{"items":[{"id":10812,"event_id":4626,"slug":"4626-slc-cancellation-risk","kind":"resolution","kind_label":"Resolution","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"info","severity_label":"Informational","severity_rank":1,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 1","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 1 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 5 → 1","airports":["SLC"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:56:28.264592Z","time":"9:56 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"45 min ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:56:26.729542Z","time":"9:56 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"45 min ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNjQ1OTIrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTI","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":1.2,"target":"SLC departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":8.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":true,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":21,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":10812,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":10811,"event_id":4546,"slug":"4546-slc-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 11 among Salt Lake City departures 3–6 PM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 84 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 25 → 11 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM MST forecast","airports":["SLC"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:56:28.260072Z","time":"9:56 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"45 min ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:56:26.729542Z","time":"9:56 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"45 min ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNjAwNzIrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTE","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":10.5,"target":"SLC departures 3–6 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":5.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":84,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":10811,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":10810,"event_id":4545,"slug":"4545-slc-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Salt Lake City departures noon–3 PM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 34 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 11 → 5 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM MST forecast","airports":["SLC"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:56:28.256107Z","time":"9:56 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"45 min ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:56:26.729542Z","time":"9:56 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"45 min ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNTYxMDcrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":4.7,"target":"SLC departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":34,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T16:00:00Z","time":"9:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"1 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 9:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 16:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"developing","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":2,"latest_update_id":10810,"status_label":"Developing","n_match":2,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":10379,"event_id":4323,"slug":"4323-slc-cancellation-risk","kind":"escalation","kind_label":"Escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model raises expected cancellations to about 38 among Salt Lake City departures 9 AM–noon Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 38 of the 105 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 38 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM MST forecast","airports":["SLC"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T13:26:10.093949Z","time":"6:26 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 6:26 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 13:26 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T12:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 5:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 12:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T13:26:08.727627Z","time":"6:26 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"4 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 6:26 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 13:26 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxMzoyNjoxMC4wOTM5NDkrMDA6MDB8MTAzNzk","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":38.2,"target":"SLC departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":2.6,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":105,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T12:00:00Z","time":"5:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"5 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 5:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 12:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":4,"latest_update_id":10379,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":4,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":10032,"event_id":4270,"slug":"4270-slc-cancellation-risk","kind":"de-escalation","kind_label":"De-escalation","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Saturday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 45 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":"about 7 → 3 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM MST forecast","airports":["SLC"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:58:30.927084Z","time":"2:58 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:58 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:58:29.779944Z","time":"2:58 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"7 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:58 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC45MjcwODQrMDA6MDB8MTAwMzI","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":3.5,"target":"SLC departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)","horizon_h":3.0,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":45,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T09:00:00Z","time":"2:00 AM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 14","ago":"8 h ago","full":"Sat Nov 14, 2:00 AM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 09:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":5,"latest_update_id":10032,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":5,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]},{"id":9638,"event_id":4242,"slug":"4242-slc-cancellation-risk","kind":"initial","kind_label":"Initial","evidence":"forecast","evidence_label":"Forecast","evidence_help":"Tailodds' model predicts it. It has not happened.","severity":"major","severity_label":"Major","severity_rank":3,"event_type":"cancellation","type_label":"Cancellation","headline":"Model expects about 11 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 9 PM–midnight Friday","body":"Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 32 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (33%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.","what_changed":null,"airports":["SLC"],"metros":[],"direction":"departures","direction_label":"departures","published":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:56:14.315940Z","time":"8:56 PM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:56 PM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:56 UTC"},"source_event":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:00 UTC"},"ingested":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:56:13.618508Z","time":"8:56 PM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"13 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:56 PM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:56 UTC"},"historical":false,"simulated":false,"writer":"template-v1","detector":"forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1","config_version":"2026-10-17.1","model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","corrects_update_id":null,"cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMzo1NjoxNC4zMTU5NDArMDA6MDB8OTYzOA","forecast":{"p_pct":null,"expected_cancellations":10.6,"target":"SLC departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)","horizon_h":0.1,"model_version":"famB-sd-v4i","model_changed":false,"calibration":"isotonic (model/train_forecast.py)","n":32,"cycle":{"utc":"2026-11-14T03:00:00Z","time":"8:00 PM","zone":"MST","date":"Nov 13","ago":"14 h ago","full":"Fri Nov 13, 8:00 PM MST","utc_text":"2026-11-14 03:00 UTC"}},"lifecycle":"resolved","has_correction":false,"has_retraction":false,"update_count":1,"latest_update_id":9638,"status_label":"Resolved","n_match":1,"sources":[{"label":"Tailodds forecast","url":null,"role":"primary","source":"tailodds_forecast"}],"corrections":[]}],"next_cursor":null,"top_cursor":"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNjQ1OTIrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTI","flight_routes":null,"html":["\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-info\" data-id=\"10812\" data-event=\"4626\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNjQ1OTIrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10812\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T16:56:28.264592Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST\">9:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">MST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T16:56:28.264592Z\">45 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-info\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Informational</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Resolution</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/SLC\">SLC</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10812\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4626-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10812\">Model lowers expected cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 1</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 5 → 1</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 1 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (6%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~1 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>8.