AS 1419 · GDL → LAX

took off · landed 6:09 PM PT (scheduled 4:22 PM CST → 6:30 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GDL

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GDL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1419 · GDL → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?