Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3030 LANDED 4:31 PM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 3030 · DFW → MCI

took off 3:22 PM CT · landed 4:31 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3030 · DFW → MCI

Odds over time