{"items":[{"id":9199,"event_id":4051,"slug":"4051-ground-stop","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"ground_stop","type_label":"Ground stop","headline":"FAA advisory: “NATIONAL GROUND STOP”","body":"The FAA issued this advisory: “EVENT TIME: 13/2053 - 14/0400 DUE TO EXTRAORDINARY CIRCUMSTANCES AND FOR REASONS OF SAFETY. ATTENTION ALL AIRCRAFT OPERATORS, BY ORDER OF THE FEDERAL AVIATION COMMAND CENTER ALL AIRPORTS ARE GROUND STOPPED. ALL DEPARTING TRAFFIC SHOULD REMAIN GROUND STOPPED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. INBOUND INTERNATIONAL FLIGHTS WILL BE MANAGED ON A CASE BY CASE BASIS.” This is an advisory bulletin; its text defines the affected flights and time period.","what_changed":null,"airports":[],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:59:51.502483Z","time":"3:59 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"21 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:59 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:59 UTC"},"source_event":null,"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:57:28.498000Z","time":"3:57 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"24 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:57 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_advisories faa-advisories-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMDo1OTo1MS41MDI0ODMrMDA6MDB8OTE5OQ","lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9199,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA ATCSCC advisory","url":"https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11132026&advn=111","role":"primary","source":"faa_advisory"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9196,"event_id":4048,"slug":"4048-restriction","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"traffic_restriction","type_label":"Traffic restriction","headline":"FAA advisory: “ALL AIRPORTS DIVERSION RECOVERY ACTIVATED”","body":"The FAA issued this advisory: “EVENT TIME: 13/2030 - 14/0500 THE ATCSCC HAS ACTIVATED THE DIVERSION RECOVERY TOOL FOR ALL AIRPORTS. CUSTOMERS SHOULD ENSURE THAT DVRSN IS INCLUDED IN FLIGHT PLAN REMARKS OF DIVERTED AIRCRAFT. NOTE THAT IF THERE IS A GROUND DELAY PROGRAM OR GROUND STOP IN EFFECT FOR THE DESTINATION AIRPORT DIVERTED FLIGHTS ARE NOT AUTOMATICALLY EXEMPT AND WILL STILL RECEIVE AN EDCT. UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTIFIED, DIVERSION RECOVERY WILL CLOSE AT THE END OF THE EVENT TIME SPECIFIED IN THIS ADVISORY.” This is an advisory bulletin; its text defines the affected flights and time period.","what_changed":null,"airports":[],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:56:45.215014Z","time":"3:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"24 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:56 UTC"},"source_event":null,"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:52:58.693000Z","time":"3:52 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"28 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:52 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:52 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_advisories faa-advisories-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMDo1Njo0NS4yMTUwMTQrMDA6MDB8OTE5Ng","lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9196,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA ATCSCC advisory","url":"https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11132026&advn=108","role":"primary","source":"faa_advisory"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9159,"event_id":2759,"slug":"2759-mia-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"FAA no longer lists departure delays at Miami","body":"FAA-reported departure delays at Miami (MIA) no longer appear in the FAA’s airport status as of 3:52 PM EST, in 4 consecutive successful checks. It was first listed at 8:17 PM EST.","what_changed":"departure delays no longer listed","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:56:15.872123Z","time":"3:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"25 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:52:53.519000Z","time":"3:52 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"28 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:52 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:52 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T20:56:15.585760Z","time":"3:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"25 min ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 3:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 20:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"faa_nas faa_nas-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMDo1NjoxNS44NzIxMjMrMDA6MDB8OTE1OQ","lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":9159,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"FAA NAS Status (airport events)","url":"https://nasstatus.faa.gov/","role":"primary","source":"faa_nas"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9097,"event_id":3955,"slug":"3955-mia-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 32 departures that took off between 1:28 PM and 2:28 PM EST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 67% → 50%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:09.432525Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:00Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:08.898138Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxOToyODowOS40MzI1MjUrMDA6MDB8OTA5Nw","measurement":{"window":"1:28 PM–2:28 PM EST","n":32,"late_n":16,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"28%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":26.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":9097,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9065,"event_id":3955,"slug":"3955-mia-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour","body":"Of 27 departures that took off between 12:39 PM and 1:39 PM EST, 18 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 52% → 67%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T18:39:10.255255Z","time":"1:39 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:39 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 18:39 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T18:39:00Z","time":"1:39 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:39 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 18:39 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T18:39:09.885593Z","time":"1:39 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"2 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:39 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 18:39 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxODozOToxMC4yNTUyNTUrMDA6MDB8OTA2NQ","measurement":{"window":"12:39 PM–1:39 PM EST","n":27,"late_n":18,"share_pct":"67%","baseline_pct":"28%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":26.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":9097,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9097,"kind":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Significant","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:09.432525Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"}}},{"id":9031,"event_id":3955,"slug":"3955-mia-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 52% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 31 departures that took off between 11:48 AM and 12:48 PM EST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 80% → 52%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T17:48:01.592588Z","time":"12:48 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:48 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 17:48 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T17:48:00Z","time":"12:48 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:48 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 17:48 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T17:48:01.081913Z","time":"12:48 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"3 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:48 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 17:48 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNzo0ODowMS41OTI1ODgrMDA6MDB8OTAzMQ","measurement":{"window":"11:48 AM–12:48 PM EST","n":31,"late_n":16,"share_pct":"52%","baseline_pct":"24%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":15.