Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2471
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 2471 · PHX → SNA
departs 4:43 PM MT · arrives 6:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
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How late will it get to SNA?
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On time or early
66%
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15–30 min late
15%
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30 min–1 hour late
9%
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1–2 hours late
7%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.