Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2797 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:40 PM PT, ETA 5:45 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 2797 · LAS → DFW

took off 1:40 PM PT · expected to land 5:45 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±2 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2797 · LAS → DFW

Odds over time