Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2734 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:45 PM CT, ETA 6:19 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 2734 · DFW → OKC

took off 5:45 PM CT · expected to land 6:19 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2734 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time