Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2140 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 2140 · MRY → DFW

departs 12:42 PM PT · arrives 6:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MRY (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2140 · MRY → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?