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":9097,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9097,"kind":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Significant","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:09.432525Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"}}},{"id":9019,"event_id":3955,"slug":"3955-mia-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays worsen: 80% late in the last hour","body":"Of 20 departures that took off between 11:04 AM and 12:04 PM EST, 16 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 58% → 80%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T17:05:00.151522Z","time":"12:05 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:05 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 17:05 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T17:04:00Z","time":"12:04 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:04 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 17:04 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T17:04:59.632342Z","time":"12:04 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:04 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 17:04 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNzowNTowMC4xNTE1MjIrMDA6MDB8OTAxOQ","measurement":{"window":"11:04 AM–12:04 PM EST","n":20,"late_n":16,"share_pct":"80%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":32.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":9097,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9097,"kind":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Significant","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:09.432525Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"}}},{"id":9007,"event_id":3960,"slug":"3960-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Miami departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 71 departures scheduled from Miami 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:50.293819Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:47.532580Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNjo1Njo1MC4yOTM4MTkrMDA6MDB8OTAwNw","forecast":{"p_pct":"50%","expected_cancellations":1.0,"target":"MIA departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":9.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":71,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9007,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9006,"event_id":3959,"slug":"3959-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 55% delay risk for Miami departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 110 departures scheduled from Miami 6–9 PM Friday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:50.288213Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:47.532580Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNjo1Njo1MC4yODgyMTMrMDA6MDB8OTAwNg","forecast":{"p_pct":"55%","expected_cancellations":1.9,"target":"MIA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":6.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":110,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"new","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9006,"status_label":"New","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9005,"event_id":3958,"slug":"3958-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 51% delay risk for Miami departures 3–6 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 92 departures scheduled from Miami 3–6 PM Friday an average 51% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 31%. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:50.281231Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:47.532580Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNjo1Njo1MC4yODEyMzErMDA6MDB8OTAwNQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"51%","expected_cancellations":1.6,"target":"MIA departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":3.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":92,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9005,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9004,"event_id":3957,"slug":"3957-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 46% delay risk for Miami departures noon–3 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 94 departures scheduled from Miami noon–3 PM Friday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:50.264991Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:56:47.532580Z","time":"11:56 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:56 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNjo1Njo1MC4yNjQ5OTErMDA6MDB8OTAwNA","forecast":{"p_pct":"46%","expected_cancellations":1.7,"target":"MIA departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-13 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":0.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":94,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:00:00Z","time":"11:00 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:00 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9004,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8994,"event_id":3955,"slug":"3955-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departures running late: 58% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 26 departures that took off between 10:44 AM and 11:44 AM EST, 15 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:44:34.142340Z","time":"11:44 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:44 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:44 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:44:00Z","time":"11:44 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:44 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:44 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T16:44:33.778098Z","time":"11:44 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 11:44 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 16:44 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxNjo0NDozNC4xNDIzNDArMDA6MDB8ODk5NA","measurement":{"window":"10:44 AM–11:44 AM EST","n":26,"late_n":15,"share_pct":"58%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":20.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":9097,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":9097,"kind":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Significant","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T19:28:09.432525Z","time":"2:28 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 2:28 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 19:28 UTC"}}},{"id":8872,"event_id":3797,"slug":"3797-mia-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour","body":"Of 17 arrivals that landed between 6:52 AM and 7:52 AM EST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 86% at worst → 18% now","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T12:52:08.428553Z","time":"7:52 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:52 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 12:52 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T12:52:00Z","time":"7:52 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:52 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 12:52 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T12:52:08.167657Z","time":"7:52 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:52 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 12:52 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QxMjo1MjowOC40Mjg1NTMrMDA6MDB8ODg3Mg","measurement":{"window":"6:52 AM–7:52 AM EST","n":17,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"18%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-12.