tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 513 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 513 · LAX → PHL

departs 3:20 PM PT · arrives 11:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.