AS 1345 · PDX → GEG

took off 10:29 PM PT · landed 11:11 PM PT (scheduled 10:02 PM PT → 11:06 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to GEG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into GEG at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1345 · PDX → GEG

Odds over time

How late did it get to GEG?