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8872,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8748,"event_id":3797,"slug":"3797-mia-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami arrival delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 12:21 AM and 1:21 AM EST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 81% → 58%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:21:32.395245Z","time":"1:21 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:21 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:21 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:21:00Z","time":"1:21 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:21 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:21 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T06:21:32.038193Z","time":"1:21 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"15 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 1:21 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 06:21 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNjoyMTozMi4zOTUyNDUrMDA6MDB8ODc0OA","measurement":{"window":"12:21 AM–1:21 AM EST","n":12,"late_n":7,"share_pct":"58%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":85.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8872,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8872,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Miami arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T12:52:08.428553Z","time":"7:52 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:52 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 12:52 UTC"}}},{"id":8716,"event_id":3846,"slug":"3846-mia-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 departures that took off between 11:06 PM and 12:06 AM EST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 62% → 72%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.728979Z","time":"12:06 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:06 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:00Z","time":"12:06 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:06 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.289194Z","time":"12:06 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:06 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNTowNjowOS43Mjg5NzkrMDA6MDB8ODcxNg","measurement":{"window":"11:06 PM–12:06 AM EST","n":18,"late_n":13,"share_pct":"72%","baseline_pct":"28%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":50.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8716,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8699,"event_id":3846,"slug":"3846-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departures running late: 62% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 32 departures that took off between 10:37 PM and 11:37 PM EST, 20 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:37:34.540960Z","time":"11:37 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:37 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:37 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:37:00Z","time":"11:37 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:37 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:37 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:37:34.300712Z","time":"11:37 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:37 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:37 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDozNzozNC41NDA5NjArMDA6MDB8ODY5OQ","measurement":{"window":"10:37 PM–11:37 PM EST","n":32,"late_n":20,"share_pct":"62%","baseline_pct":"28%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":42.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8716,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8716,"kind":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Major","headline":"Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.728979Z","time":"12:06 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"16 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 12:06 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"}}},{"id":8679,"event_id":3797,"slug":"3797-mia-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami arrival delays worsen: 81% late in the last hour","body":"Of 16 arrivals that landed between 10:00 PM and 11:00 PM EST, 13 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 52% → 81%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:50.145074Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"17 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:00Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"17 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:00:49.768029Z","time":"11:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"17 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDowMDo1MC4xNDUwNzQrMDA6MDB8ODY3OQ","measurement":{"window":"10:00 PM–11:00 PM EST","n":16,"late_n":13,"share_pct":"81%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":36.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8872,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8872,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Miami arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T12:52:08.428553Z","time":"7:52 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:52 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 12:52 UTC"}}},{"id":8585,"event_id":3797,"slug":"3797-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami arrivals running late: 52% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 29 arrivals that landed between 7:58 PM and 8:58 PM EST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:58:26.485346Z","time":"8:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:58:00Z","time":"8:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:58 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:58:25.972319Z","time":"8:58 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"19 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:58 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMTo1ODoyNi40ODUzNDYrMDA6MDB8ODU4NQ","measurement":{"window":"7:58 PM–8:58 PM EST","n":29,"late_n":15,"share_pct":"52%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":21.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":8872,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8872,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Miami arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T12:52:08.428553Z","time":"7:52 AM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 7:52 AM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 12:52 UTC"}}},{"id":8528,"event_id":3640,"slug":"3640-mia-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departures back near normal: 24% late in the last hour","body":"Of 33 departures that took off between 6:20 PM and 7:20 PM EST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 89% at worst → 24% now","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:20:07.845806Z","time":"7:20 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"21 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:20 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:20 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:20:00Z","time":"7:20 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"21 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:20 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:20 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:20:07.447843Z","time":"7:20 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"21 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:20 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:20 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMDoyMDowNy44NDU4MDYrMDA6MDB8ODUyOA","measurement":{"window":"6:20 PM–7:20 PM EST","n":33,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"24%","baseline_pct":"34%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":0.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":7,"latest_update_id":8528,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8420,"event_id":3653,"slug":"3653-mia-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Miami departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 35%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 67 departures scheduled from Miami 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 35% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 3:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"44% → 35%; calm-weather level 27%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:56:47.979621Z","time":"3:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"24 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 3:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:00:00Z","time":"3:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"25 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 3:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:56:46.376340Z","time":"3:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"24 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 3:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQyMDo1Njo0Ny45Nzk2MjErMDA6MDB8ODQyMA","forecast":{"p_pct":"35%","expected_cancellations":0.3,"target":"MIA departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":5.