Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5280 LANDED 5:30 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 5280 · SYR → JFK

took off 4:40 PM ET · landed 5:30 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SYR that day

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5280 · SYR → JFK

Odds over time