{"items":[{"id":8718,"event_id":3824,"slug":"3824-msp-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 16 departures that took off between 10:06 PM and 11:06 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 75% → 50%","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.818922Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:00Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.289194Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNTowNjowOS44MTg5MjIrMDA6MDB8ODcxOA","measurement":{"window":"10:06 PM–11:06 PM CST","n":16,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":24.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8718,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8698,"event_id":3828,"slug":"3828-msp-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:35 PM and 10:35 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 69% → 50%","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:35:32.721959Z","time":"10:35 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:35:00Z","time":"10:35 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:35:32.281002Z","time":"10:35 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDozNTozMi43MjE5NTkrMDA6MDB8ODY5OA","measurement":{"window":"9:35 PM–10:35 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":23.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8698,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8632,"event_id":3817,"slug":"3817-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 26 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:57:39.383398Z","time":"8:57 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:57 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:57:38.448228Z","time":"8:57 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:57 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMjo1NzozOS4zODMzOTgrMDA6MDB8ODYzMg","forecast":{"p_pct":"45%","expected_cancellations":0.2,"target":"MSP departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":26,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8632,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8547,"event_id":3768,"slug":"3768-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 8% late in the last hour","body":"Of 36 arrivals that landed between 6:17 PM and 7:17 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 42% at worst → 8% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:17:24.204904Z","time":"7:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:17:00Z","time":"7:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:17:23.518643Z","time":"7:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMToxNzoyNC4yMDQ5MDQrMDA6MDB8ODU0Nw","measurement":{"window":"6:17 PM–7:17 PM CST","n":36,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"8%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-8.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8547,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8196,"event_id":3584,"slug":"3584-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour","body":"Of 29 departures that took off between 5:45 PM and 6:45 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 62% at worst → 21% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T00:45:58.212864Z","time":"6:45 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"32 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T00:45:00Z","time":"6:45 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"32 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T00:45:57.566846Z","time":"6:45 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"32 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQwMDo0NTo1OC4yMTI4NjQrMDA6MDB8ODE5Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:45 PM–6:45 PM CST","n":29,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"21%","baseline_pct":"26%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-3.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8196,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8170,"event_id":3571,"slug":"3571-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 28% late in the last hour","body":"Of 47 departures that took off between 2:43 PM and 3:43 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 58% at worst → 28% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-11T21:43:42.614277Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"35 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-11T21:43:00Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"35 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-11T21:43:41.756552Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"35 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQyMTo0Mzo0Mi42MTQyNzcrMDA6MDB8ODE3MA","measurement":{"window":"2:43 PM–3:43 PM CST","n":47,"late_n":13,"share_pct":"28%","baseline_pct":"24%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8170,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7803,"event_id":3410,"slug":"3410-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals running late: 53% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 17 arrivals that landed between 9:00 PM and 10:00 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T04:00:59.323645Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T04:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T04:00:58.351272Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwNDowMDo1OS4zMjM2NDUrMDA6MDB8NzgwMw","measurement":{"window":"9:00 PM–10:00 PM CST","n":17,"late_n":9,"share_pct":"53%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":15.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7803,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7748,"event_id":3368,"slug":"3368-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 38 departures that took off between 5:52 PM and 6:52 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 5% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:52:39.518082Z","time":"6:52 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:52:00Z","time":"6:52 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:52:38.348041Z","time":"6:52 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwMDo1MjozOS41MTgwODIrMDA6MDB8Nzc0OA","measurement":{"window":"5:52 PM–6:52 PM CST","n":38,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"26%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-7.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7748,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7707,"event_id":3351,"slug":"3351-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour","body":"Of 35 departures that took off between 2:25 PM and 3:25 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 9% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-08T21:25:05.694857Z","time":"3:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-08T21:25:00Z","time":"3:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-08T21:25:04.702806Z","time":"3:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOFQyMToyNTowNS42OTQ4NTcrMDA6MDB8NzcwNw","measurement":{"window":"2:25 PM–3:25 PM CST","n":35,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"9%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7707,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7571,"event_id":3276,"slug":"3276-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 7% late in the last hour","body":"Of 28 departures that took off between 8:31 AM and 9:31 AM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 58% at worst → 7% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T15:31:45.050835Z","time":"9:31 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T15:31:00Z","time":"9:31 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T15:31:44.610090Z","time":"9:31 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNTozMTo0NS4wNTA4MzUrMDA6MDB8NzU3MQ","measurement":{"window":"8:31 AM–9:31 AM CST","n":28,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"7%","baseline_pct":"13%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-3.