Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 550 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

AA 550 · PHX → FLL

departs 8:30 AM MT · arrives 4:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.34 in

FLL (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 550 · PHX → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?