Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5304 LANDED 11:46 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 5304 · MGM → ATL

took off 10:18 AM CT · landed 11:46 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MGM is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM

Weather at each end

MGM (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5304 · MGM → ATL

Odds over time