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7571,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7417,"event_id":3229,"slug":"3229-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 14 arrivals that landed between 8:44 PM and 9:44 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:44:27.330418Z","time":"9:44 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:44:00Z","time":"9:44 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:44:26.720604Z","time":"9:44 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMzo0NDoyNy4zMzA0MTgrMDA6MDB8NzQxNw","measurement":{"window":"8:44 PM–9:44 PM CST","n":14,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"57%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":36.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7417,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7330,"event_id":3185,"slug":"3185-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","body":"Of 39 departures that took off between 5:58 PM and 6:58 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 10% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T00:58:51.661077Z","time":"6:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T00:58:00Z","time":"6:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T00:58:50.783072Z","time":"6:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMDo1ODo1MS42NjEwNzcrMDA6MDB8NzMzMA","measurement":{"window":"5:58 PM–6:58 PM CST","n":39,"late_n":4,"share_pct":"10%","baseline_pct":"26%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7330,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7272,"event_id":3161,"slug":"3161-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour","body":"Of 23 arrivals that landed between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 22% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T23:00:07.055311Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T23:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T23:00:06.569476Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMzowMDowNy4wNTUzMTErMDA6MDB8NzI3Mg","measurement":{"window":"4:00 PM–5:00 PM CST","n":23,"late_n":5,"share_pct":"22%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7272,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7259,"event_id":3188,"slug":"3188-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 102 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 6–9 PM Friday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:56:00.803417Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:56 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:55:59.164561Z","time":"4:55 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:55 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMjo1NjowMC44MDM0MTcrMDA6MDB8NzI1OQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"43%","expected_cancellations":0.6,"target":"MSP departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-06 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":1.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":102,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7259,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7048,"event_id":3067,"slug":"3067-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 4% late in the last hour","body":"Of 24 arrivals that landed between 10:53 AM and 11:53 AM CST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 56% at worst → 4% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:53:25.326285Z","time":"11:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:53:00Z","time":"11:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:53:24.740282Z","time":"11:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNzo1MzoyNS4zMjYyODUrMDA6MDB8NzA0OA","measurement":{"window":"10:53 AM–11:53 AM CST","n":24,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"4%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-9.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7048,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7039,"event_id":3066,"slug":"3066-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour","body":"Of 42 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 27% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 46% at worst → 17% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:16:31.464039Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:16:00Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:16:31.059909Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNzoxNjozMS40NjQwMzkrMDA6MDB8NzAzOQ","measurement":{"window":"10:16 AM–11:16 AM CST","n":42,"late_n":7,"share_pct":"17%","baseline_pct":"17%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7039,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6960,"event_id":3022,"slug":"3022-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour","body":"Of 30 departures that took off between 8:50 AM and 9:50 AM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 57% at worst → 17% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:50:42.166080Z","time":"9:50 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:50:00Z","time":"9:50 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:50:41.793476Z","time":"9:50 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNTo1MDo0Mi4xNjYwODArMDA6MDB8Njk2MA","measurement":{"window":"8:50 AM–9:50 AM CST","n":30,"late_n":5,"share_pct":"17%","baseline_pct":"13%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6960,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6791,"event_id":2980,"slug":"2980-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T04:50:23.787388Z","time":"10:50 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T04:50:00Z","time":"10:50 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T04:50:22.769968Z","time":"10:50 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQwNDo1MDoyMy43ODczODgrMDA6MDB8Njc5MQ","measurement":{"window":"9:50 PM–10:50 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":24.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":6791,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6682,"event_id":2910,"slug":"2910-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 20% late in the last hour","body":"Of 15 arrivals that landed between 3:27 PM and 4:27 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 53% at worst → 20% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-05T22:27:12.826790Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-05T22:27:00Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-05T22:27:12.418533Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQyMjoyNzoxMi44MjY3OTArMDA6MDB8NjY4Mg","measurement":{"window":"3:27 PM–4:27 PM CST","n":15,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"20%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6682,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6260,"event_id":2745,"slug":"2745-msp-weather","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"weather","type_label":"Weather","headline":"Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis","body":"The 5:00 PM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) reports light rain; mist, ceiling 800 ft, visibility 3 mi, wind 11 kt. Coded weather: “-RA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T23:10:08.889957Z","time":"5:10 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:10 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 23:10 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T23:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 23:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T23:09:52.633002Z","time":"5:09 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 5:09 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 23:09 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMzoxMDowOC44ODk5NTcrMDA6MDB8NjI2MA","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","5:00 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","SPECI KMSP 032300Z 34011KT 3SM -RA BR BKN008 OVC011 13/12 A2963 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3 P0000 T01330122"],["Station","KMSP at Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":6260,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMSP&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6254,"event_id":2714,"slug":"2714-msp-weather","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"weather","type_label":"Weather","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis","body":"No official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 3:53 PM CST. The latest, at 4:53 PM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 1100 ft, visibility 3 mi, wind 11 kt gusting to 18 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:59:18.549727Z","time":"4:59 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:59 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:59 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:53:00Z","time":"4:53 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:53 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T22:58:24.537071Z","time":"4:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 4:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 22:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QyMjo1OToxOC41NDk3MjcrMDA6MDB8NjI1NA","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","4:53 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","METAR KMSP 032253Z 35011G18KT 3SM -RA BR SCT006 BKN011 OVC018 13/12 A2963 RMK AO2 SLP033 P0009 T01330122"],["Station","KMSP at Tue Nov 3, 4:53 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6254,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMSP&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6160,"event_id":2666,"slug":"2666-msp-weather","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"weather","type_label":"Weather","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis","body":"No official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 11:53 AM CST. The latest, at 12:53 PM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 1000 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 9 kt gusting to 21 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T18:58:48.291260Z","time":"12:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 18:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T18:53:00Z","time":"12:53 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:53 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 18:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T18:58:36.476385Z","time":"12:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 12:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 18:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxODo1ODo0OC4yOTEyNjArMDA6MDB8NjE2MA","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","12:53 PM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","METAR KMSP 031853Z 01009G21KT 5SM -RA BR OVC010 14/13 A2966 RMK AO2 RAB06 SLP043 P0001 T01390128"],["Station","KMSP at Tue Nov 3, 12:53 PM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6160,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMSP&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6055,"event_id":2626,"slug":"2626-msp-weather","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"confirmed","evidence_label":"Confirmed","evidence_help":"An official source reports it. We attribute it; we do not independently verify it.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"weather","type_label":"Weather","headline":"Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis","body":"No official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 7:10 AM CST. The latest, at 7:53 AM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 2500 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 4 kt.","what_changed":"low cloud or visibility → no longer reported","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"both","direction_label":"arrivals and departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:00:55.716092Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 8:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T13:53:00Z","time":"7:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 7:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 13:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T14:00:52.690649Z","time":"8:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 3","ago":"9 days ago","full":"Tue Nov 3, 8:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 14:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"weather weather-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QxNDowMDo1NS43MTYwOTIrMDA6MDB8NjA1NQ","measure":{"chips":[["Observed","7:53 AM CST"]],"rows":[["Latest observation","METAR KMSP 031353Z 29004KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 BKN025 OVC046 14/13 A2970 RMK AO2 RAB26 SLP056 P0001 T01390133"],["Station","KMSP at Tue Nov 3, 7:53 AM CST"],["Basis","Official observation (METAR)"]]},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6055,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center","url":"https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KMSP&format=raw&hours=3","role":"primary","source":"noaa_metar"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5887,"event_id":2596,"slug":"2596-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures running late: 44% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 departures that took off between 9:21 PM and 10:21 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:21:34.134433Z","time":"10:21 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:21:00Z","time":"10:21 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:21:32.043349Z","time":"10:21 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNDoyMTozNC4xMzQ0MzMrMDA6MDB8NTg4Nw","measurement":{"window":"9:21 PM–10:21 PM CST","n":18,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"44%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":14.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":5887,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5845,"event_id":2557,"slug":"2557-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour","body":"Of 32 departures that took off between 8:05 PM and 9:05 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 74% at worst → 9% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T03:05:21.740129Z","time":"9:05 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T03:05:00Z","time":"9:05 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T03:05:20.826278Z","time":"9:05 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwMzowNToyMS43NDAxMjkrMDA6MDB8NTg0NQ","measurement":{"window":"8:05 PM–9:05 PM CST","n":32,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"9%","baseline_pct":"20%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":5845,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwMzowNToyMS43NDAxMjkrMDA6MDB8NTg0NQ","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNTowNjowOS44MTg5MjIrMDA6MDB8ODcxOA","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 4 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Developing\n \n De-escalation\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n

