Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1719 LANDED 4:25 PM PT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

AA 1719 · YVR → LAX

took off 2:06 PM PDT · landed 4:25 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1719 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time