27:16.085327Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:27 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-16.2","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xNlQyMDoyNzoxNi4xODExNTArMDA6MDB8MTI","forecast":{"p_pct":"54%","expected_cancellations":0.4,"target":"LGA departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-10-16 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":4.5,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":29,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:00:00Z","time":"3:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":18,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":18,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 73%","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T22:27:40.752465Z","time":"6:27 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 6:27 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 22:27 UTC"}}},{"id":9,"event_id":9,"slug":"9-lga-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"FAA reports departure delays of 16–30 min at LaGuardia","body":"The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 16–30 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LGA"],"metros":["NYC"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:11:11.702952Z","time":"4:11 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:11 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:11 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:10:47.489000Z","time":"4:10 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:10 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:10 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-16T20:11:11.663710Z","time":"4:11 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 4:11 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 20:11 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-16.2","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xNlQyMDoxMToxMS43MDI5NTIrMDA6MDB8OQ","lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":6,"latest_update_id":35,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":35,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Major","headline":"FAA now reports departure delays of 91–105 min at LaGuardia","published":{"utc":"2026-10-17T00:16:16.841692Z","time":"8:16 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"2 min ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 8:16 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-17 00:16 UTC"}}},{"id":5,"event_id":5,"slug":"5-lga-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 59% delay risk for LaGuardia departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 59% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LGA"],"metros":["NYC"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:54:42.332979Z","time":"3:54 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:54 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:54 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-16T18:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 2:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 18:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:54:42.024561Z","time":"3:54 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:54 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:54 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-16.2","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xNlQxOTo1NDo0Mi4zMzI5NzkrMDA6MDB8NQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"59%","expected_cancellations":0.6,"target":"LGA departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-10-16 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":5.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":29,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-16T18:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 2:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 18:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":18,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":18,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Model raises LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 73%","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T22:27:40.752465Z","time":"6:27 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 6:27 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 22:27 UTC"}}},{"id":4,"event_id":4,"slug":"4-lga-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 64% delay risk for LaGuardia departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 98 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 6–9 PM Friday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LGA"],"metros":["NYC"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:54:42.329595Z","time":"3:54 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:54 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:54 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-16T18:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 2:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 18:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:54:42.024561Z","time":"3:54 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:54 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:54 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-16.2","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xNlQxOTo1NDo0Mi4zMjk1OTUrMDA6MDB8NA","forecast":{"p_pct":"64%","expected_cancellations":1.9,"target":"LGA departures 6–9 PM 2026-10-16 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":2.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":98,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-10-16T18:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 2:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 18:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":4,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":1,"event_id":1,"slug":"1-lga-restriction","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"traffic_restriction","type_label":"Traffic restriction","headline":"FAA reports ground delay program for LaGuardia arrivals, average delay 31 min","body":"The FAA’s airport status lists a ground delay program for flights to LaGuardia (LGA), citing “thunderstorms”; it gives an average delay of 31 min and a maximum of 88 min. Departures to LGA are given later takeoff times at their origin airports.","what_changed":null,"airports":["LGA"],"metros":["NYC"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:54:42.063360Z","time":"3:54 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:54 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:54 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-10-16T17:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 1:00 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 17:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-10-16T19:54:42.024561Z","time":"3:54 PM","zone":"EDT","date":"Oct 16","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Oct 16, 3:54 PM EDT","utc_text":"2026-10-16 19:54 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-16.2","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xNlQxOTo1NDo0Mi4wNjMzNjArMDA6MDB8MQ","lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":1,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":null,"top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMC0xN1QwMDoxNjoxNi44NDE2OTIrMDA6MDB8MzU","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 2 min ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Major\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

FAA now reports departure delays of 91–105 min at LaGuardia

\n

What changed: range 76–90 → 91–105 min

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 91–105 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (6)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 16 min ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Major\n Developing\n \n Update\n Ground stop\n LGA\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

FAA updates LaGuardia ground stop

\n

What changed: reason now “thunderstorms”

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for LaGuardia (LGA), citing “thunderstorms”. Flights to LGA are held at their departure airports until 9:00 PM EDT. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 18 min ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Major\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Ground stop\n LGA\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

