{"items":[{"id":8718,"event_id":3824,"slug":"3824-msp-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 16 departures that took off between 10:06 PM and 11:06 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 75% → 50%","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.818922Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:00Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T05:06:09.289194Z","time":"11:06 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNTowNjowOS44MTg5MjIrMDA6MDB8ODcxOA","measurement":{"window":"10:06 PM–11:06 PM CST","n":16,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":24.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8718,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8698,"event_id":3828,"slug":"3828-msp-delays","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:35 PM and 10:35 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":"late share 69% → 50%","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:35:32.721959Z","time":"10:35 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:35:00Z","time":"10:35 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T04:35:32.281002Z","time":"10:35 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDozNTozMi43MjE5NTkrMDA6MDB8ODY5OA","measurement":{"window":"9:35 PM–10:35 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":23.0},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":8698,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8632,"event_id":3817,"slug":"3817-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 26 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:57:39.383398Z","time":"8:57 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:57 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:57 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:57:38.448228Z","time":"8:57 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"6 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:57 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:57 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMjo1NzozOS4zODMzOTgrMDA6MDB8ODYzMg","forecast":{"p_pct":"45%","expected_cancellations":0.2,"target":"MSP departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-12 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":0.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":26,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-13T02:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 02:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":8632,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8547,"event_id":3768,"slug":"3768-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 8% late in the last hour","body":"Of 36 arrivals that landed between 6:17 PM and 7:17 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 42% at worst → 8% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:17:24.204904Z","time":"7:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:17:00Z","time":"7:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-13T01:17:23.518643Z","time":"7:17 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 12","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMToxNzoyNC4yMDQ5MDQrMDA6MDB8ODU0Nw","measurement":{"window":"6:17 PM–7:17 PM CST","n":36,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"8%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-8.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8547,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8196,"event_id":3584,"slug":"3584-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour","body":"Of 29 departures that took off between 5:45 PM and 6:45 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 62% at worst → 21% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-12T00:45:58.212864Z","time":"6:45 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"32 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-12T00:45:00Z","time":"6:45 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"32 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-12T00:45:57.566846Z","time":"6:45 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"32 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQwMDo0NTo1OC4yMTI4NjQrMDA6MDB8ODE5Ng","measurement":{"window":"5:45 PM–6:45 PM CST","n":29,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"21%","baseline_pct":"26%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-3.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8196,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":8170,"event_id":3571,"slug":"3571-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 28% late in the last hour","body":"Of 47 departures that took off between 2:43 PM and 3:43 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 58% at worst → 28% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-11T21:43:42.614277Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"35 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-11T21:43:00Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"35 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-11T21:43:41.756552Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 11","ago":"35 h ago","full":"Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQyMTo0Mzo0Mi42MTQyNzcrMDA6MDB8ODE3MA","measurement":{"window":"2:43 PM–3:43 PM CST","n":47,"late_n":13,"share_pct":"28%","baseline_pct":"24%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":8170,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7803,"event_id":3410,"slug":"3410-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals running late: 53% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 17 arrivals that landed between 9:00 PM and 10:00 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T04:00:59.323645Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T04:00:00Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T04:00:58.351272Z","time":"10:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwNDowMDo1OS4zMjM2NDUrMDA6MDB8NzgwMw","measurement":{"window":"9:00 PM–10:00 PM CST","n":17,"late_n":9,"share_pct":"53%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":15.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7803,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7748,"event_id":3368,"slug":"3368-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour","body":"Of 38 departures that took off between 5:52 PM and 6:52 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 5% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:52:39.518082Z","time":"6:52 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:52:00Z","time":"6:52 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-09T00:52:38.348041Z","time":"6:52 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwMDo1MjozOS41MTgwODIrMDA6MDB8Nzc0OA","measurement":{"window":"5:52 PM–6:52 PM CST","n":38,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"5%","baseline_pct":"26%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-7.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7748,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7707,"event_id":3351,"slug":"3351-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour","body":"Of 35 departures that took off between 2:25 PM and 3:25 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 9% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-08T21:25:05.694857Z","time":"3:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-08T21:25:00Z","time":"3:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-08T21:25:04.702806Z","time":"3:25 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 8","ago":"4 days ago","full":"Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wOFQyMToyNTowNS42OTQ4NTcrMDA6MDB8NzcwNw","measurement":{"window":"2:25 PM–3:25 PM CST","n":35,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"9%","baseline_pct":"23%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7707,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7571,"event_id":3276,"slug":"3276-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 7% late in the last hour","body":"Of 28 departures that took off between 8:31 AM and 9:31 AM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 58% at worst → 7% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T15:31:45.050835Z","time":"9:31 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T15:31:00Z","time":"9:31 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T15:31:44.610090Z","time":"9:31 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 7","ago":"5 days ago","full":"Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNTozMTo0NS4wNTA4MzUrMDA6MDB8NzU3MQ","measurement":{"window":"8:31 AM–9:31 AM CST","n":28,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"7%","baseline_pct":"13%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-3.