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span><span><b>Model changed</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4626-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10812\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/4626-slc-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/SLC\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View SLC</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4626\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4626-slc-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10811\" data-event=\"4546\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNjAwNzIrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTE\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10811\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T16:56:28.260072Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST\">9:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">MST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T16:56:28.260072Z\">45 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/SLC\">SLC</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10811\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4546-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10811\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 11 among Salt Lake City departures 3–6 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 25 → 11 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM MST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 84 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~10 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>5.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4546-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10811\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/4546-slc-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/SLC\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View SLC</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4546\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4546-slc-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10810\" data-event=\"4545\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxNjo1NjoyOC4yNTYxMDcrMDA6MDB8MTA4MTA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10810\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T16:56:28.256107Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 16:56 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 9:56 AM MST\">9:56 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">MST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T16:56:28.256107Z\">45 min ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-developing\" title=\"The event's current status\">Developing</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/SLC\">SLC</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10810\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4545-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10810\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Salt Lake City departures noon–3 PM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 11 → 5 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM MST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 34 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~5 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4545-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10810\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (2)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/4545-slc-cancellation-risk\">1 earlier matching update</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/SLC\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View SLC</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4545\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4545-slc-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10379\" data-event=\"4323\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQxMzoyNjoxMC4wOTM5NDkrMDA6MDB8MTAzNzk\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10379\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T13:26:10.093949Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 13:26 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 6:26 AM MST\">6:26 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">MST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T13:26:10.093949Z\">4 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">Escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/SLC\">SLC</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10379\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4323-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10379\">Model raises expected cancellations to about 38 among Salt Lake City departures 9 AM–noon Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 38 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM MST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 38 of the 105 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~38 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>2.6 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4323-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10379\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (4)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/4323-slc-cancellation-risk\">3 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/SLC\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View SLC</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4323\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4323-slc-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"10032\" data-event=\"4270\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwOTo1ODozMC45MjcwODQrMDA6MDB8MTAwMzI\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-10032\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.927084Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 09:58 UTC · Sat Nov 14, 2:58 AM MST\">2:58 AM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">MST, Nov 14</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T09:58:30.927084Z\">7 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      <span class=\"wi-kind\">De-escalation</span>\n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/SLC\">SLC</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-10032\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4270-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10032\">Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Salt Lake City departures 6–9 AM Saturday</a></h3>\n    <p class=\"wi-changed\"><b>What changed:</b> about 7 → 3 expected cancellations since the 12:00 AM MST forecast</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 45 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~4 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>3.0 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4270-slc-cancellation-risk#u-10032\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (5)</a>\n      <a class=\"wi-more\" href=\"/wire/events/4270-slc-cancellation-risk\">4 earlier matching updates</a>\n      <a href=\"/airport/SLC\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View SLC</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4270\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4270-slc-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n","\n\n\n<article class=\"wi sev-major\" data-id=\"9638\" data-event=\"4242\" data-cursor=\"MjAyNi0xMS0xNFQwMzo1NjoxNC4zMTU5NDArMDA6MDB8OTYzOA\" aria-labelledby=\"wi-h-9638\">\n  <div class=\"wi-t\">\n    <time datetime=\"2026-11-14T03:56:14.315940Z\" title=\"2026-11-14 03:56 UTC · Fri Nov 13, 8:56 PM MST\">8:56 PM</time>\n    <span class=\"wi-z\">MST, Nov 13</span>\n    <span class=\"wi-ago\" data-ago=\"2026-11-14T03:56:14.315940Z\">13 h ago</span>\n  </div>\n  <div class=\"wi-main\">\n    \n    <div class=\"wi-meta\">\n      <span class=\"ev ev-forecast\" title=\"Tailodds&#39; model predicts it. It has not happened.\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\"><use href=\"#wi-fc\"/></svg>Forecast</span>\n      <span class=\"sev sev-major\"><span class=\"bars\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i></i><i></i><i></i></span>Major</span>\n      <span class=\"st st-resolved\" title=\"The event's current status\">Resolved</span>\n      \n      \n      <span class=\"wi-type\">Cancellation</span>\n      <a class=\"apt\" href=\"/airport/SLC\">SLC</a>\n      <span class=\"wi-dir\">departures</span>\n      \n      \n    </div>\n    <h3 id=\"wi-h-9638\"><a href=\"/wire/events/4242-slc-cancellation-risk#u-9638\">Model expects about 11 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 9 PM–midnight Friday</a></h3>\n    \n    \n    <p class=\"wi-body\">Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 32 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (33%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 PM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.</p>\n    \n    <p class=\"wi-facts\"><span>Expected <b>~11 cancellations</b></span><span>Horizon <b>0.1 h</b></span><span>Model <b class=\"mono\">famB-sd-v4i</b></span></p>\n    \n    \n    <div class=\"wi-foot\">\n      <span class=\"wi-src\">Source: Tailodds forecast</span>\n      <a href=\"/wire/events/4242-slc-cancellation-risk#u-9638\" data-act=\"open\">Timeline (1)</a>\n      \n      <a href=\"/airport/SLC\" data-act=\"view_airport\">View SLC</a>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-follow=\"4242\">Follow</button>\n      <button type=\"button\" class=\"linkbtn\" data-copy=\"/wire/events/4242-slc-cancellation-risk\">Copy link</button>\n    </div>\n  </div>\n</article>\n"],"filters":"type=cancellation&airport=SLC"}