Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1460 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:07 PM CT, ETA 7:05 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 1460 · DFW → JAX

took off 4:07 PM CT · expected to land 7:05 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1460 · DFW → JAX

Odds over time