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7571,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7417,"event_id":3229,"slug":"3229-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 14 arrivals that landed between 8:44 PM and 9:44 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:44:27.330418Z","time":"9:44 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:44:00Z","time":"9:44 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T03:44:26.720604Z","time":"9:44 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMzo0NDoyNy4zMzA0MTgrMDA6MDB8NzQxNw","measurement":{"window":"8:44 PM–9:44 PM CST","n":14,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"57%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":36.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7417,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7330,"event_id":3185,"slug":"3185-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour","body":"Of 39 departures that took off between 5:58 PM and 6:58 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 10% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-07T00:58:51.661077Z","time":"6:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-07T00:58:00Z","time":"6:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-07T00:58:50.783072Z","time":"6:58 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMDo1ODo1MS42NjEwNzcrMDA6MDB8NzMzMA","measurement":{"window":"5:58 PM–6:58 PM CST","n":39,"late_n":4,"share_pct":"10%","baseline_pct":"26%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7330,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7272,"event_id":3161,"slug":"3161-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour","body":"Of 23 arrivals that landed between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 67% at worst → 22% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T23:00:07.055311Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T23:00:00Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T23:00:06.569476Z","time":"5:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMzowMDowNy4wNTUzMTErMDA6MDB8NzI3Mg","measurement":{"window":"4:00 PM–5:00 PM CST","n":23,"late_n":5,"share_pct":"22%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":7272,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7259,"event_id":3188,"slug":"3188-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 6–9 PM Friday","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 102 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 6–9 PM Friday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:56:00.803417Z","time":"4:56 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:56 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:55:59.164561Z","time":"4:55 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:55 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:55 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMjo1NjowMC44MDM0MTcrMDA6MDB8NzI1OQ","forecast":{"p_pct":"43%","expected_cancellations":0.6,"target":"MSP departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-06 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":1.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":102,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","time":"4:00 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 4:00 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 22:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":7259,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7048,"event_id":3067,"slug":"3067-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 4% late in the last hour","body":"Of 24 arrivals that landed between 10:53 AM and 11:53 AM CST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 56% at worst → 4% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:53:25.326285Z","time":"11:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:53:00Z","time":"11:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:53:24.740282Z","time":"11:53 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNzo1MzoyNS4zMjYyODUrMDA6MDB8NzA0OA","measurement":{"window":"10:53 AM–11:53 AM CST","n":24,"late_n":1,"share_pct":"4%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-9.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7048,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":7039,"event_id":3066,"slug":"3066-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour","body":"Of 42 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 27% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 46% at worst → 17% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:16:31.464039Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:16:00Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T17:16:31.059909Z","time":"11:16 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNzoxNjozMS40NjQwMzkrMDA6MDB8NzAzOQ","measurement":{"window":"10:16 AM–11:16 AM CST","n":42,"late_n":7,"share_pct":"17%","baseline_pct":"17%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":4.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":7039,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6960,"event_id":3022,"slug":"3022-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour","body":"Of 30 departures that took off between 8:50 AM and 9:50 AM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 57% at worst → 17% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:50:42.166080Z","time":"9:50 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:50:00Z","time":"9:50 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T15:50:41.793476Z","time":"9:50 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 6","ago":"6 days ago","full":"Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNTo1MDo0Mi4xNjYwODArMDA6MDB8Njk2MA","measurement":{"window":"8:50 AM–9:50 AM CST","n":30,"late_n":5,"share_pct":"17%","baseline_pct":"13%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6960,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6791,"event_id":2980,"slug":"2980-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-06T04:50:23.787388Z","time":"10:50 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-06T04:50:00Z","time":"10:50 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-06T04:50:22.769968Z","time":"10:50 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQwNDo1MDoyMy43ODczODgrMDA6MDB8Njc5MQ","measurement":{"window":"9:50 PM–10:50 PM CST","n":12,"late_n":6,"share_pct":"50%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":24.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":6791,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":6682,"event_id":2910,"slug":"2910-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 20% late in the last hour","body":"Of 15 arrivals that landed between 3:27 PM and 4:27 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 53% at worst → 20% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-05T22:27:12.826790Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-05T22:27:00Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-05T22:27:12.418533Z","time":"4:27 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 5","ago":"7 days ago","full":"Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQyMjoyNzoxMi44MjY3OTArMDA6MDB8NjY4Mg","measurement":{"window":"3:27 PM–4:27 PM CST","n":15,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"20%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-6.