Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2148 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 2148 · LAX → PHL

departs 2:19 PM PT · arrives 10:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2148 · LAX → PHL

Odds over time