tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 888 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 888 · PHX → MSN

departs 8:30 AM MT · arrives 2:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSN?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.