{"items":[{"id":8595,"event_id":3796,"slug":"3796-mci-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Kansas City arrival delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 7:20 PM and 8:20 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 69% → 42%","airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:20:54.482693Z","time":"8:20 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:20 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:20 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:20:00Z","time":"8:20 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:20 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:20 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:20:52.474901Z","time":"8:20 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:20 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:20 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMjoyMDo1NC40ODI2OTMrMDA6MDB8ODU5NQ","measurement":{"window":"7:20 PM–8:20 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":5,"share_pct":"42%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-3.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8595,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8581,"event_id":3796,"slug":"3796-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Kansas City arrivals running late: 69% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 13 arrivals that landed between 6:37 PM and 7:37 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:38:00.055628Z","time":"7:38 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:38 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:38 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:37:00Z","time":"7:37 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:37 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:37 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:37:58.102859Z","time":"7:37 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"10 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:37 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:37 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMTozODowMC4wNTU2MjgrMDA6MDB8ODU4MQ","measurement":{"window":"6:37 PM–7:37 PM CST","n":13,"late_n":9,"share_pct":"69%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":48.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8595,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8595,"kind":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Significant","headline":"Kansas City arrival delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:20:54.482693Z","time":"8:20 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"9 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:20 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:20 UTC"}}},{"id":8509,"event_id":3754,"slug":"3754-mci-aircraft-turns","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"inbound_risk","type_label":"Inbound aircraft","headline":"Kansas City: 8 of 15 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn","body":"Of the 22 departures scheduled from Kansas City (MCI) between 5:38 PM and 7:08 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into MCI is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T23:38:45.777251Z","time":"5:38 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:38 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 23:38 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T23:38:00Z","time":"5:38 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:38 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 23:38 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T23:38:44.291362Z","time":"5:38 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"12 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 5:38 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 23:38 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"inbound_aircraft inbound-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQyMzozODo0NS43NzcyNTErMDA6MDB8ODUwOQ","measure":{"chips":[["Next","5:38 PM–7:08 PM CST"],["Tight turns","8 of 15"],["Share","53%"]],"rows":[["Departures scheduled","5:38 PM–7:08 PM CST · 22 departures, aircraft known for 15"],["Tight turns","8 (53%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure"],["Inbound not yet in","1 not taken off · 4 in the air"],["Method","SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)"],["Tightest","WN 2668 to DEN at 5:40 PM: aircraft N8556Z, inbound WN 2122 from HOU (airborne), -33 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2699 to MSY at 6:16 PM: aircraft N7860A, inbound WN 330 from SAN (airborne), -30 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 477 to HOU at 6:50 PM: aircraft N942WN, inbound WN 477 from MDW (not departed), 11 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 2084 to BNA at 5:48 PM: aircraft N8849Q, inbound WN 2075 from DEN (landed), 23 min to turn"],["Tightest","WN 1491 to DEN at 6:57 PM: aircraft N8741L, inbound WN 3049 from SMF (airborne), 25 min to turn"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8509,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_inbound"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8429,"event_id":3710,"slug":"3710-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 48% delay risk for Kansas City departures 6–9 PM Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 34 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Thursday an average 48% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:56:48.118333Z","time":"2:56 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:56 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:56:46.376340Z","time":"2:56 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:56 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQyMDo1Njo0OC4xMTgzMzMrMDA6MDB8ODQyOQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"48%","expected_cancellations":0.4,"target":"MCI departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":3.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":34,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:00:00Z","time":"2:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8429,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7746,"event_id":3380,"slug":"3380-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Kansas City departures running late: 50% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 12 departures that took off between 5:25 PM and 6:25 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:25:40.610315Z","time":"6:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:25 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:25:00Z","time":"6:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:25 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:25:39.187522Z","time":"6:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:25 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwMDoyNTo0MC42MTAzMTUrMDA6MDB8Nzc0Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:25 PM–6:25 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"30%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":17.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7746,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7737,"event_id":3375,"slug":"3375-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Kansas City arrivals running late: 43% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 14 arrivals that landed between 4:41 PM and 5:41 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-08T23:41:58.261828Z","time":"5:41 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 5:41 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 23:41 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-08T23:41:00Z","time":"5:41 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 5:41 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 23:41 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-08T23:41:56.299490Z","time":"5:41 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 5:41 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 23:41 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOFQyMzo0MTo1OC4yNjE4MjgrMDA6MDB8NzczNw","measurement":{"window":"4:41 PM–5:41 PM CST","n":14,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"43%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":9.