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":6682,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5887,"event_id":2596,"slug":"2596-msp-delays","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"significant","severity_label":"Significant","severity_rank":2,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures running late: 44% left 15+ min late in the last hour","body":"Of 18 departures that took off between 9:21 PM and 10:21 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.","what_changed":null,"airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:21:34.134433Z","time":"10:21 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:21:00Z","time":"10:21 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T04:21:32.043349Z","time":"10:21 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNDoyMTozNC4xMzQ0MzMrMDA6MDB8NTg4Nw","measurement":{"window":"9:21 PM–10:21 PM CST","n":18,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"44%","baseline_pct":"22%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":14.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":5887,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5845,"event_id":2557,"slug":"2557-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour","body":"Of 32 departures that took off between 8:05 PM and 9:05 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 74% at worst → 9% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-03T03:05:21.740129Z","time":"9:05 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-03T03:05:00Z","time":"9:05 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-03T03:05:20.826278Z","time":"9:05 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwMzowNToyMS43NDAxMjkrMDA6MDB8NTg0NQ","measurement":{"window":"8:05 PM–9:05 PM CST","n":32,"late_n":3,"share_pct":"9%","baseline_pct":"20%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":3,"latest_update_id":5845,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":3,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5699,"event_id":2488,"slug":"2488-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 15% late in the last hour","body":"Of 26 arrivals that landed between 3:47 PM and 4:47 PM CST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 54% at worst → 15% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"arrivals","direction_label":"arrivals","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:47:10.943978Z","time":"4:47 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:47 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:47 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:47:00Z","time":"4:47 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:47 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:47 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T22:47:09.986448Z","time":"4:47 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 4:47 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 22:47 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQyMjo0NzoxMC45NDM5NzgrMDA6MDB8NTY5OQ","measurement":{"window":"3:47 PM–4:47 PM CST","n":26,"late_n":4,"share_pct":"15%","baseline_pct":"18%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-7.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5699,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5660,"event_id":2475,"slug":"2475-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 22% late in the last hour","body":"Of 36 departures that took off between 2:43 PM and 3:43 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 46% at worst → 22% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T21:43:12.658363Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 21:43 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T21:43:00Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 21:43 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T21:43:11.522207Z","time":"3:43 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 3:43 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 21:43 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQyMTo0MzoxMi42NTgzNjMrMDA6MDB8NTY2MA","measurement":{"window":"2:43 PM–3:43 PM CST","n":36,"late_n":8,"share_pct":"22%","baseline_pct":"24%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":1.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5660,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5598,"event_id":2449,"slug":"2449-msp-delays","kind":"recovery","kind_label":"Recovery","evidence":"observed","evidence_label":"Observed","evidence_help":"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Minneapolis departures back near normal: 8% late in the last hour","body":"Of 24 departures that took off between 12:33 PM and 1:33 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.","what_changed":"late share 46% at worst → 8% now","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T19:33:09.757622Z","time":"1:33 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:33 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 19:33 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T19:33:00Z","time":"1:33 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:33 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 19:33 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T19:33:08.678542Z","time":"1:33 PM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 1:33 PM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 19:33 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"observed_ops observed-ops-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":null,"corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxOTozMzowOS43NTc2MjIrMDA6MDB8NTU5OA","measurement":{"window":"12:33 PM–1:33 PM CST","n":24,"late_n":2,"share_pct":"8%","baseline_pct":"20%","baseline_basis":"US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour","method":"FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)","median_delay_min":-2.0},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5598,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_observed"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":5294,"event_id":2307,"slug":"2307-msp-delays","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"delay","type_label":"Delay","headline":"Model lowers Minneapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Monday to 31%, near normal","body":"Tailodds’ model gives the 93 departures scheduled from Minneapolis noon–3 PM Monday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 17%. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.","what_changed":"41% → 31%; calm-weather level 17%","airports":["MSP"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:58:25.583723Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:58 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:58:22.008372Z","time":"5:58 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:58 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMTo1ODoyNS41ODM3MjMrMDA6MDB8NTI5NA","forecast":{"p_pct":"31%","expected_cancellations":1.3,"target":"MSP departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-02 (15+ min late)","horizon_h":6.