9E 5300 · CVG → DTW

departs 6:56 PM ET · arrives 8:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from CVG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5300 · CVG → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?