Tailodds’ model gives the 37 departures scheduled from New Orleans 3–6 PM Friday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
\n \nTailodds’ model gives the 29 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Friday an average 47% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 32%. From the 7:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
\n \nTailodds’ model gives the 34 departures scheduled from New Orleans noon–3 PM Friday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 23%. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Of 14 departures that took off between 7:14 PM and 8:14 PM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. New Orleans typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
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Of 14 departures that took off between 6:50 PM and 7:50 PM CST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. New Orleans typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
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Of 15 arrivals that landed between 5:24 PM and 6:24 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at New Orleans arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
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Of 18 arrivals that landed between 4:51 PM and 5:51 PM CST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at New Orleans arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
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Of 12 departures that took off between 2:09 PM and 3:09 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. New Orleans typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
\nTailodds’ model gives the 32 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Thursday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
\n \nOf 13 departures that took off between 7:28 PM and 8:28 PM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. New Orleans typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
\nOf 17 departures that took off between 6:05 PM and 7:05 PM CST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. New Orleans typically sees 39% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
\nTailodds’ model gives the 27 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Sunday an average 50% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
\n \nOf 14 departures that took off between 10:47 AM and 11:47 AM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. New Orleans typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
\nTailodds’ model gives the 39 departures scheduled from New Orleans noon–3 PM Saturday an average 42% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 25%. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 45 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Friday an average 73% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 42%. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
\n \nOf the 20 departures scheduled from New Orleans (MSY) between 5:49 PM and 7:19 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 12. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into MSY is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
\nOf 14 arrivals that landed between 4:45 PM and 5:45 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at New Orleans arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 45 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Friday an average 66% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 42%. From the 4:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 45 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Friday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 40 departures scheduled from New Orleans 3–6 PM Friday an average 62% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 45 departures scheduled from New Orleans 6–9 PM Friday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 11:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 39 departures scheduled from New Orleans 3–6 PM Friday an average 52% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 35%. From the 11:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
\n \nTailodds’ model gives the 45 departures scheduled from New Orleans noon–3 PM Friday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 25%. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 44 departures scheduled from New Orleans 3–6 PM Wednesday an average 34% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 28%. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 47 departures scheduled from New Orleans noon–3 PM Wednesday an average 31% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 22%. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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