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7737,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7151,"event_id":3150,"slug":"3150-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 56% delay risk for Kansas City departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 44 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Friday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T20:26:35.878833Z","time":"2:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 2:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 20:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T20:26:32.829176Z","time":"2:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 2:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 20:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMDoyNjozNS44Nzg4MzMrMDA6MDB8NzE1MQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"56%","expected_cancellations":0.3,"target":"MCI departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-06 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":3.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":44,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7151,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7150,"event_id":3149,"slug":"3149-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 51% delay risk for Kansas City departures 3–6 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 49 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Friday an average 51% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T20:26:35.876024Z","time":"2:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 2:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 20:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T20:26:32.829176Z","time":"2:26 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 2:26 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 20:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMDoyNjozNS44NzYwMjQrMDA6MDB8NzE1MA","forecast":{"p_pct":"51%","expected_cancellations":0.6,"target":"MCI departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-06 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":0.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":49,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","time":"1:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7150,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7111,"event_id":3126,"slug":"3126-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Kansas City departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 13 departures that took off between 12:31 PM and 1:31 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:31:30.777387Z","time":"1:31 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:31 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:31 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:31:00Z","time":"1:31 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:31 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:31 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T19:31:29.908202Z","time":"1:31 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 1:31 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 19:31 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxOTozMTozMC43NzczODcrMDA6MDB8NzExMQ","measurement":{"window":"12:31 PM–1:31 PM CST","n":13,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"46%","baseline_pct":"21%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":14.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7111,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6486,"event_id":2818,"slug":"2818-mci-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Kansas City departures running late: 42% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 12 departures that took off between 11:23 AM and 12:23 PM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-04T18:23:36.638651Z","time":"12:23 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 4","ago":"8 days ago","full":"Wed Nov 4, 12:23 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 18:23 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-04T18:23:00Z","time":"12:23 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 4","ago":"8 days ago","full":"Wed Nov 4, 12:23 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 18:23 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-04T18:23:36.085549Z","time":"12:23 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 4","ago":"8 days ago","full":"Wed Nov 4, 12:23 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 18:23 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNFQxODoyMzozNi42Mzg2NTErMDA6MDB8NjQ4Ng","measurement":{"window":"11:23 AM–12:23 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":5,"share_pct":"42%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":6486,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6345,"event_id":2746,"slug":"2746-mci-weather","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"weather","type_label":"Weather","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City","body":"No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 8:53 PM CST. The latest, at 9:53 PM CST, reports ceiling 1200 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt gusting to 19 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-04T04:02:38.821674Z","time":"10:02 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 10:02 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 04:02 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-04T03:53:00Z","time":"9:53 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 9:53 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 03:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-04T04:00:06.872794Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 04:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNFQwNDowMjozOC44MjE2NzQrMDA6MDB8NjM0NQ","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","9:53 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","METAR KMCI 040353Z 30009G19KT 10SM FEW007 OVC012 11/09 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP085 T01060094"],["Station","KMCI at Tue Nov 3, 9:53 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6345,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6262,"event_id":2746,"slug":"2746-mci-weather","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. 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Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T23:19:53.949107Z","time":"5:19 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:19 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 23:19 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T23:13:00Z","time":"5:13 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:13 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 23:13 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T23:19:51.901731Z","time":"5:19 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:19 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 23:19 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMzoxOTo1My45NDkxMDcrMDA6MDB8NjI2Mg","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","5:13 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","SPECI KMCI 032313Z 30012G20KT 6SM BR BKN006 OVC014 13/13 A2970 RMK AO2 T01330128"],["Station","KMCI at Tue Nov 3, 5:13 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6345,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":6345,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City","published":{"utc":"2026-11-04T04:02:38.821674Z","time":"10:02 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 10:02 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-04 04:02 UTC"}}},{"id":6252,"event_id":2737,"slug":"2737-mci-weather","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. 