What changed: late share 75% → 50%

\n \n

Of 16 departures that took off between 10:06 PM and 11:06 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 10:06 PM–11:06 PM CSTSample 16 flightsLate 50%Typical 23%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 4 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Developing\n \n De-escalation\n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

\n

What changed: late share 69% → 50%

\n \n

Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:35 PM and 10:35 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 9:35 PM–10:35 PM CSTSample 12 flightsLate 50%Typical 18%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 6 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Forecast 45%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday

\n \n \n

Tailodds’ model gives the 26 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

\n \n

Probability 45%Horizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 12\n 8 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 8% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 42% at worst → 8% now

\n \n

Of 36 arrivals that landed between 6:17 PM and 7:17 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 6:17 PM–7:17 PM CSTSample 36 flightsLate 8%Typical 18%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 11\n 32 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 62% at worst → 21% now

\n \n

Of 29 departures that took off between 5:45 PM and 6:45 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:45 PM–6:45 PM CSTSample 29 flightsLate 21%Typical 26%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 11\n 35 h ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis departures back near normal: 28% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 58% at worst → 28% now

\n \n

Of 47 departures that took off between 2:43 PM and 3:43 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 2:43 PM–3:43 PM CSTSample 47 flightsLate 28%Typical 24%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 8\n 4 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis arrivals running late: 53% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

\n \n \n

Of 17 arrivals that landed between 9:00 PM and 10:00 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

\n \n

Window 9:00 PM–10:00 PM CSTSample 17 flightsLate 53%Typical 18%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 8\n 4 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 67% at worst → 5% now

\n \n

Of 38 departures that took off between 5:52 PM and 6:52 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 5:52 PM–6:52 PM CSTSample 38 flightsLate 5%Typical 26%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 8\n 4 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 67% at worst → 9% now

\n \n

Of 35 departures that took off between 2:25 PM and 3:25 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

\n \n

Window 2:25 PM–3:25 PM CSTSample 35 flightsLate 9%Typical 23%

\n \n \n
\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View MSP\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n","\n\n\n
\n
\n \n CST, Nov 7\n 5 days ago\n
\n
\n \n
\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
\n

Minneapolis departures back near normal: 7% late in the last hour

\n

What changed: late share 58% at worst → 7% now

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Of 28 departures that took off between 8:31 AM and 9:31 AM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 8:31 AM–9:31 AM CSTSample 28 flightsLate 7%Typical 13%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
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Minneapolis arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

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Of 14 arrivals that landed between 8:44 PM and 9:44 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

