Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4955 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 4955 · MGM → ATL

departs 3:50 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MGM (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4955 · MGM → ATL

Odds over time