AS 1030 · OGG → KOA

took off 1:06 PM HT · landed 1:21 PM HT (scheduled 1:00 PM HT → 1:36 PM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to KOA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1030 · OGG → KOA

Odds over time

How late did it get to KOA?