Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1494 LANDED 4:00 PM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 1494 · LAS → DFW

took off 11:50 AM PT · landed 4:00 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.19 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1494 · LAS → DFW

Odds over time