Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1434 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:12 PM PT, ETA 3:27 PM AKT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

AS 1434 · SEA → ANC

took off 1:12 PM PT · expected to land 3:27 PM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

ANC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1434 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time