AA 394 · MEX → DFW

departs 3:09 PM CST · arrives 7:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

MEX (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 394 · MEX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?