AA 1536 · PWM → PHL

took off 10:48 AM ET · landed 11:57 AM ET (scheduled 7:30 AM ET → 9:22 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↑ PWM is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from PWM are usually not late

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.13 in

PHL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1536 · PWM → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?