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":93,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-02T11:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"CST","date":"Nov 2","ago":"10 days ago","full":"Mon Nov 2, 5:00 AM CST","utc_text":"2026-11-02 11:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":5294,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMTo1ODoyNS41ODM3MjMrMDA6MDB8NTI5NA","top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNTowNjowOS44MTg5MjIrMDA6MDB8ODcxOA","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"8718\" data-event=\"3824\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNTowNjowOS44MTg5MjIrMDA6MDB8ODcxOA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8718\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T05:06:09.818922Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 05:06 UTC · Thu Nov 12, 11:06 PM CST\">11:06 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 12</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T05:06:09.818922Z\">4 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-8718\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3824-msp-delays#u-8718\">Minneapolis departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 75% → 50%</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 16 departures that took off between 10:06 PM and 11:06 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>10:06 PM–11:06 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>16 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>50%</b></span><span>Typical <b>23%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3824-msp-delays#u-8718\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3824-msp-delays\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3824\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3824-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"8698\" data-event=\"3828\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwNDozNTozMi43MjE5NTkrMDA6MDB8ODY5OA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8698\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T04:35:32.721959Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 04:35 UTC · Thu Nov 12, 10:35 PM CST\">10:35 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 12</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T04:35:32.721959Z\">5 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-8698\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3828-msp-delays#u-8698\">Minneapolis arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 69% → 50%</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:35 PM and 10:35 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>9:35 PM–10:35 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>12 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>50%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3828-msp-delays#u-8698\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3828-msp-delays\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3828\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3828-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"8632\" data-event=\"3817\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMjo1NzozOS4zODMzOTgrMDA6MDB8ODYzMg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8632\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T02:57:39.383398Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 02:57 UTC · Thu Nov 12, 8:57 PM CST\">8:57 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 12</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T02:57:39.383398Z\">6 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 45%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-8632\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3817-msp-delays#u-8632\">Model forecasts 45% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 9 PM–midnight Thursday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 26 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>45%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3817-msp-delays#u-8632\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3817\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3817-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"8547\" data-event=\"3768\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xM1QwMToxNzoyNC4yMDQ5MDQrMDA6MDB8ODU0Nw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8547\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-13T01:17:24.204904Z\" title=\"2026-11-13 01:17 UTC · Thu Nov 12, 7:17 PM CST\">7:17 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 12</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-13T01:17:24.204904Z\">8 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-8547\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3768-msp-delays#u-8547\">Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 8% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 42% at worst → 8% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 36 arrivals that landed between 6:17 PM and 7:17 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>6:17 PM–7:17 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>36 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>8%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3768-msp-delays#u-8547\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3768-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3768\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3768-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"8196\" data-event=\"3584\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMlQwMDo0NTo1OC4yMTI4NjQrMDA6MDB8ODE5Ng\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8196\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-12T00:45:58.212864Z\" title=\"2026-11-12 00:45 UTC · Wed Nov 11, 6:45 PM CST\">6:45 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 11</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-12T00:45:58.212864Z\">32 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-8196\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3584-msp-delays#u-8196\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 21% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 62% at worst → 21% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 29 departures that took off between 5:45 PM and 6:45 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>5:45 PM–6:45 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>29 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>21%</b></span><span>Typical <b>26%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3584-msp-delays#u-8196\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3584-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3584\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3584-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"8170\" data-event=\"3571\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xMVQyMTo0Mzo0Mi42MTQyNzcrMDA6MDB8ODE3MA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-8170\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-11T21:43:42.614277Z\" title=\"2026-11-11 21:43 UTC · Wed Nov 11, 3:43 PM CST\">3:43 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 11</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-11T21:43:42.614277Z\">35 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-8170\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3571-msp-delays#u-8170\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 28% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 58% at worst → 28% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 47 departures that took off between 2:43 PM and 3:43 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>2:43 PM–3:43 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>47 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>28%</b></span><span>Typical <b>24%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3571-msp-delays#u-8170\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3571-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3571\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3571-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"7803\" data-event=\"3410\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwNDowMDo1OS4zMjM2NDUrMDA6MDB8NzgwMw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7803\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-09T04:00:59.323645Z\" title=\"2026-11-09 04:00 UTC · Sun Nov 8, 10:00 PM CST\">10:00 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 8</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-09T04:00:59.323645Z\">4 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7803\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3410-msp-delays#u-7803\">Minneapolis arrivals running late: 53% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 17 arrivals that landed between 9:00 PM and 10:00 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>9:00 PM–10:00 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>17 