FAA extends LaGuardia ground stop to 9:00 PM EDT

\n

What changed: end 8:15 PM EDT → 9:00 PM EDT; reason now “THUNDERSTORMS”

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for LaGuardia (LGA), citing “THUNDERSTORMS”. Flights to LGA are held at their departure airports until 9:00 PM EDT. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Major\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Ground stop\n LGA\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

FAA extends LaGuardia ground stop to 8:15 PM EDT

\n

What changed: end 7:15 PM EDT → 8:15 PM EDT

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for LaGuardia (LGA), citing “thunderstorms”. Flights to LGA are held at their departure airports until 8:15 PM EDT. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Major\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

FAA now reports departure delays of 76–90 min at LaGuardia

\n

What changed: range 61–75 → 76–90 min

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 76–90 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (6)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Significant\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

FAA now reports departure delays of 61–75 min at LaGuardia

\n

What changed: range 46–60 → 61–75 min

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 61–75 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (6)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Significant\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

FAA now reports departure delays of 46–60 min at LaGuardia

\n

What changed: range 31–45 → 46–60 min

\n \n

The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 46–60 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (6)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Major\n Developing\n \n \n Ground stop\n LGA\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

FAA reports ground stop for flights to LaGuardia until 7:15 PM EDT

\n \n \n

The FAA’s airport status lists a ground stop for flights bound for LaGuardia (LGA), citing “thunderstorms”. Flights to LGA are held at their departure airports until 7:15 PM EDT. The FAA lists the chance of an extension as “MEDIUM”.

\n \n \n
\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 1 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 73%\n Major\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model raises LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 73%

\n

What changed: 62% → 73% since the 4:00 PM EDT forecast (same model, same window)

\n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 73% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 5:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 73%Horizon 2.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 2 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 62%\n Major\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model raises LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 62%

\n

What changed: 54% → 62% since the 3:00 PM EDT forecast (same model, same window)

\n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 62% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 4:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 62%Horizon 3.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
\n
\n
","\n\n
\n
\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 3 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Significant\n Developing\n \n Escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
\n

FAA now reports departure delays of 31–45 min at LaGuardia

\n

What changed: range 16–30 → 31–45 min

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The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 31–45 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

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\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (6)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
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\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 3 h ago\n
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\n Forecast 54%\n Significant\n Developing\n \n De-escalation\n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
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Model lowers LaGuardia departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 54%

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What changed: 59% → 54% since the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (same model, same window)

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Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 54% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 35%. From the 3:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

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Probability 54%Horizon 4.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
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\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 4 h ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Developing\n \n \n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
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FAA reports departure delays of 16–30 min at LaGuardia

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The FAA’s airport status reports departure delays of 16–30 min at LaGuardia (LGA), citing “TM Initiatives:SWAP:WX”. The FAA describes the trend as “Increasing”.

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\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (6)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
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\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 4 h ago\n
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\n Forecast 59%\n Major\n Developing\n \n \n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
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Model forecasts 59% delay risk for LaGuardia departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

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Tailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 59% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

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Probability 59%Horizon 5.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (4)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
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\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 4 h ago\n
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\n Forecast 64%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n LGA\n departures\n \n \n
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Model forecasts 64% delay risk for LaGuardia departures 6–9 PM Friday

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Tailodds’ model gives the 98 departures scheduled from LaGuardia 6–9 PM Friday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 2:00 PM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

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Probability 64%Horizon 2.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
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\n \n EDT, Oct 16\n 4 h ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Significant\n New\n \n \n Traffic restriction\n LGA\n arrivals\n \n \n
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FAA reports ground delay program for LaGuardia arrivals, average delay 31 min

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The FAA’s airport status lists a ground delay program for flights to LaGuardia (LGA), citing “thunderstorms”; it gives an average delay of 31 min and a maximum of 88 min. Departures to LGA are given later takeoff times at their origin airports.

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\n Source: FAA NAS Status (airport events) ↗\n Timeline (1)\n \n View LGA\n \n \n
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"],"filters":"airport=LGA&mode=all"}