Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1313 LANDED 11:43 AM MT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

AA 1313 · PHL → DEN

took off 10:20 AM ET · landed 11:43 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1313 · PHL → DEN

Odds over time