tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 462 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 462 · LGA → ORD

departs 6:40 AM ET · arrives 8:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.