Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5315 LANDED 11:48 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 5315 · JFK → ITH

took off 11:08 AM ET · landed 11:48 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ITH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ITH (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5315 · JFK → ITH

Odds over time