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The latest, at 4:43 PM CST, reports ceiling 1000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt gusting to 19 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:48:19.370950Z","time":"4:48 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:48 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:48 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:43:00Z","time":"4:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:43 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:48:09.585051Z","time":"4:48 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:48 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:48 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMjo0ODoxOS4zNzA5NTArMDA6MDB8NjI1Mg","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","4:43 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","SPECI KMCI 032243Z 32009G19KT 10SM BKN010 OVC016 14/13 A2969 RMK AO2 T01440128"],["Station","KMCI at Tue Nov 3, 4:43 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6252,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6235,"event_id":2737,"slug":"2737-mci-weather","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. 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Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T21:29:30.480320Z","time":"3:29 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:29 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 21:29 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T21:23:00Z","time":"3:23 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:23 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 21:23 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T21:28:51.935430Z","time":"3:28 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 3:28 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 21:28 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMToyOTozMC40ODAzMjArMDA6MDB8NjIzNQ","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","3:23 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","SPECI KMCI 032123Z 27008KT 1 1/4SM R19R/5500VP6000FT +RA BR SCT014 OVC020 16/14 A2965 RMK AO2 P0001 T01610144"],["Station","KMCI at Tue Nov 3, 3:23 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6252,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":6252,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:48:19.370950Z","time":"4:48 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:48 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:48 UTC"}}},{"id":6204,"event_id":2661,"slug":"2661-mci-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. 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The latest, at 12:25 AM CST, reports light rain, ceiling 2200 ft, visibility 9 mi, wind 15 kt gusting to 25 kt.","what_changed":"thunderstorm with rain → no longer reported","airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:59:21.557475Z","time":"12:59 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:59 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:59 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:25:00Z","time":"12:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:25 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:59:20.577326Z","time":"12:59 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:59 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:59 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNjo1OToyMS41NTc0NzUrMDA6MDB8NTkzOA","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","12:25 AM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","SPECI KMCI 030625Z 21015G25KT 9SM -RA FEW012 BKN022 OVC030 17/16 A2969 RMK AO2 PK WND 20028/0614 TSE25 OCNL LTGICCG DSNT SE P0019 T01720156 $"],["Station","KMCI at Tue Nov 3, 12:25 AM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":5938,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5937,"event_id":2613,"slug":"2613-mci-weather","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. 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The latest, at 12:25 AM CST, reports light rain, ceiling 2200 ft, visibility 9 mi, wind 15 kt gusting to 25 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:51:11.791583Z","time":"12:51 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:51 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:51 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:25:00Z","time":"12:25 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:25 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:25 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:51:10.933550Z","time":"12:51 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:51 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:51 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNjo1MToxMS43OTE1ODMrMDA6MDB8NTkzNw","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","12:25 AM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","SPECI KMCI 030625Z 21015G25KT 9SM -RA FEW012 BKN022 OVC030 17/16 A2969 RMK AO2 PK WND 20028/0614 TSE25 OCNL LTGICCG DSNT SE P0019 T01720156 $"],["Station","KMCI at Tue Nov 3, 12:25 AM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5937,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5936,"event_id":2603,"slug":"2603-mci-weather","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. 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We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"weather","type_label":"Weather","headline":"Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City","body":"The 11:53 PM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports heavy thunderstorm with rain; mist, ceiling 4600 ft, visibility 1.75 mi, wind 19 kt gusting to 30 kt. Coded weather: “+TSRA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MCI"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:00:11.857647Z","time":"12:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T05:53:00Z","time":"11:53 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 11:53 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 05:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:00:10.656853Z","time":"12:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNjowMDoxMS44NTc2NDcrMDA6MDB8NTkyNw","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","11:53 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","METAR KMCI 030553Z 20019G30KT 1 3/4SM R19R/5000VP6000FT +TSRA BR FEW022CB BKN046 OVC060 20/19 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 20030/0552 RAE0459B08 TSB00 SLP041 OCNL LTGICCG OHD AND NW TS W-NW MOV NE P0014 60014 T02000189 10217 20189 402280167 56 $"],["Station","KMCI at Mon Nov 2, 11:53 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5937,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMCI&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":5937,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T06:51:11.791583Z","time":"12:51 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:51 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 06:51 UTC"}}}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNjowMDoxMS44NTc2NDcrMDA6MDB8NTkyNw","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMjoyMDo1NC40ODI2OTMrMDA6MDB8ODU5NQ","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 9 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Developing\n \n De-escalation\n Delay\n MCI\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Kansas City arrival delays ease: 42% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n

