AS 1031 · ITO → HNL

took off 12:00 PM HT · landed 12:28 PM HT (scheduled 11:27 AM HT → 12:22 PM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ 11am departures from ITO are usually not late

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1031 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?