Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1022 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:37 PM PT, ETA 2:27 PM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 1022 · SFO → LAX

took off 1:37 PM PT · expected to land 2:27 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1022 · SFO → LAX

Odds over time