Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4647 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:36 PM ET, ETA 4:54 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

9E 4647 · DTW → BHM

took off 4:36 PM ET · expected to land 4:54 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4647 · DTW → BHM

Odds over time