What changed: late share 69% → 42%

\n \n

Of 12 arrivals that landed between 7:20 PM and 8:20 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 7:20 PM–8:20 PM CSTSample 12 flightsLate 42%Typical 23%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 10 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Major\n Developing\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Kansas City arrivals running late: 69% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 13 arrivals that landed between 6:37 PM and 7:37 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 6:37 PM–7:37 PM CSTSample 13 flightsLate 69%Typical 23%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 12 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Inbound aircraft\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Kansas City: 8 of 15 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

\n \n \n

Of the 22 departures scheduled from Kansas City (MCI) between 5:38 PM and 7:08 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into MCI is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

\n \n

Next 5:38 PM–7:08 PM CSTTight turns 8 of 15Share 53%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 14 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 48%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 48% delay risk for Kansas City departures 6–9 PM Thursday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 34 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Thursday an average 48% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 48%Horizon 3.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 8\n 4 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Kansas City departures running late: 50% left 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 12 departures that took off between 5:25 PM and 6:25 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 5:25 PM–6:25 PM CSTSample 12 flightsLate 50%Typical 30%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 8\n 4 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Kansas City arrivals running late: 43% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 14 arrivals that landed between 4:41 PM and 5:41 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 4:41 PM–5:41 PM CSTSample 14 flightsLate 43%Typical 23%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 56%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 56% delay risk for Kansas City departures 6–9 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 44 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Friday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 56%Horizon 3.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 51%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 51% delay risk for Kansas City departures 3–6 PM Friday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 49 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Friday an average 51% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 51%Horizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
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Kansas City departures running late: 46% left 15+ min late in the last hour

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Of 13 departures that took off between 12:31 PM and 1:31 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

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Window 12:31 PM–1:31 PM CSTSample 13 flightsLate 46%Typical 21%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 4\n 8 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
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Kansas City departures running late: 42% left 15+ min late in the last hour

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Of 12 departures that took off between 11:23 AM and 12:23 PM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

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Window 11:23 AM–12:23 PM CSTSample 12 flightsLate 42%Typical 18%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 8:53 PM CST. The latest, at 9:53 PM CST, reports ceiling 1200 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt gusting to 19 kt.

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Observed 9:53 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n \n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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The 5:13 PM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports mist, ceiling 600 ft, visibility 6 mi, wind 12 kt gusting to 20 kt. Coded weather: “BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 5:13 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 3:53 PM CST. The latest, at 4:43 PM CST, reports ceiling 1000 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 9 kt gusting to 19 kt.

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Observed 4:43 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n \n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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The 3:23 PM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports heavy rain; mist, ceiling 2000 ft, visibility 1.25 mi, wind 8 kt. Coded weather: “+RA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 3:23 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Forecast 38%\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
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Model lowers Kansas City departure delay risk 3–6 PM Tuesday to 38%, near normal

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What changed: 47% → 38%; calm-weather level 30%

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Tailodds’ model gives the 50 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Tuesday an average 38% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

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Probability 38%Horizon 0.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 5:53 AM CST. The latest, at 5:58 AM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 2000 ft, visibility 3 mi, wind 7 kt.

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Observed 5:58 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (3)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Forecast 47%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MCI\n departures\n \n \n
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Model forecasts 47% delay risk for Kansas City departures 3–6 PM Tuesday

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Tailodds’ model gives the 50 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Tuesday an average 47% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

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Probability 47%Horizon 9.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n De-escalation\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation now reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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What changed: very low cloud or visibility → low cloud or visibility

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The 4:53 AM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports rain; mist, ceiling 500 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 14 kt. Coded weather: “RA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 4:53 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (3)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation reports very low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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The 4:10 AM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports ceiling 400 ft, visibility 10 mi or more, wind 12 kt. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 4:10 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (3)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

\n \n

No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 2:22 AM CST. The latest, at 3:02 AM CST, reports light rain, ceiling 7500 ft, visibility 9 mi, wind 7 kt.

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Observed 3:02 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n \n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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The 2:22 AM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports rain; mist, ceiling 4600 ft, visibility 2.5 mi, wind 9 kt. Coded weather: “RA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 2:22 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports thunderstorm at Kansas City

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What changed: thunderstorm with rain → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports a thunderstorm; it was last reported at 12:08 AM CST. The latest, at 12:25 AM CST, reports light rain, ceiling 2200 ft, visibility 9 mi, wind 15 kt gusting to 25 kt.

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Observed 12:25 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (4)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n
\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

\n

What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

\n \n

No official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 12:00 AM CST. The latest, at 12:25 AM CST, reports light rain, ceiling 2200 ft, visibility 9 mi, wind 15 kt gusting to 25 kt.

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Observed 12:25 AM CST

\n \n \n
\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n De-escalation\n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation now reports thunderstorm with rain at Kansas City

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What changed: heavy thunderstorm with rain → thunderstorm with rain

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The 12:08 AM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports thunderstorm with rain, ceiling 2200 ft, visibility 7 mi, wind 19 kt gusting to 27 kt. Coded weather: “TSRA”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 12:25 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (4)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 10 days ago\n
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\n \n
\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n \n Weather\n MCI\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Kansas City

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The 11:53 PM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Kansas City (MCI) reports heavy thunderstorm with rain; mist, ceiling 4600 ft, visibility 1.75 mi, wind 19 kt gusting to 30 kt. Coded weather: “+TSRA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 11:53 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n \n View MCI\n \n \n
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\n"],"filters":"airport=MCI&mode=all"}