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":67,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:00:00Z","time":"3:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"25 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 3:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8420,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8383,"event_id":3640,"slug":"3640-mia-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays ease: 57% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 30 departures that took off between 1:40 PM and 2:40 PM EST, 17 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 72% → 57%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:40:47.830334Z","time":"2:40 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"25 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:40 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:40 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:40:00Z","time":"2:40 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"25 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:40 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:40 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T19:40:47.295603Z","time":"2:40 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"25 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 2:40 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 19:40 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxOTo0MDo0Ny44MzAzMzQrMDA6MDB8ODM4Mw","measurement":{"window":"1:40 PM–2:40 PM EST","n":30,"late_n":17,"share_pct":"57%","baseline_pct":"28%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":20.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":7,"latest_update_id":8528,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8528,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Miami departures back near normal: 24% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:20:07.845806Z","time":"7:20 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"21 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:20 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:20 UTC"}}},{"id":8345,"event_id":3640,"slug":"3640-mia-delays","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour","body":"Of 25 departures that took off between 12:08 PM and 1:08 PM EST, 18 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 56% → 72%","airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:08:35.273432Z","time":"1:08 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:08 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:08 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:08:00Z","time":"1:08 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:08 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:08 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T18:08:34.821636Z","time":"1:08 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 1:08 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 18:08 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxODowODozNS4yNzM0MzIrMDA6MDB8ODM0NQ","measurement":{"window":"12:08 PM–1:08 PM EST","n":25,"late_n":18,"share_pct":"72%","baseline_pct":"24%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":24.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":7,"latest_update_id":8528,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8528,"kind":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Miami departures back near normal: 24% late in the last hour","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T00:20:07.845806Z","time":"7:20 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"21 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:20 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 00:20 UTC"}}},{"id":8332,"event_id":3653,"slug":"3653-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Miami departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 67 departures scheduled from Miami 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:56:12.607226Z","time":"12:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"28 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:56:11.284165Z","time":"12:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNzo1NjoxMi42MDcyMjYrMDA6MDB8ODMzMg","forecast":{"p_pct":"44%","expected_cancellations":0.4,"target":"MIA departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":8.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":67,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"28 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8420,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[],"newer":{"id":8420,"kind":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","severity_label":"Informational","headline":"Model lowers Miami departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 35%, near normal","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T20:56:47.979621Z","time":"3:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"24 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 3:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 20:56 UTC"}}},{"id":8331,"event_id":3652,"slug":"3652-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 47% delay risk for Miami departures 6–9 PM Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 111 departures scheduled from Miami 6–9 PM Thursday an average 47% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 32%. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:56:12.574497Z","time":"12:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"28 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:56:11.284165Z","time":"12:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNzo1NjoxMi41NzQ0OTcrMDA6MDB8ODMzMQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"47%","expected_cancellations":0.6,"target":"MIA departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":5.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":111,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"28 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8331,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8330,"event_id":3651,"slug":"3651-mia-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Miami departures 3–6 PM Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 89 departures scheduled from Miami 3–6 PM Thursday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MIA"],"metros":["SFL"],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:56:12.551599Z","time":"12:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"28 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:56:11.284165Z","time":"12:56 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"27 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:56 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNzo1NjoxMi41NTE1OTkrMDA6MDB8ODMzMA","forecast":{"p_pct":"45%","expected_cancellations":0.5,"target":"MIA departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":2.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":89,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-12T17:00:00Z","time":"12:00 PM","zone":"EST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"28 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 12:00 PM EST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 17:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8330,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQxNzo1NjoxMi41NTE1OTkrMDA6MDB8ODMzMA","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QyMDo1OTo1MS41MDI0ODMrMDA6MDB8OTE5OQ","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n CConfirmed\n Major\n \n A+D\n GND STOP\n NEW\n \n