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>53%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3410-msp-delays#u-7803\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3410\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3410-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7748\" data-event=\"3368\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wOVQwMDo1MjozOS41MTgwODIrMDA6MDB8Nzc0OA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7748\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-09T00:52:39.518082Z\" title=\"2026-11-09 00:52 UTC · Sun Nov 8, 6:52 PM CST\">6:52 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 8</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-09T00:52:39.518082Z\">4 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7748\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3368-msp-delays#u-7748\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 5% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 67% at worst → 5% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 38 departures that took off between 5:52 PM and 6:52 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>5:52 PM–6:52 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>38 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>5%</b></span><span>Typical <b>26%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3368-msp-delays#u-7748\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3368-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3368\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3368-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7707\" data-event=\"3351\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wOFQyMToyNTowNS42OTQ4NTcrMDA6MDB8NzcwNw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7707\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-08T21:25:05.694857Z\" title=\"2026-11-08 21:25 UTC · Sun Nov 8, 3:25 PM CST\">3:25 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 8</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-08T21:25:05.694857Z\">4 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7707\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3351-msp-delays#u-7707\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 67% at worst → 9% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 35 departures that took off between 2:25 PM and 3:25 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>2:25 PM–3:25 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>35 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>9%</b></span><span>Typical <b>23%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3351-msp-delays#u-7707\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3351-msp-delays\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3351\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3351-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7571\" data-event=\"3276\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QxNTozMTo0NS4wNTA4MzUrMDA6MDB8NzU3MQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7571\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-07T15:31:45.050835Z\" title=\"2026-11-07 15:31 UTC · Sat Nov 7, 9:31 AM CST\">9:31 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 7</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-07T15:31:45.050835Z\">5 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7571\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3276-msp-delays#u-7571\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 7% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 58% at worst → 7% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 28 departures that took off between 8:31 AM and 9:31 AM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>8:31 AM–9:31 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>28 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>7%</b></span><span>Typical <b>13%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3276-msp-delays#u-7571\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3276-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3276\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3276-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"7417\" data-event=\"3229\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMzo0NDoyNy4zMzA0MTgrMDA6MDB8NzQxNw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7417\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-07T03:44:27.330418Z\" title=\"2026-11-07 03:44 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 9:44 PM CST\">9:44 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-07T03:44:27.330418Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7417\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3229-msp-delays#u-7417\">Minneapolis arrivals running late: 57% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 14 arrivals that landed between 8:44 PM and 9:44 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>8:44 PM–9:44 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>14 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>57%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3229-msp-delays#u-7417\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3229\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3229-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7330\" data-event=\"3185\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wN1QwMDo1ODo1MS42NjEwNzcrMDA6MDB8NzMzMA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7330\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-07T00:58:51.661077Z\" title=\"2026-11-07 00:58 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 6:58 PM CST\">6:58 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-07T00:58:51.661077Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7330\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3185-msp-delays#u-7330\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 67% at worst → 10% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 39 departures that took off between 5:58 PM and 6:58 PM CST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 26% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>5:58 PM–6:58 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>39 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>10%</b></span><span>Typical <b>26%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3185-msp-delays#u-7330\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3185-msp-delays\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3185\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3185-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7272\" data-event=\"3161\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMzowMDowNy4wNTUzMTErMDA6MDB8NzI3Mg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7272\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T23:00:07.055311Z\" title=\"2026-11-06 23:00 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 5:00 PM CST\">5:00 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-06T23:00:07.055311Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7272\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3161-msp-delays#u-7272\">Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 22% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 67% at worst → 22% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 23 arrivals that landed between 4:00 PM and 5:00 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>4:00 PM–5:00 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>23 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>22%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3161-msp-delays#u-7272\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3161-msp-delays\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3161\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3161-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"7259\" data-event=\"3188\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQyMjo1NjowMC44MDM0MTcrMDA6MDB8NzI1OQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7259\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T22:56:00.803417Z\" title=\"2026-11-06 22:56 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 4:56 PM CST\">4:56 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-06T22:56:00.803417Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 43%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7259\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3188-msp-delays#u-7259\">Model forecasts 43% delay risk for Minneapolis departures 6–9 PM Friday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 102 departures scheduled from Minneapolis 6–9 PM Friday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>43%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>1.