Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5475 LANDED 10:23 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

9E 5475 · CHS → ATL

took off 9:37 AM ET · landed 10:23 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5475 · CHS → ATL

Odds over time