FAA advisory: “NATIONAL GROUND STOP”

\n \n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n CConfirmed\n Significant\n \n A+D\n RESTRICT\n NEW\n \n

FAA advisory: “ALL AIRPORTS DIVERSION RECOVERY ACTIVATED”

\n \n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n CConfirmed\n Informational\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

FAA no longer lists departure delays at Miami

\n departure delays no longer listed\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n DEVELOPING\n \n

Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n ▼ late share 67% → 50%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Major\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n DEVELOPING\n \n

Miami departure delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour

\n ▲ late share 52% → 67%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n DEVELOPING\n \n

Miami departure delays ease: 52% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n ▼ late share 80% → 52%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Major\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n DEVELOPING\n \n

Miami departure delays worsen: 80% late in the last hour

\n ▲ late share 58% → 80%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n NEW\n \n

Model forecasts 50% delay risk for Miami departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

\n 50% risk\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n NEW\n \n

Model forecasts 55% delay risk for Miami departures 6–9 PM Friday

\n 55% risk\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Model forecasts 51% delay risk for Miami departures 3–6 PM Friday

\n 51% risk\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Model forecasts 46% delay risk for Miami departures noon–3 PM Friday

\n 46% risk\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n DEVELOPING\n \n

Miami departures running late: 58% left 15+ min late in the last hour

\n 58% late\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Informational\n MIA\n ARR\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami arrivals back near normal: 18% late in the last hour

\n late share 86% at worst → 18% now\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n ARR\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami arrival delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n ▼ late share 81% → 58%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Major\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour

\n ▲ late share 62% → 72%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami departures running late: 62% left 15+ min late in the last hour

\n 62% late\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Major\n MIA\n ARR\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami arrival delays worsen: 81% late in the last hour

\n ▲ late share 52% → 81%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n ARR\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami arrivals running late: 52% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n 52% late\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Informational\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami departures back near normal: 24% late in the last hour

\n late share 89% at worst → 24% now\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Informational\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Model lowers Miami departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 35%, near normal

\n 44% → 35%; calm-weather level 27%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami departure delays ease: 57% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n ▼ late share 72% → 57%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n OObserved\n Major\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour

\n ▲ late share 56% → 72%\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Miami departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday

\n 44% risk\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Model forecasts 47% delay risk for Miami departures 6–9 PM Thursday

\n 47% risk\n
\n \n
","\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\n \n \n \n FForecast\n Significant\n MIA\n DEP\n DELAY\n RESOLVED\n \n

Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Miami departures 3–6 PM Thursday

\n 45% risk\n
\n \n
"],"filters":"airport=MIA&mode=all&view=terminal"}