Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3102 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:15 PM ET, ETA 7:37 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AA 3102 · BOS → DFW

took off 5:15 PM ET · expected to land 7:37 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3102 · BOS → DFW

Odds over time