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3188-msp-delays#u-7259\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3188\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3188-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7048\" data-event=\"3067\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNzo1MzoyNS4zMjYyODUrMDA6MDB8NzA0OA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7048\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T17:53:25.326285Z\" title=\"2026-11-06 17:53 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 11:53 AM CST\">11:53 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-06T17:53:25.326285Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7048\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3067-msp-delays#u-7048\">Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 4% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 56% at worst → 4% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 24 arrivals that landed between 10:53 AM and 11:53 AM CST, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>10:53 AM–11:53 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>24 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>4%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3067-msp-delays#u-7048\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3067-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3067\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3067-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"7039\" data-event=\"3066\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNzoxNjozMS40NjQwMzkrMDA6MDB8NzAzOQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-7039\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T17:16:31.464039Z\" title=\"2026-11-06 17:16 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 11:16 AM CST\">11:16 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-06T17:16:31.464039Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-7039\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3066-msp-delays#u-7039\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 46% at worst → 17% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 42 departures that took off between 10:16 AM and 11:16 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 27% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>10:16 AM–11:16 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>42 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>17%</b></span><span>Typical <b>17%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3066-msp-delays#u-7039\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3066-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3066\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3066-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"6960\" data-event=\"3022\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQxNTo1MDo0Mi4xNjYwODArMDA6MDB8Njk2MA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6960\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T15:50:42.166080Z\" title=\"2026-11-06 15:50 UTC · Fri Nov 6, 9:50 AM CST\">9:50 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 6</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-06T15:50:42.166080Z\">6 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6960\"><a href=\"/wire/events/3022-msp-delays#u-6960\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 17% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 57% at worst → 17% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 30 departures that took off between 8:50 AM and 9:50 AM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 13% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 23% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>8:50 AM–9:50 AM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>30 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>17%</b></span><span>Typical <b>13%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/3022-msp-delays#u-6960\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/3022-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"3022\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/3022-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"6791\" data-event=\"2980\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNlQwNDo1MDoyMy43ODczODgrMDA6MDB8Njc5MQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6791\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-06T04:50:23.787388Z\" title=\"2026-11-06 04:50 UTC · Thu Nov 5, 10:50 PM CST\">10:50 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 5</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-06T04:50:23.787388Z\">7 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6791\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2980-msp-delays#u-6791\">Minneapolis arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:50 PM and 10:50 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>9:50 PM–10:50 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>12 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>50%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2980-msp-delays#u-6791\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2980\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2980-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"6682\" data-event=\"2910\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wNVQyMjoyNzoxMi44MjY3OTArMDA6MDB8NjY4Mg\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-6682\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-05T22:27:12.826790Z\" title=\"2026-11-05 22:27 UTC · Thu Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST\">4:27 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 5</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-05T22:27:12.826790Z\">7 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-6682\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2910-msp-delays#u-6682\">Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 20% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 53% at worst → 20% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 15 arrivals that landed between 3:27 PM and 4:27 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>3:27 PM–4:27 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>15 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>20%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2910-msp-delays#u-6682\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2910-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2910\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2910-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-significant\" data-id=\"5887\" data-event=\"2596\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwNDoyMTozNC4xMzQ0MzMrMDA6MDB8NTg4Nw\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5887\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T04:21:34.134433Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 04:21 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 10:21 PM CST\">10:21 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T04:21:34.134433Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-significant\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Significant</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5887\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2596-msp-delays#u-5887\">Minneapolis