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Window 8:44 PM–9:44 PM CSTSample 14 flightsLate 57%Typical 18%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
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Minneapolis departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 67% at worst → 10% now

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Of 39 departures that took off between 5:58 PM and 6:58 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 5:58 PM–6:58 PM CSTSample 39 flightsLate 10%Typical 26%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
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Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 67% at worst → 22% now

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Of 23 arrivals that landed between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 4:00 PM–5:00 PM CSTSample 23 flightsLate 22%Typical 18%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Forecast 43%\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
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Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 6–9 PM Friday

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Tailodds’ model gives the 102 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 6–9 PM Friday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

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Probability 43%Horizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

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\n Source: Tailodds forecast\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
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Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 4% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 56% at worst → 4% now

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Of 24 arrivals that landed between 10:53 AM and 11:53 AM CST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 10:53 AM–11:53 AM CSTSample 24 flightsLate 4%Typical 18%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
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Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 46% at worst → 17% now

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Of 42 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 27% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 10:16 AM–11:16 AM CSTSample 42 flightsLate 17%Typical 17%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 6\n 6 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
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Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 57% at worst → 17% now

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Of 30 departures that took off between 8:50 AM and 9:50 AM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 8:50 AM–9:50 AM CSTSample 30 flightsLate 17%Typical 13%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 5\n 7 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
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Minneapolis arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

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Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

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Window 9:50 PM–10:50 PM CSTSample 12 flightsLate 50%Typical 18%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 5\n 7 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n arrivals\n \n \n
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Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 20% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 53% at worst → 20% now

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Of 15 arrivals that landed between 3:27 PM and 4:27 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 3:27 PM–4:27 PM CSTSample 15 flightsLate 20%Typical 18%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n \n Weather\n MSP\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis

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The 5:00 PM CST official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) reports light rain; mist, ceiling 800 ft, visibility 3 mi, wind 11 kt. Coded weather: “-RA BR”. Source: NOAA Aviation Weather Center.

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Observed 5:00 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MSP\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 3:53 PM CST. The latest, at 4:53 PM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 1100 ft, visibility 3 mi, wind 11 kt gusting to 18 kt.

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Observed 4:53 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MSP\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 11:53 AM CST. The latest, at 12:53 PM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 1000 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 9 kt gusting to 21 kt.

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Observed 12:53 PM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 3\n 9 days ago\n
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\n Confirmed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Resolution\n Weather\n MSP\n arrivals and departures\n \n \n
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Official observation no longer reports low cloud or visibility at Minneapolis

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What changed: low cloud or visibility → no longer reported

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No official weather observation (METAR) for Minneapolis (MSP) in the last 50 minutes reports low cloud or visibility; it was last reported at 7:10 AM CST. The latest, at 7:53 AM CST, reports light rain; mist, ceiling 2500 ft, visibility 5 mi, wind 4 kt.

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Observed 7:53 AM CST

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\n Source: Official weather observation (METAR), NOAA Aviation Weather Center ↗\n Timeline (2)\n 1 earlier matching update\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n \n CST, Nov 2\n 10 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Significant\n Resolved\n \n \n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
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Minneapolis departures running late: 44% left 15+ min late in the last hour

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Of 18 departures that took off between 9:21 PM and 10:21 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

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Window 9:21 PM–10:21 PM CSTSample 18 flightsLate 44%Typical 22%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (1)\n \n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n","\n\n\n
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\n \n CST, Nov 2\n 10 days ago\n
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\n Observed\n Informational\n Resolved\n \n Recovery\n Delay\n MSP\n departures\n \n \n
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Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour

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What changed: late share 74% at worst → 9% now

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Of 32 departures that took off between 8:05 PM and 9:05 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

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Window 8:05 PM–9:05 PM CSTSample 32 flightsLate 9%Typical 20%

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\n Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules\n Timeline (3)\n 2 earlier matching updates\n View MSP\n \n \n
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\n"],"filters":"airport=MSP"}