Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3239 LANDED 10:30 PM MT, ~3 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

AA 3239 · PHX → ABQ

took off · landed 10:30 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3239 · PHX → ABQ

Odds over time