Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5262 LANDED 2:13 AM ET, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 5262 · MCI → JFK

took off 10:51 PM CT · landed 2:13 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 10pm departures from MCI are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.39 in

JFK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5262 · MCI → JFK

Odds over time