departures running late: 44% left 15+ min late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 18 departures that took off between 9:21 PM and 10:21 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 22% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>9:21 PM–10:21 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>18 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>44%</b></span><span>Typical <b>22%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2596-msp-delays#u-5887\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2596\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2596-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5845\" data-event=\"2557\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wM1QwMzowNToyMS43NDAxMjkrMDA6MDB8NTg0NQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5845\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-03T03:05:21.740129Z\" title=\"2026-11-03 03:05 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 9:05 PM CST\">9:05 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-03T03:05:21.740129Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5845\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2557-msp-delays#u-5845\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 9% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 74% at worst → 9% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 32 departures that took off between 8:05 PM and 9:05 PM CST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>8:05 PM–9:05 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>32 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>9%</b></span><span>Typical <b>20%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2557-msp-delays#u-5845\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (3)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2557-msp-delays\">2 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2557\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2557-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5699\" data-event=\"2488\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQyMjo0NzoxMC45NDM5NzgrMDA6MDB8NTY5OQ\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5699\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T22:47:10.943978Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 22:47 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 4:47 PM CST\">4:47 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T22:47:10.943978Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">arrivals</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5699\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2488-msp-delays#u-5699\">Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 15% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 54% at worst → 15% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 26 arrivals that landed between 3:47 PM and 4:47 PM CST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>3:47 PM–4:47 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>26 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>15%</b></span><span>Typical <b>18%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2488-msp-delays#u-5699\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2488-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2488\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2488-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5660\" data-event=\"2475\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQyMTo0MzoxMi42NTgzNjMrMDA6MDB8NTY2MA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5660\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T21:43:12.658363Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 21:43 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 3:43 PM CST\">3:43 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T21:43:12.658363Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5660\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2475-msp-delays#u-5660\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 22% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 46% at worst → 22% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 36 departures that took off between 2:43 PM and 3:43 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>2:43 PM–3:43 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>36 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>22%</b></span><span>Typical <b>24%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2475-msp-delays#u-5660\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2475-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2475\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2475-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5598\" data-event=\"2449\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxOTozMzowOS43NTc2MjIrMDA6MDB8NTU5OA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5598\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T19:33:09.757622Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 19:33 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 1:33 PM CST\">1:33 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T19:33:09.757622Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-observed\" title=\"Tailodds measured a change in actual operations.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-eye\"/></svg>Observed</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Recovery</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5598\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2449-msp-delays#u-5598\">Minneapolis departures back near normal: 8% late in the last hour</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> late share 46% at worst → 8% now</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Of 24 departures that took off between 12:33 PM and 1:33 PM CST, 2 left at least 15 minutes late. Minneapolis typically sees 20% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Window <b>12:33 PM–1:33 PM CST</b></span><span>Sample <b>24 flights</b></span><span>Late <b>8%</b></span><span>Typical <b>20%</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2449-msp-delays#u-5598\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2449-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2449\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2449-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"5294\" data-event=\"2307\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0wMlQxMTo1ODoyNS41ODM3MjMrMDA6MDB8NTI5NA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-5294\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-02T11:58:25.583723Z\" title=\"2026-11-02 11:58 UTC · Mon Nov 2, 5:58 AM CST\">5:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">CST, Nov 2</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-02T11:58:25.583723Z\">10 days ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast 31%</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Delay</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/MSP\">MSP</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-5294\"><a href=\"/wire/events/2307-msp-delays#u-5294\">Model lowers Minneapolis departure delay risk noon–3 PM Monday to 31%, near normal</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> 41% → 31%; calm-weather level 17%</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Tailodds’ model gives the 93 departures scheduled from Minneapolis noon–3 PM Monday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 17%. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Probability <b>31%</b></span><span>Horizon <b>6.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/2307-msp-delays#u-5294\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/2307-msp-delays\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/MSP\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View MSP</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"2307\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/2307-msp-delays\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n"],"filters":"type=delay&airport=MSP"}