Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2089 LANDED 9:19 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

AA 2089 · FLL → PHL

took off 7:00 AM ET · landed 9:19 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.21 in

PHL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2089 · FLL → PHL

Odds over time