Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5201 LANDED 2:13 PM ET, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 5201 · TRI → ATL

took off 1:29 PM ET · landed 2:13 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at TRI that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

TRI (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5201 · TRI → ATL

Odds over time